External and internal

So, "Where is the way out of this outcome?"

The most popular answer is Duginsky. By the way, he practically does not have competitors in response, however, rather foggy: Autarchy, “Russian Fortress”, etc. But since many poetic metaphors of Dugin and KO in recent months have materialized, I will try to imagine what can really be discussed.

Trade of spitting in a well

What does “us” (RF) connects with the West?

Two pipes are running there and-over them-flows of battle, insults, Russian claims against customers of oil gas. In addition, money flowed there - those that invested in the same stabund, for example. In addition, human streams flow there-the middle and vegetation class is studying there, he is lying, resting, gaining strength and anger.

From there there was money a) a fee for our export of oil-gas-lactal, b) in the form of cheap loans on which our large companies, c) speculative money on the stock market of the Russian Federation, d) strategic investments. In addition, there were not God the news, but joint projects in the field of science and technology. These projects completely covered Russian science and technology, and since the “size of the covered” is extremely small, there are no more joint projects. From the West there are shots - the highest link in managers, both foreign and Russian, who worked and learned in the West.

And finally, a large share of imports is from the West - what they dress in Russia, what they work on (from computers to machine tools), what are treated, household appliances, a significant part of what they eat, etc. etc.

It seems to have listed almost everything.

In general, the scheme is simple: we spit in a well and buy water from there. Everything is fine, everyone is happy.

Now: what has changed in the last and most recently?

Two things: our saliva has become thoroughly - and the water from the well is more expensive.

Things seem to be unprincipled, but, as we were taught, the quantity can go into quality.

The achievements on saliva are the same: for the first time a demonstration of power in Georgia. And immediately after that - a new demonstration (do not understand what) in Venezuela.

Well, with water from a well, it is easier: the time of cheap loans from the west has ended. There are many reasons, there are general economic, but almost certainly there are political ones. The west was ready to lend out spitting in your address, and then - within the limits of commercial benefit. To lend to cuffs (or a semi -real threat of those) is unlikely. Free capitalism is an excellent thing, but in practice, it is possible to influence funds and banks not only in the Russian government, but also in Western governments. And, I suppose, these opportunities will be used - or are already used.

So.

Export-import remain, they will not go anywhere. Oil in exchange for computers and tights - no one will take this away from us. Like we are not going to turn our pipe from anyone.

But then - a clear fork.

The life of the right boys

Russia decides to head the company-rogue countries, to build an axis of Venezuela-Russia-Iran-Belorussia (mind you, neither China, nor the countries of Central Asia in this geometric figure are somehow a place).

We are all bourgeois on the mountain

We turn the world fire,

World fire in the blood -

Lord, bless!

(I ask you to pay attention to the word: all the bourgeois - but more on that below.)

Your will, your will, gentlemen ... but fair: count on the blessing of God (and the Russian Orthodox Church will pray) - but not to help the bourgeois! Of course, Lenin said that the bourgeois themselves would sell us a rope on which we will hang them - but then this was not quite true, but now even less like the truth.

So: Russia is the leader of the new International. Creative company: Islamic fundamentalists, Latin American macho, provincial officials from Belarus. Yes - and Yu. Ossetia with Abkhazia ... Yes - and Hamas, Hezbollah. And in front, in a white corolla from hydrogen bombs and with the Satan missile, which exactly indicates the path in the right direction, Russia. (Small details - whether the mullahs from Iran recognize the “spiritual leadership” of Russia and its geopolitical leadership in the Caspian region - we omit.

For the first time we will end the vile "partners" - and find friends! “Comrades! We will become - brothers! " Here they will talk to us respectfully, respectfully (especially Iran), politely (Chavez), without hypocrisy, parting and deception ...

Other spiritual acquisitions are also undoubted.

The Russian clergy will have something to talk about with the strongly strengthened mullahs in Russia - two, as you know, the main traditional religions of the country will begin to interact on a new basis.

Great prospects are opened in the field of science.

So, our scientists proposed a project of an international collider near Moscow. Cooperation with Venezuelan physicists-theoreticians and Iranian mathematicians promises to bring completely non-trivial results-it is high time to discard racist nonsense that serious science exists only in the West.

