How to put a voice

Time now is so crafty - for whatever you take, you don’t know where the reality is, and where the reality show is. Here, it would seem, good, positive information : the film company Timur Bekmambetova takes a film about romeous Romeo and oppositionist Juliet in Moscow rallies.

“Our hero,” says the producer of the project, “on Saturday, February 4, stood on stage on Bolotnaya with the speakers. Our heroes will interact with each other against the backdrop of real events, the film unfolds inside real rallies.”

Gloriously invented! But consciousness, poisoned by conspiracy, immediately suggests: the case comes out, the protesters were filmed in the masses delivered by bekmambetov and paid by Hollywood. Where is the State Department with his frail budget!

Or the winter time that Putin promises to return to citizens. He will return, but in the summer, and only to those who voted for him. And Medvedevskoye will leave the Bolotosakharovites. Lewis Carroll was excited in the coffin.

And only some particularly fiery revolutionaries decisively do not like this reckless-known atmosphere. Eduard Limonov, who calls his posts, writes sullenly:

Who imposed such a clown form of an absurd carnival in the snow with a fair popular anger? What kind of vulgarities thought of balls, lanterns, laughter and twitching of strings ... In order to get from the power of her departure or even only concessions, you need to go out with other persons and another mood, with compressed jaws and frowning eyebrows.

"Forgive gloomy", as the poet said. Limonov was undeservedly offended by political scientists at a meeting with Putin. But even there it was not without the theater of the absurd. When the prime minister asked where we had political prisoners, one of the participants in the meeting named the name: "Professional politicians, lemons, for example. For him, work is just going to prison." To which Putin answered :

Listen, this is completely different. We understand what is about. If a person was picked up in prison for 10–20 years, if he sat like Nelson Mandela, who fought for the freedom of the black population ... We have no such.

Why are you, Eduard Veniaminovich, do not fight for the freedom of the black population? Would be Russian Mandelia.

However, laughter laughter, but now the inexorable question faces everyone now: where is it next? What to do with the election? March 4 What to do?

Impectible urge not to walk. The leader of the National Boods believes:

The presidential election must be completely boycott. Citizens should disperse the cafes and cheburechny and anywhere, on sports grounds, in the pools on this day and write on Twitter that "I have not gone to the polls," be proud: "I did not go to their elections!" "My friends and I are in the church!" "We are friends at the concert!" "I'm in the museum with my family!" This will be the only true resistance to the regime.

Well, in fact: the elections are obviously dishonest - why participate in them, thereby "legitimizing" the winner? Composer Alexander Manotskov describes the state of things as follows:

That is, you have a robber in your house, he cut a couple of family members, rummages in a chest of drawers, carefully standing with your back to you, you have a club in your hands, and you discuss how your common lawn will be arranged in front of the house and what arguments you will bring when you agree with him to build his garage in your yard. How is that?

Alas, there are situations when you have to agree with the robber. For example, when the prime minister includes in the list of his proxies the director of the Yakut charitable foundation, which helps children with cancer (number 22, Alena Nikolaevna Atlasova), everyone understands that he takes sick children hostage, and this is vile, but the director of the fund is exactly the same hostage.

In this case, the refusal to vote the collapse of the regime will not contribute at all, but Putin’s interests of Putin are fully responded, as she answered in December. It is not without reason that Putin’s officials persistently inspires the opposition: do not please worry, the result is predetermined, Putin will still become the president. We must still try to create obstacles to him.

But if you go, how to vote? Will the voter, as December 4, be in the position of the hero of "Anna Karenina" Konstantin Levin:

“Put the right,” said Stepan Arkadyich Levin, when he and his brother followed the leader went to the table. But Levin now forgot the calculation that they explained to him, and was afraid whether Stepan Arkadyich was mistaken, saying "to the right." After all, Snetkov was an enemy. Approaching the box, he held the ball in the right, but, thinking that he was mistaken, before the box he put the ball into his left hand and, obviously, then laid left. A connoisseur of the case, standing by the box, recognized the elbow at the same movement, who would put it where he was in displeasure. He had nothing to exercise his insight on.

