
On Saturday, Donald Trump wrote Truth Social on his social network that he would be arrested on Tuesday and called on his flock to protect him. “Protest! He wrote in capital letters. - We will repel our homeland back! " This reminded him of critics on January 6, 2021, when Trump addressed a similar call to his supporters, who captured the Washington Capitol for four hours. Trump's enemies did not exclude that his current appeal would prompt a judge who will do his case, refuse him to be released on bail.
It is not yet clear how reliable Trump's information is. The large jury, consisting of 23 people and sitting behind closed doors, was convened by the Manhattan Prosecutor General Elvin Bragg for a long time and at the moment has not yet decided to attract the former president to the court. Without this Trump cannot be arrested.

Secondly, the former presidents are always accompanied by security from employees of the US secret service, so Bragg cannot simply send policemen for Trump in Florida. Negotiations on this subject between the Manhattan prosecutor’s office, the FBI, the secret service, the vessels of the state of New York and the New York police are already underway, but have not yet been completed. Trump said he would appear in the court voluntarily. His defender, a well -known criminal lawyer JJ Takopina, said the same.
The famous Harvard professor of jurisprudence Alan Dershovitz, who calls himself a liberal democrat, but in recent years often standing up for Trump, notes that if we were talking about an ordinary defendant, the prosecutor's office would have called him to the court, especially since
Trump, as predict, will be trimmed with trifling charges regarding 130 thousand dollars, which he paid porn actress Stormy Daniels, who claimed that ten years before he cheated on her wife with her.
Trump always denied this. At the end of the 2016 election campaign, Daniels began to threaten that she would call the adultery throughout the country. Trump considered the benefit of buying her silence and instructed her to pay her the indicated amount to his then lawyer Michael Coen. Instead of reimbursing Coen's money in cash - and the end of the end, the “Trump organization” conducted money through the accounting department, indicating that this is the payment for “legal expenses”.
It is expected that Bragg will attract Trump for violation of the New York Law punishing for falsification of business documentation. Such, as a rule, is punished with a fine, although theoretically they can be sentenced to imprisonment for a maximum of one year.
Cohen, who for many years served Trump faithfully and was afraid that he would substitute for him under a bullet, changed him after he was involved in a number of offenses. In particular, he showed that, as Trump told him, the money was paid to the porn actress primarily so that she would not spoil his reputation during the election campaign. It is expected that the Manhattan prosecutor’s office will attract Trump for the fact that he concealed the “financing” of his campaign.

The catch is that financing of the presidential elections of the country belongs to the jurisdiction of the federals, not local prosecutors. Therefore, lawyers argue about whether it is possible to judge a person for violation of the federal law in a purely local Manhattan court.
Another problem of the prosecutor's office is that, as far as is known, its main evidence of the federal crime is Cohen's testimony. Among other things, he was convicted of a lie to Congress. As a rule, prosecutors avoid relying on such witnesses. The defense of the accused can destroy them the thesis "once lies, who will believe you?"
No wonder all the prosecutors who tried to attract Trump in recent years, by common thought, refused this venture. Among them was the same Bragg, who was elected to a large extent to a large extent with the money of the progressive billionaire George Soros and at first depressed Trump's enemies with a statement that he did not plan to attract him to court. His predecessor Cyrus Wance tried to blind the case against Trump for a long time, but he did not achieve success. Two Manhattan prosecutors, outraged by the Bragg’s statement, are more likely to resign in protest and began to agitate for attracting hated Trump, and one of them recently released a whole book on this topic.
In the end, Bragg lost to pressure and convened a large jury, which could initiate a matter against Trump this week. As the local judges are sharpened, the prosecutor, if desired, can attract even a windman with ham. The Institute of Big Jury has this: their meetings are held without defense representatives, recalling this Committee of Congres, in which Trump's opponents investigated the background of the riots on January 6 and operated on evidence only their side.

Trump is the first former president who really threatens to arrest. The defendant is unusual, so the procedure for his appearance in the court is discussed first.
If he appears in the Manhattan Criminal Court, located on Senter Street, the procedure for its initial registration will be standard, says Takopina. Trump is carried out in the hall for decoration and for a short time will be led into a small camera, fill the uniforms, cancrop, take a picture and bump in handcuffs. Then the former - and, possibly, the future - the US president will be lifted on an elevator on one of the upper floors, will be guards in handcuffs in the courtroom in front of many correspondents and, most likely, will quickly let them out on bail, although (see above) the judge can manage otherwise. In Manhattan ships, Trump has few fans.

His enemies expect that Trump's photos in handcuffs and under escort (unlike federal courts in the USA are allowed to photograph) will help to disrupt his plans in 2024 for a second term. Although contrary to the widespread representation
Judicial prosecution will not deprive him of the right to run for president. As Professor Derschovitz, according to the US Constitution, cut off on Saturday, only his service in the Southermen Army in the Civil War or Age could prevent Trump (it is possible to advance to the presidency only after 35 years).
But neither one nor the other applies to Trump.
His supporters and part of neutral observers, on the contrary, are sure that if he is attracted, he will probably win the elections. It was such a result that was immediately predicted, for example, Elon Musk, who bought Twitter and let Trump go back there. The other day, Trump was returned to Facebook*.
“I am sure that this will ascend him into the White House,” Takopina’s lawyer agreed with the mask. “If they put on Trump handcuffs, he will be your next president,” the famous cartoonist Scott Adams tweeted, whose comic Dilbert comic book was published in hundreds of newspapers around the world, but was expelled in February from everywhere, after his author was regarded about the African Americans as an unlawful correlation.
After Trump’s Saturday statement, his most suspicious supporters did not exclude that we were talking about a new catch of left -wing enemies. Former Trump lawyer Jenna Ellis wrote on Twitter: “This is what you need to know about Trump's possible involvement to court: the goal is not to achieve any political results. They know that he will not leave the race and that the constitution does not oblige to this. The goal is to put him enough money for a serious campaign. ”
Trump is unlikely to exhaust his own bank accounts for this, and will try to collect enough political donations.
But if the expenses for lawyers devastate his marching treasury, and potential donors will recoil from him, it will be difficult for him to win a fight with any democrat, writes conservative publicist Scott Morphield.
Another possible catch was invented by the observer of the Daily Wyer conservative site Matt Walsh, who suggested on Saturday that the democrats intended to portray Trump with a victim of their machinations so that he would probably win the republican primaries, including his strongest potential opponent, the governor of Florida Ron Lansantis. The idea is that ultimately the Trump -Zaurus will be exhausted and will lose universal elections to the Democrat, who, as of the moment, will probably be the same Joe Biden.
“They want Trump to become a candidate of Republicans,” Walsh wrote. “... there is no other conceivable reason to arrest him and put up the press on the basis of nonsense accusations.”
Another catch is suspected by the host of the Blaise TV conservative television channel Steve Dis. According to his version, the Democrats planned to enrage hard -shaped trumpists so much so that they made a new version of the riots on January 6.