Sarkozy lost

The miracle did not happen: Nicolas Sarkozy will not be the second term. Contrary to numerous forecasts, Fortune turned away from the President of France, his political career at the finish line. Why - analyzed The New Times

The closest associates of the sarcose in the ruling party “Union for the People’s Movement” (UMP), as they say, have already begun the preparation of the “Congress of the Losers”. But at the headquarters of his main competitor in the presidential election, candidate from the social party, 57-year-old Francois Hollande, on the contrary, discuss candidates for the post of prime minister.

In the first round of the presidential election (April 22), polls predicted 25–26% of the vote for Nicolas Sarkozy and Francois Hollande - 27–28% of the vote. In the second round, on May 6, only 43–45% against 55–57% are ready to vote for the current president, according to the latest surveys.

La France Forte (“Strong France”) - with such a slogan Nicolas Sarkozy went to the polls. Unemployment, reducing the costs of education and medicine, a high level of crime - Sarkozy promised to solve all these problems. But the French no longer believe him - he turned out to be a weak president. The level of its unpopularity is unprecedented: according to the survey of LE Figaro Magazine, Sarkozy is trusted by 33% of the French and do not trust 63% - two records in the history of the fifth republic. The politicians have a smell of the winner better than any political scientist. The once loyal sarcose ministers and senior officials declare one by one to the press that the 6th will vote for Hollande. European colleagues are not far behind: Chancellor Angela Merkel, told The New Times surrounded by Hollande, already began to prepare Germany for the victory of socialists in France. She herself refused to meet with Hollande, but two economic advisers to the French Socialist Party-Karin Berzh and Valerie Worke-without unnecessary publicity held consultations in the Konrad Adenauer Foundation, the brain center of the Christian Democratic Union (CDS).

“This is not his chair,” we will return five years ago. How was the Russian elite of the coming to power in the “traditionally friendly” France ”“ Atlantist ”by the“ Atlantist ”by Sarkozy to replace the“ expert on Russian classics ”Shirak! But during their first meeting-in June 2007, at the Eights Summit in Hailiguens (Germany)-Sarkozy charmed Vladimir Putin: “I promised Cecilia (the ex-wife of Sarkoi, who played an important role in his election campaign.-The New Times) that I will introduce her to the Russian president. Tell her something, ”the smiling Sarkozy handed Putin his mobile phone. The owner of the Kremlin supported the friendly mood of a life -loving Frenchman, fervently throwing Hallo! The ghost of “Atlantism” instantly evaporated: France and personally its president again became “strategic partners” of Russia. The apotheosis of mutual trust is the sale of Russia by the French helicopter carriers of Mistral and an agreement on the purchase of AvtoVAZ by the French Highandan Renault. But in the homeland of the French president there was a completely different picture. “The rating of the sarcose fell almost immediately after the 2007 elections,” Pierre Martin, political scientist from the National Center for Scientific Research, notes in a conversation with The New Times. “He is a good speaker, he managed to captivate the people, but then the French realized that this was not his chair, it did not comply with the image elementary.”

In 2008, France blew up a video in YouTube, on which Sarkozy, in response to the refusal of one of the visitors to the agricultural exhibition, shake his hand evilly, the evil strangled him: “Then, from here, m ... to the unfortunate.” “This can be expressed by port movers, but not the president of France,” says Pierre Martin. Before the 2012 election, this video again became popular, by April 19 it was viewed by 13.5 million people! “You just listen to as he says,” Philip Cassia, director of an advertising agency, voting in 2007 for Sarkozy, but quickly disappointed in it, is indignant. “He chews vowels, does not speak words, uses some street vocabulary ... Jacques Shirak said as actors in the Comedy Frances, it was nice to listen to.”

“Work more to earn more” is another slogan of Nicolas Sarkozy. The French initially understood by him the refusal of the 35-hour working week, introduced in 2000 by the left government of Lionel Zhospen. But very quickly, the policy of sarcose began to be perceived as indulging the rich to the detriment of the middle class. According to the Terra Nova Foundation, from 2007 to 2012, large companies saved € 50 billion, and the owners of large conditions - € 34 billion. The main burden of the fight against the sarcose crisis transferred to the middle class shoulders. The French lurked the resentment. The first alarming call sounded for Sarkozy and his party in the municipal elections of 2008, the repeated-in the regional in 2011: the right ones began to take up positions everywhere. A truly black day for the UMP was the elections to the Senate in 2011: the left parties for the first time in the history of the Fifth Republic received the majority in it-177 out of 348 seats. "It seems that France wakes up, the left -wing parties now have a chance to" take "the entire parliament"

* * The French parliament consists of two chambers - the National Assembly and the Senate. - said almost a year ago, Francois Hollande. “This forecast will come true. And for starters, Hollande himself will “take” the Champs Elysees: in France, the presidential election is a general rehearsal of parliamentary, ”explains Pierre Martin.

Opponents often touched Holland's political union with a former civil wife - Rulen Ruayal (in the 2011 picture, she was on the right), running five years ago to the Presidential

Revenge "Monsieur Ruayalya", unlike Sarkozy, has no serious financial resources. There is media. Pierre Berge, Xavier Niel and Matyu Pigass, left-handed businessmen who bought the most influential newspaper of France Le Monde in 2010, never hid their sympathy for a candidate from socialists. Which was often reflected in the tonality of Le Monde materials during the election campaign. However, you should not overestimate this factor. Most voters vote not so much for Hollande as against Sarkozy.

The son of the Oblaryngologist and the nurse born in Ruan, a graduate of the prestigious ENA (National School of Administrative Directorate), who never held positions in the government, a former official of the Accounts Chamber, a diligent student of Mitterin, an object of constant ridicule of Shirak (“Who is Olland? So the name of the beloved Labrador Mitterin?”) Revenge for the loss in the presidential election 2007 of his former civil wife and ally in the party, New Rual, the mother of their four children. "Bonzhur, Monsieur Ruayal!" - with a laugh, he once greeted him in the Champs Elysees, hinting that he was only a pale shadow of his companion. Francois and News broke up on May 6, 2007, after 30 years of marriage and immediately after the second round of elections. The reason was the connection of Hollande with the journalist Valerie Tireweiler. It was decided to postpone the divorce so as not to spoil the image of the Seven. “Now his family affairs are no longer worried about anyone, Francois is an absolutely self -sufficient figure in politics,” says Pierre Martin. Underestimated by all, the stubborn and hardworking Hollande will laugh the last.

Well, what about Sarkozy? It seems that he had already reconciled with the inevitable departure, telling reporters that in case of defeat, he would no longer engage in politics. Then what?