When God wants to punish a person, he takes away his mind.
When God wants to punish a country, he brings a lunatic to power.
The tailspin into which Russia is falling today is not a technical failure, but the actions of a crazy pilot who thinks he has a parachute. With all the outward madness of his actions, he does exactly what he wants to do, that's the problem - and pointing out his mistakes is too late and pointless: he locked himself at the helm with a small group of comrades in a mental dead end, and if this is a mistake, then the error of evolution .
The rapid development of events in recent weeks directly indicates the awareness of the choice: "There is a system in his madness." Real time for punk girls, demonstrative physical violence against Kasparov, groups of “Orthodox” provocateurs released onto the streets of Moscow with a mandate for rudeness ... Against the backdrop of a complete blockage of the electoral mechanism, with the announced lifetime of Putin’s power, this is, in essence, a declared civil war.
He's crazy, folks. Moreover, he went crazy along with voluntary "orderlies", who, with a joyful whooping, are already preparing to restore order in the lunatic asylum, where they seized power (see Edgar Allan Poe's short story).
The reaction of the West does not frighten Putin — and rightly so, that it does not: after a slight surge of interest in Russia and positive expectations at the turn of the 80s and 90s, the West, shrugging its shoulders, transferred our card to another file cabinet drawer, where the regimes that are not subject to evolution. For them, we are a soft version of Iran or North Korea: nothing can be changed, but you can protect yourself and minimize the problem, which they do, as they think.
They also think they have a parachute behind them.
A solid three in history (combined with a lack of imagination) does not allow Western leaders to draw analogies and imagine possible consequences. And Putin has finally ceased to fuss with the rotten brothers in the "Big Eight" and with some even pleasure - there can't be two deaths! - cuts off so that it does not grow.
His current logic is conditioned by the entire course of the game: in the winter of 2011, the last opportunity was missed (rejected) to transfer the game to a positional channel, to remain in the game according to the rules ... On May 6, he finally drove himself to the edge of the board, from the leader of the nation ten years ago) having already turned into a complete Lukashenka.
There is a checkmate from everywhere, there are no moves, and instead of chess, a gateway begins. Here, of course, Kasparov does not shine, he will bite the whole riot police. But here it doesn’t shine for anyone at all: according to the new rules, without unnecessary subtleties of the endgame, one day they can pinch the “leader of the nation” himself with the board, and the Sicilian defense will not help. „
Against the background of a complete blockage of the electoral mechanism, with the announced lifetime of Putin's power, this is, in essence, a declared civil war
“But there is no turning back for Putin: outside power for him is only the dock. I don't want to try on Mubarak's jacket, but as an alternative, only Gaddafi ... Or, if you're lucky and your health allows, - Mugabe. Putin is very hopeful for this third option, but seems to underestimate the strength of the feelings he managed to evoke in the Russians...
However, all this, alas, is only the personal details of a separate dirty biography; the country, with all obviousness, is falling into a civil war unleashed by the authorities.
Nothing new, but that doesn't make it any easier.
“To create a dictator, you need a lot of people,” Mario Vargas Llosa formulated. The Russian people did an excellent job with this task. Now, it seems, we will have to spend some people to return from the dictatorship to normal life ...
"The wrong country was called Honduras."