Translated material
Save Lukashenko
In uniform
Save Lukashenko
June 21, 2006 Alexander Golts
On June 22, on the 65th anniversary of the Great Patriotic War, enemy hordes will invade Belarusian land. However, no. These are the troops of Bugia will attack the territory of the "movement". The neighboring Dnieper immediately comes to the aid of the victim of aggression, whose strategic bombers destroy command posts and infrastructure objects on the territory of the invader, and the land troops were caused by counterattacks.In Belarus, the military maneuvers of the Commonwealth - 2006 shield are unfolding with Russia. 8800 military personnel will participate in the exercises. From Russia-1800 soldiers and officers, the headquarters of the Russian 20th combined arms army and the headquarters of two tank divisions. From the Belarusian side, a mechanized brigade and two airborne brigades will take part in the hostilities. In total, 40 tanks and 180 armored vehicles are involved in the exercises. According to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, the Tu-160, Tu-95 and Tu-22 strategic bombers are also involved, the MiG-31, the MiG-29, Su-27, the Su-24 front-line bombers and the Su-25 storms.
In its scale, these maneuvers are comparable only with last year's Russian-Chinese. As then, the exercises have a clear political orientation. Together with the Chinese, the Russian military worked out a strategic landing operation, the purpose of which is obvious, given the threats of Beijing to solve the Taiwanese problem by military means. And this time the script is not in doubt. After all, the unfortunate “movement” has been subjected to intensive information and political pressure for a long time. “Dnipro” acted in international organizations with statements about the need to find a compromise and ways of peaceful settlement of a brewing conflict. Fulfilling the allied obligations, the Dnieper put forward a limited contingent of its troops into the territory of the “movement”. A single “Dnieper” group is created, which reflects air strikes and in a counterattack defeats the Bugia to the troops.
As the Minister of Defense Sergei Ivanov reported to the Russian president, the purpose of these teachings is to develop issues of managing the forces and means of the regional group of CSTO in the East European direction. If we forget about all these conventions with the “Bugios” and “movements”, then the meaning of the exercises is the development of the defense of the Belarusian territory by the forces of the Russian combined arms army and the Russian Air Force, including strategic aviation. And this, I risk saying, the direct scenario of our country's involvement in the war of the defense of Alexander Grigoryevich Lukashenko, the permanent Belarusian president.
The situation that develops around the “last dictator of Europe” can be characterized as “strengthening political and information pressure”. Just the American president has issued an order to arrest any property of Lukashenko and his entourage. It is easy to assume that in the future the tension between Minsk and the rest, except Russia, will only increase the world. It is also possible that at some point it will become clear: the Belarusians are ready to throw off the "dad". And then Lukashenko may well arrange a series of border incidents on his western border. And then apply as part of the organization of the collective security agreement for help to Russia. That, full of anti -Western feelings, will decide only to demonstrate the “limited contingent” in a neighboring country. And thereby he will make himself a hostage to any forms that he will like to soak the restless Alexander Grigoryevich.
Participating in the maneuvers jointly with China and demonstrating its ability to “isolate the conflict” using strategic and distant bombers (which meant the ability to prevent the 7th US fleet in the Taiwan Strait), Moscow could still reassure itself only in the diplomatic game. That Beijing is reasonable enough not to start the war. Lukashenko is hard to believe in reasonableness.
But even if the worst does not happen, the “panel of the Commonwealth” will now become a reliable shield for the Belarusian autocrat. He will tell his citizens that he can always count on the help and protection of Russia. And at the next attempt by Moscow, to increase the price of gas, says that Belarus is a reliable protection for Russia from the replenishments of the West, which, of course, must be paid.
Well, Russia, what is the winning from this? No, except for the possibility of amuse the old -feden -in -event of our generals and politicians, who developed after the NATO air operation against Yugoslavia. It is such an attack that it is supposed to parry with the help of tank counterattacks and strategic aviation blows.
Alexander Golts
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