Translated material
Clinton family against the Bush family
How politically correct will politically correct America be, when she has a choice between a woman politician, a black American and a candidate from a white traditional majority
## Record cost of $ 1 billion, a record early start three years before the election, the first woman-presidential candidate and the first African American-candidate for vice presidents, whose father is from the deaf Kenyan village-this is far from a complete list of intrigues of the race according to the election of the 44th president of the United States.
- No incumbents -
According to all canons, this campaign would have to start only in October of this year (and the official go -ahead - even later), but for a month, how the study committees have been created 
“Bush has only three problems:
Iraq, Iraq and Iraq again "
The reason for the “exclusive” abundance is explained to a certain extent by the results of the 2006 intermediate elections, which can be called the Battle of Democrats for Congress with full basis. These elections have shown that the main domestic political and to a certain extent of the US foreign policy is a war in Iraq, and in general, the US policy in the Middle and Middle East. Democrats managed to turn intermediate elections into a referendum on Iraq, and from the standpoint of today there is every reason to believe that perhaps the election campaign and presidential elections in 2008 will also become a form of the All -American plebiscite on the issue of war in Iraq and the general American foreign policy strategy in this direction. In favor of this version, first of all, the results of public opinion polls are indicated, which show that the Iraqi policy of the Bush administration is unpopular and it is rapidly losing the support of the electorate. The metamorphosis, which occurred with American public opinion over the past three years, is truly amazing: 70 percent support for the population of hostilities in Iraq was replaced by more than 70 percent disappointment. Dissatisfaction with the Iraqi campaign has already begun to pour out onto the streets, as an example of which is the 100,000th anti-war manifestation in Washington last a week ago, as well as in San Francisco, Los Angeles, Sacramento, and an even more massive anti-war action planned for March. Obviously, the Democrats are sure that they found the victory formula: they have no other powerful trump card today, so it is quite logical to assume that they are unlikely to refuse it. Many analysts believe that Iraq may turn out to be the catalyst that will lead to a fundamental regrouping of political forces in favor of the Democratic Party. As the director of the public opinion poll service ABC News, Gary Langer, notes, "the essence of all the problems of Bush can be expressed in three words: Iraq, Iraq and Iraq again." Iraq, how no other question - abortions, taxes, immigrants - is splitting by American society. From this point of view, the early start of applicants looks like the realization that anti -war sentiments will increase and it is now necessary to “catch the wave”, to saddle it and try to rise to the very top on the crest of these sentiments. The principle comes into force here: who did not have time, he was late, because by the time the election campaign will officially begin in a year - 2008, the main players will already be determined. Of course, it is still difficult to seriously talk about candidates and their chances to win today, but the main characters are already indicated.
- Billari blockbuster -
The democrats leads the Senator from the state of New York Hillary Clinton. She is gaining in the survey rating from 33 to 43%. She occupied the Senator’s chair in 2000, becoming the first first lady in the history of America, elected to the state post, as well as the first woman elected to the Senate from the state of New York. In 2006, she was re -elected to the same post, and left far behind her competitors, due to the fact that she received not only the votes of the Democrats, but also every fourth voice of the conservatives, every fifth - supporters or members of the Republican Party and almost two -thirds of votes of all voters who were not bound by party loyalty. Thus, Hillary Clinton showed that at least in the state of New York she is not only trusted by those voters who once brought her husband, 42nd US President, Jeilma Jefferson Clinton. True, some Republican politicians believe that the candidacy of the democrat, the former Lady of America (therefore, if not in the western wing of the White House, where the executive branch is located, then Bill Clinton, an allergen in the Washington establishment in the other wing, will return to the most decisive way to polarize the electorate and thus significantly increase the electorate and thus significantly increase it and thus significantly increase The chances of a candidate from the Republican Party for the conquest of a presidential chair.
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In second place in today's list of democrats - Barack Obama: he, according to various polls, is from 12 to 21%. Not only is the Obama African American and a newcomer in Washington - he is a senator of the first term from Illinois. His father was a shepherd in a small village in Kenya, his mother was from the American Middle West, from Kansas: his parents met at the University in Hawaii. Barack’s father returned to Kenya, he grew up with his mother in Hawaii and Indonesia, then graduated from the Columbia University in New York and the famous law school (the first in the international rating of similar educational institutions) of Harvard University. The hut was the first African American to edit one of the most famous magazines in the legal world - Harvard Legal Review. He is the fifth senator - an American of African descent in the history of the United States and the only African American that holds this post today. He was elected a senator in 2004, receiving 70% of the votes of his staff. He presented his political credo in the famous speech at the Congress of the Democratic Party in 2004, saying: “There is no liberal America and there is no conservative America. There are only the United States of America. There is no Black America or White America, there is no Latin America or Asian America. There are only the United States of America. ” In one of his interviews, he said: “Who we need now is political leaders aimed at solving serious problems instead of endless inter -party strife. In other words, we need another F.D.R. (Franklin Delaino Roosevelt), and not another Dwight Eisenhower. ” The campaign of the dirty antipiara was not long in coming. A classic scheme was played. One of the little-known Internet resources said that the senator once studied at a madrassas in Indonesia. (Obama Grandfather was a Muslim, he is a Protestant himself.) For the United States, where with the word “madrassus” - and even more so in Indonesia, terrorist acts are taking place somewhere and quite definite associations, for some this is a bad mark. The “news” of the Internet resource immediately picked up the extremely conservative, focusing on the Republicans, the Fox News channel-and the anti-fird went for a walk in America. Whether the couple will take place Hillary Clinton-Barack Obama, the first woman is a presidential candidate and the first African American-a candidate for vice presidents, another question. But the democratic part of Washington seems to be quite ready for this blockbuster and has already called him Billari. Unlike Obama, a politician holding the third line in the rating of the Democrats (11-12%), John Edwards, is already well known to America. He is a former senator from North Carolina and last presidential race (2004) claimed the post of vice president, stepping together with John Kerry.
