In uniform

The Union of Outcasts

August 18, 2016 Alexander Golts

Official propaganda is choked with delight. Russian distant Tu-22 bombers and Su-34 front-line bombers are now located at the Hamadan air base in Iran. Here it is, the obvious proof of “getting up from the knees”, our military aircraft are in full swing of the “large average east”, which until recently was a protected field for American experiments with democracy.

From a military point of view, the advantages of placing Russian aviation in Iran are obvious. There is obvious fuel savings. And most importantly, by reducing the route to the target three times, the Tu-22 can increase their ammunition to 20 tons in one departure. From this it follows that the Kremlin, which until recently, with a large pomp broadcast about the successful completion of the Syrian operation and the withdrawal of most of the air group, is now preparing for a long war. One can only imagine the scale of hostilities, during which several distant bombers will bring down 20 tons of missiles and bombs into the enemy daily.

In this case, Moscow will definitely go along the track curve, when the regular army, using technological superiority, is trying to achieve victory over semi -war formations. Let us recall how American “strategists” unsuccessfully tried to shift the rebellious Vietnam into the Stone Age, and their Soviet colleagues flew from the Baltic states to strike targets in Afghanistan. Let us leave on the conscience of Russian military propagandists a message about the destruction of endless warehouses and command posts of the militants. It is easy to predict that massive bombing will lead to an increase in victims among the civilians and, as a result, to replenish the militants who want to take revenge. Russia, thus, is drawn into a long war, which there is no chance to win.

Another important issue is the actual conclusion of the military union with Iran. Do not be deceived by the reasoning that the placement of foreign military bases is prohibited by local law and this is thus about something temporary. To ensure massive bomber aviation actions, appropriate infrastructure is needed. At least warehouses where thousands of tons of ammunition must be brought. As well as tracking stations, communications. To do this for a couple of months means it makes no sense to spend strength and means that they seem to want to save by placing bombers in Iran. Most likely, all this for a long time.

I think that it was the long -term prospect of direct military cooperation of Moscow and Tehran that he had in mind in the State Department of the United States, when they described the actions of the Russian Federation as “unsuccessful” and provoking “regret”. At the same time, the Americans started talking about a possible violation of the UN Security Council resolution 2231, related to the solution of the Iranian nuclear problem. A hard answer immediately followed from Moscow. “There is no reason to suspect Russia of violating the resolution of 2231,” said Sergey Lavrov. - Neither delivery, nor sales, nor transfer of military combat aircraft took place Iran. These combat aircraft with the consent of Iran are used to participate in the anti -terrorist operation in Syria at the request of the legal Syrian leadership. ”

Meanwhile, the Americans had in mind the spirit of this important document. Let me remind you that the world community for many years was more than concerned about what a specific state, like Iran, is trying to create its nuclear weapons. For many years there was an endless game in cat mouse, on Iranian territory all new objects of the nuclear program were found, about which international controlling organizations were not notified in violation of the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons. In parallel, painful negotiations with Tehran were underway. For a long time, tough sanctions had been acting against Iran. In the end, an agreement was concluded in accordance with which Tehran assumed additional obligations, which should guarantee an exclusively peaceful nature of his nuclear program. In return - sanctions were gradually canceled. But, we will be frank, there is no confidence in the promises of Iran. That is why the UN Security Council resolutions provided for the ban on the supply of weapons. After all, I repeat, I repeat, about a very specific state that lives in its own, very different from generally accepted ideas about good and evil, about what can be done and what cannot be done. Tehran periodically promises to destroy Israel. Tehran was repeatedly and quite evidence -shared of supporting international terrorism.

That's why, as I understand it, the Americans associate the placement of Russian bombers with a possible violation of the UN Security Council resolution. Today we can talk about the first steps to create several unions with Russian participation. I would call it an union of outcasts. In the mid-90s in Moscow, the theory was ardently discussed, according to which the role of Russia in the future “world concert” of the great powers should be to represent the civilized part of humanity in negotiations with the “rogues”, states whose behavior both in the international arena and in relation to their own citizens put them in a dumb insulation. The theory soon showed its complete futility. The authoritarian leaders of the Rogoev countries are anyone, just not idiots. From the very beginning, it was clear to them: if you get into negotiations with the West (which in the future means the development of acceptable surrender conditions), then they should be carried out without intermediaries.

The main thing is that Russia has become more and more into the country of rogue. The process logically came to the end during the Ukrainian crisis. The annexation of Crimea, the secret war in the Donbass, the destruction of the Boeing of the Malaysian Boeing - all this put Russia outside the circle of normal countries. The deployment of troops in Syria, under the pretext of combating terrorism, was a desperate attempt to get out of isolation, force the Americans and their European allies to enter into a dialogue with the Kremlin again. Those reluctantly went to contacts, but their character cannot satisfy Putin. Therefore, the most important area of ​​foreign policy was the search for other unions. With other outcasts. This can explain the sudden outbreak of love for the Turkish President Erdogan, who moved to repression against the educated classes of Turkey. And now the alliance with theocratic Iran. In line - Pyongyang?


Photo: 1. The Tu-22 distant Aviation forces of the Russian Military Space forces during the strike on the objects of the terrorist group of IS. Shortion from the video. Department of the press service and information of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation/TASS
2. The t-22 bomber of the distant aircraft of the military-space forces of Russia during a blow to the objects of the terrorist group of IS. Shortion from the video. Department of the press service and information of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation/TASS