It's all good. Worse, that “fraternal loans” from this audience will not be raised - as if they themselves did not ask ... (well, this will not break off - not Soviet times ...)

So, external loans are over.

All the threads connecting us with the West, with a groan of relief, are cut (except for oil and gas pipelines).

Only money will remain from export - if the price of oil falls, then they will be in proportion to be bought up.

So how do you order to live?

Elementary, Watson!

That's exactly - we order.

The stab fund (or other state fund) will pay for the debts of state -owned companies (the same Gazprom, Rosneft, Sberbank). The debts of private companies can also be covered by the state - provided, say, their nationalization. Everything is quite civilized - after all, by the way, in the USA they do this, although, of course, they are not a decree for us ...

Payments on corporate debts in 2008 will amount to about $ 88 billion. The stabilization fund of the Russian Federation is about 160 billion, and the gold and foreign exchange reserves of the Central Bank are over 406 billion at all. So debts can be repaid playfully. By the way, the dream of the people will come true: the stab fund is removed from enemies, transferred inside Russia and successfully spent. We stably got up from the knees - we do not need any funds. Especially in the West.

So: a large export industry (raw materials, first of all) - from now on state. Purple, from the Central Bank, from Sberbank (by order, again), but income from oil gas (not taxes, but income!) Go to the state. As in the old days, about which our good people so nostalgic. And then - from the treasury - are distributed. In fairness: for missiles (here are the defense expenses for 2009, $ 50 billion are already outlined. - husband, husband, slowly!), On the state apparatus, for other needs (pensioners, say) ...

This does not mean “market liquidation”-restaurant stores and other art veB designs can remain ... NEP, in a word. Team heights are in the hands of the nationwide, and every little thing is in the hands of private. Very reasonable.

Moreover, objections ... Yes, that's exactly - there are no objections. There is nothing to object to reasonable arguments.

Note that there is a complete harmony of the external and internal contour.

Do you want to be friends with Venezuela? Become it!

This is - Autarchy.

Benefits.

We are not dependent on the Western speculative (or even spy) capital, with its eternal fluctuations. We are respected - we are one of the leaders of mankind, and in the West and in the East they will constantly talk about us. We are self -sufficient. And in the CIS, our positions will still become, as they say, stronger.

Another benefit - all the manure of the "middle class" will subside from here. Panicere-Night-Representatives are a fifth column ... No, they will not remain in such a Russia. The suitcase-cabal-Canada ... less people are more oxygen. And what programmers will run away and others ... Firstly, everyone will not run away, the best, unnecessary in the West, will remain. Secondly, we will grow new ones. Thirdly, as Zhirinovsky said to Nemtsov: “Your voter is there, in Silicon Valley. And mine is here, under the fence! ” We do not need strangers.

Yes! We will blow out the world on the grief to all the bourgeois a world fire. Everyone means internal too. Our national bourgeoisie can relate to the United States differently-but by the prospect of business of business it is unambiguous. And on the "Second NEP" today it is hardly anyone.

Well, the devil with them! Not Russia is rich in bourgeois - but their money. Money, and especially the “material funds” will remain “with us”, in any case - like oil and gas.

So there are continuous benefits and no losses, a rose without spikes, but with a strong smell!

The life of the wrong boys

Theoretically, another, opposite option is possible.

Faced with real difficulties, with the real prospect of the same Autarchy, you can (so far) and change politics.

Moreover, I am not talking about “retreat” - because, from some point of view, rapprochement with Venezuela and Iran is not a “offensive” ...

Change in the vector.

Restoring relations with the West - for example, support for sanctions against Iran (by the way, the price of oil from this ... will not fall, say). Cessation of screams about NATO. The stab fund remains where it is. The good guarantees of the territorial integrity of Ukraine are given - the prolongation of a big contract (which, by the way, Lavrov spoke about). The non -impression of military expenses. Change of rhetoric.

But you never know what else ...

In a word, the gradual alignment of relations at least to the level of 5-6 years ago.

This gives a chance to “re -wrap Russia” - in a narrow and broad sense. Then there is no need for “dispossession” and “collectivization” of large business.

Of course, dependence on the inevitable fluctuations in the global financial market remains.