“His presidential
ambitions are chronic
a disease from which it is impossible
cure, but you can only
- Smell " -
Republicans leads the former mayor of New York Rudolf Juliani, who became especially popular due to his active position after the events of September 11. He, in all recent polls, is from 30 to 43%. Behind him is a Senator from Arizona John McCain, a famous politician who in 2000 already fought for the presidency with Bush Jr.. According to the caustic expression of journalists, its presidential ambitions are a chronic disease from which it cannot be cured, but you can only embalm. Today, as noted by surveys, 22-27%.
And, finally, Mitt Romnie, a millionaire and former governor Massachusets, who currently raised more funds to his fund than McCain and Juliani taken together. He has 3-7%. If you take a couple of a Republican - a democrat, then McCain and Juliani inferior to all democrats 5%, Romny loses 20-30%to all democrats. The main candidates from the Republican Party with different nuances support Bush’s policy and his plans to expand the military presence in Iraq. And Senator J. McCain is also the most ardent supporter of the President’s plan to expand the military contingent in this country. This can bury McCain's hopes for the presidency. The situation among the Republicans is complicated by the fact that candidates such as Sen Brownbek (Kansas), who does not support the Bush military escalation plan, complicated the situation. Another representative of the Republicans, Senator Chuck Hagel (Nebraska), a veteran of the Vietnamese war, said that he would do everything in his power to stop the dangerous and irresponsible policy of the president. This discord creates problems in the camp of the Republicans, enhances pressure on the president from the inside and blurred the ideological environment in which their election race will occur.
- Iraqi skeleton in the closet -
Iraq has become a serious political problem for many democrats, because some of them once voted in support of hostilities, and getting rid of this cargo is not so easy. Hillary Clinton enjoyed a reputation as a very consistent support of hostilities in Iraq, for which she was criticized by the liberal wing of her party. Now she is more careful and is already talking about the need to curl up a military campaign, but how and in what terms is not yet clear. “I don’t think that the American people or Congress today believe that this mission gives positive results,” she said ABC News. The former senator J. Edwards, who has already publicly recognized him, more sharply with his “shameful wire past”
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He promised his former position on this issue and promised by all means to help stop financing a military campaign in Iraq. In this sense, Barack Obama has a serious advantage over Hillary: he took his post in the Senate in 2005 and therefore did not vote for a resolution that approved the beginning of a military operation in Iraq in 2002. However, the point, of course, is not what statements are made by candidates at present, but how voters will be perceived from the point of view of a real alternative to the rapidly losing popularity of George Bush and the Republican Administration as a whole.
25-year-old series
- "Dynasty" -
The current political struggle between the Republicans and the Democrats, like the struggle of the two clans of Montekka and Capulet, is a confrontation between the Bush family and the Clinton family. Indeed, in essence, starting from the 1988 elections to this day in America, two families and the Clinton family and the family of Bush are in turn. And if we take into account that J. Bush Sr. was still held by the post of vice president during the time of Ronald Reagan from 1981 to 1989, we can talk about a quarter of a century of dynasty rule in the United States. And this is a completely new political phenomenon in the history of America. And from this point of view, Hillary Clinton's application for the Higher post in the state looks like the continuity of the political tradition. The Clinton family can be considered as a real alternative to Bush policy, based on the eight years of the democratic administration in the White House in 1993-2000. And in this regard, we can say that there is no such candidate as Hillary Clinton. There is a combined candidate of Billari, who claims to be a new presidential term. And if this message reaches the wide layers of voters by November 2008, a consensus opinion may arise that the Clinton family can much better resolve the situation in the near and Middle East than the Bush family. All these scenarios proceed from the fact that the 2008 presidential election will be another referendum on the issue of war in Iraq. However, there is a chance that the topic, as they say, will leave. And then a completely different domestic political configuration may occur. But the main intrigue of these elections will remain: how politically correct the political correct America will be when it has a choice between a woman-politician, a black American and a candidate from a white traditional majority.