Where is the lot abandoned?

The Investigative Committee was again talking about Navalny. True, this time this is not an official press release from Vladimir Markin and not an entry on his twitter, which can be equated with a press release, if not with a sentence, but just an anonymous drain of the central newspaper. Although most likely Markin, Columnist of Izvestia, told his colleagues that the UK "intensified the investigation of two other criminal cases against the opposition and his brother Oleg, including three episodes."

We are talking about the "embezzlement of 100 million rubles from the Party of the ATP", as well as the villainous "transport services", which the Navalny brothers provided East Rocher. In general, things are all known, albeit slightly forgotten in the turmoil of the metropolitan election race. Aram Ashotovich with the mouth of an anonymous source from SK informs Alexei Anatolyevich that the investigators have not forgotten anything and even activated.

This is, of course, a signal, and quite understandable. The holiday of the election disobedience in the life of Navalny ended, and gray everyday life occurs. In Kirov, the supervisory authority will explore the "five" from the judge of Blinov, and in Moscow they will engage in new old cases. Moreover, to sew on Navalny's fraud and laundering of money allegedly stolen at the ATP, it was entrusted to the investigator Ruslan Minihakhmetov, who so successfully built the Kirovles case.

It is also clear that all these cases are political and the most independent in the world, Russian courts will take their verdicts, relying on the evidence base delivered directly from the Kremlin. And here there are unexpected turns of the plot, as in the first process, which was crowned with a punitive sentence, after which the repentant prosecutors hastily demanded to free the sentenced ones.

The hardest scenario boils down to the fact that Navalny will share Khodorkovsky’s fate. He will sit for Kirovles, and in parallel, so that he does not dream about the will, the cooks from the UK will cook other sharp dishes, mixing the ATP with "Yves Rocher". I believe that Alexander Bastrykin, who has personal scores with the second prize winner of the capital’s elections, wants to realize this dream. And Bastrykin can be understood: the nickname "Foreign Agent" in connection with an apartment in the NATO Czech Republic is a deadly resentment.

The Kremlin is hardly ready to solidarize with the head of the UK. However, it is not easy to comprehend the plans of the authorities on this subject, if these plans are generally available. On the one hand, an obvious game of jack, in which the candidate from the RPR-Parnas Sobyanin even gave the voice of local unicorns from the leopard shoulder. On the other hand, these are all the courts and investigations. On the one hand, the famous secret meeting of Volodin with talkative political scientists, where a new course was announced for relatively honest elections and a controlled thaw. On the other hand, an endless anti -Naval campaign in a television, in the glued press and in famous blogs. On the one hand, the elections in the same Moscow are unprecedented, by our standards. On the other hand, their moral moral is patiently waiting for a prison.

The speeches of Vladimir Vladimirovich are also curious, dedicated to Alexei Anatolyevich. At first, he suddenly spoke about the oddities of the Kirov femid: they say, one defendant who concluded a deal with the investigation, she slammed a conditional term, and planted others. Although what's the strange, voluntary assistants always come out. And shortly before the elections, Putin brought Navalny a whole list of accusations without a statute of limitations: he stole all the alcohol, with the forest of the problem, the company did not declare ... despite the fact that the Urzhumaneneric alcoholza does not even do it, and the company in Montenegro, in the few, erases it seems to be quite virtual existence.

Probably, somewhere between these sentences made by the President, and you should look for the answer to the most important question: will they be imprisoned or not imprisoned? For today several options are included at once, among which, of course, you should not seek excuses for all matters, but the conditional sentence in the Kirovles case is possible. In the end, this verdict for a long time excludes Navalny from big politics, but leaves in the wild, which, probably, will arrange many, starting with Alexei, his loved ones and friends. However, another option is possible: the landing of the year by four, without the activation of other matters. This script is very bad, although not the most unlimited. And, alas, the most realistic, since in the appeal instances we like to mow the term for a year, imitating justice.

In the meantime, the situation is understandable only in the most general terms. On September 8, the authorities for reasons only she herself played democracy, and she did not like this game much. Well, judge for yourself, Sobyanin was on the hair from death, that is, from the second round, and Roizman in Yekaterinburg completely won. Where is this visible, except in the damned 90s? The authorities admired their honesty , but also frightened. A measure of her fear and the fate of Alexei Navalny will be determined.