Of course, in this situation, “we” do not become the leader of the alternative world - one of the two poles of mankind.

Of course, the establishment of relations with the West is the game is not easy, not the most pleasant. And requiring effort on both sides.

Of course, even serious contacts with the West do not turn us into a technological power at all.

In a word, unlike “option N 1” there are many problems and minuses.

There is only one benefit - preserving an open society, preserving the middle class, maintaining contacts with technological economies, preserving the country's prospects in the country. According to many, there is no “other path of development”.

But, firstly, “many” may be mistaken. Secondly, TV-Bolsey considers it differently. Thirdly, the criterion of truth is an experiment. Let's spend it?

To solve - to the authorities.

Life

It is clear that the authorities do not have a firm decision.

As there is no clear understanding of the size of future risks and disasters. No one has no one - the history is not strictly determined.

There will probably be attempts by a compromise option.

Flirting with Iran and Venezuela - without a "formal union" and without breaking with the West. Continuation of anti -American psychosis - but “only without hands”, i.e. Without new actions.

It is possible that the nationalization of some other companies is also possible - but without the transition to mass dispossession and with links to the “American experience” (they also have them too ...).

In general, an attempt to continue today's policy, to delay the “final decision”.

But it will hardly work out.

The global financial crisis + our achievements in Ossetia make previous forms of interaction with the West almost impossible. The West “us” is very annoying - that “we” will demonstrate. And, it seems, finally the time of complete and happy reciprocity has come ...

So you have to somehow "determine."

Autarchy - openness; External loans - internal expropriations; North America - or South; “Get up, a curse of branded, the whole world, hungry and slaves” - “Tango, in Paris Tango”.

To be a little pregnant and from the first and from the latter - I'm afraid it will not work.

Of course, instincts are drawn to the break and leadership in the "alternative world." But the bourgeois accounting on the legs hangs: to finance themselves through the stabund, the Central Bank, etc. - Great idea, only money is not enough for a long time! The debit with a loan does not converge - and will there be enough political will to pull them up to each other? And to tighten the belts on the throat of the country and move on to “effective management” in Stalin’s also a great idea, but ... nevertheless, there is probably a question-and why will we, in fact, pay such a price?!

For safety? Is NATO threatening us with war? Puts ultimatums (for example, in the days of the "Russian-Georgian War")? Secret, apparently ...

For political independence? Does someone demand from Russia certain decisions in domestic, economic, social or foreign policy? Who, where, when? Names, passwords, appearances?

For territorial integrity? Does someone demand Russian land?

For preserving the Kremlin’s power over Russia? And what, does the West encroach on this monopoly power? There is no at all - how does not encroach on the power of Aliyev or Nazarbayev. Suppose gas and oil (in your own interests), do not arm Iran - and that’s it, live as you want. Well, sometimes something for the ritual will crept the State Department of Human Rights ...

So - for what?! Why all the cheese-brow?

Of course, nothing sorry for your show-off ... But still, it’s a pity!

Dilemma.

As for the problems of internal, then, fortunately, democracy is quite specific in our country.

“Fortunately,” because with the truly honest election of officials from the “EP” there would be many fewer, and the fighters of Rogozin and Sokolov Zhirinovsky would be more. This replacement does not seem very ... successful.

So, the people got firmly on the needle - that injects, the head is there and the head.

Therefore, the turn to the final directness and honesty - we take the stabund from the United States, we select the oil revenues from the Abramovichi (which, as you know, we sold their business for a long time - “but the men did not know”) and raise anti -Western cries to a new round - will be accepted “with a bang”. In addition, the people are still "longing for Crimea ...".

But, on the other hand, and the turn of the TV-Bashny in the opposite direction is also possible! The creak, of course, will be, but when the Dorenki-Shevchenki will explain that the West has accepted all our conditions, signed an act of complete surrender and begs “take the money”-well, damn it, we are generous, we can believe them again, to forgive them again ...

In a word, the heads are spinning at any angle.

In one direction - they themselves are spinning. In the other, it is necessary to unfold with a wrench - but there are keys, there is. And the masters are available.

So while the choice is obvious. At the authorities. Or do we have the opportunity to amuse ourselves with an illusion that this choice is?