Blogs and forums are filled with confused questions. In the parliamentary elections, the strategy of "Nah-Nah" turned out to be insolvent. It was clear to people who own stathanalism even before the vote, and they called to vote for “fair Russia” as a party that could really shake the positions of “EP”.

Now the situation is fundamentally different, and “nah-no”, that is, the vote “for all”, which is actually “against all”, will work. Why it will work in the first round, Dmitry Oreshkin explains in detail. He calls the refusal of voting "lemon -winged". And he adds : "Elections - righteous or unrighteous - will take place, if only because there is no legal mechanism for their cancellation."

The task of voting is to achieve the second round. The ballot "for all" is recognized as invalid. Yes, some share of votes will lose, for example, and the outsider Prokhorov, but his damage will be much less than the loss of Putin’s favorite (according to the recent study of the Levada Center, Putin’s pre -election rating, Prokhorov - 6), because invalid ballots will be distributed between candidates proportionally to the votes filed for. ”

Georgy Satarov wrote an addition to Oreshkin’s article, however, after Andrei Piontkovsky corrected him, he recognized his mistake (see postscript). But Piontkovsky corrected and Oreshkin:

The call to voters should be extremely effective and transparent. The piglet will only be confused underfoot in the first round and indeed, like a fierce rabble, will provide us with the lead service in the second. All to the polls! Not a single vote of Super Zhulik and Supervore Putin! Vote for other candidates!

In other words, if you are disgusted to vote for anyone, vote "for all." If, nevertheless, one of Putin’s rivals is cute - vote for him. Well, in the second round, if it takes place, you will have to vote for Zyuganov with the whole world, to whom Oreshkin predicts a short presidency - a year or two. But to implement such a scenario, you need to stop all talks about the illegitimacy of the upcoming elections. Because in this case Zyuganov will also be illegitimate.

Putin may try to pull the voters-professional voters, offering their candidate the post of prime minister. Yes, Prokhorov recently refused, although no one has yet offered anything to him. He said this: "I am currently struggling for the post of president of our country. Any proposals that are different from the post of president sound amazingly." But after the defeat in the first round, the struggle for Prokhorov will be lost, and Putin his voice will be very useful in the second.

Finally, there are two options in which the elections in the second round will be recognized as invalid or invalid. Suppose Putin's observers will discover in the second round of voting, which will take place 21 days after the first, that is, March 25, the number of violations, not allowing the will of a quarter of all voters. There is no doubt that it will not be organized for intentional violations of labor to Churov. The CEC recognizes the elections as failed (Article 76, paragraph 5, paragraph 2 of the Law "On the Elections of the President of the Russian Federation").

You can also force or persuade Zyuganov to rent your candidacy in the second round. In this case, the vote will still take place, but the only remaining candidate will have to gain at least 50 percent of the votes who took part in the vote. If it does not gain, the elections will also be recognized as failed (Article 77, paragraph 5 of the same Law).

In these two cases, the Federation Council appoints new presidential elections no later than four months after the day the elections are recognized as invalid or invalid. Medvedev remains the president at this time, the Prime Minister is Putin. The law states that in these new elections the deadlines for electoral actions can be reduced by a third, and candidates are not allowed to the elections whose actions (inaction) served (served) the basis for recognition of general elections or elections when re -voting invalid ”(Article 78, paragraph 4). If Zyuganov is found to be the culprit of mass stuffing and carousels in his favor, he will not be allowed to be allowed to be new.

Of course, it all depends on the specific situation in the country and real electoral ratings at each stage of the campaign. If Putin’s real rating before the second round will be clearly lower than 50 percent, then the opposition should convince Zyuganova to remove his candidacy, not Putin. Since the time, according to the opposition, works for it, it will be profitable to postpone the elections for a later term.

It is the unpredictability of the Interior forces that makes the Pooputians rely on victory in the first round.