Translated material
Dead center
That's it - the "dead point". This is a situation that is known in technology, sports and psychology. The piston stuck in the cylinder; The athlete cannot continue running; The side of the conflict does not have the strength to fight, but it cannot give in. This condition arises when the resource of its owner is exhausted. In a word, it jams and "not back and not here." Moreover, the more you press on the gas, the more you slip. The stronger you want to breathe, the more you suffocate. Russia was at a "dead point." The country hung in the civilizational space. Whatever power does to simulate the movement, it only worsens the situation. Judge for yourself.
On the one hand, the Kremlin cannot accept the sanctions requirements of the West without losing face. Is it possible to return the Crimea to Ukraine or leave the Donbass? Or stop supporting Assad? Or admit that they poisoned the Skripals? Or turn cyberismatism? But why then created a cybervysk?
No no! The Kremlin cannot retreat. You cannot admit anything. You can’t take anyone. You can not promise to behave well. What else! To resist the sanctions is a new form of legitimation of the Russian authorities (rather, in its own understanding).
On the other hand, the Kremlin can no longer move in the logic "And we don't give a damn!" The sanctions nozzle destroys Russia's claims to the role of a great power. And without sovereignty there can be no omnipotence. Any attempts to demonstrate the fee will cause delaying the stray. Therefore, the Kremlin does not think about strictly responding to the West. And about the answer so as not to provoke the West to new troubles.
But it doesn’t work out. In September, Russia will hold the most powerful military maneuvers after the fall of the USSR - Vostok -2018. What else can you answer? But this will only give NATO a reason to deploy new battalions in neighboring states. And why did they fight?
Foreign policy in Russia has always been an instrument of solving internal problems, facilitating consolidation around the authorities and providing a foreign resource. Now foreign policy has become a burden for the budget and has led to the formation of an international space hostile for Russia. In short, foreign policy began to work to the detriment of national interests. But it is also impossible to reconsider it without destroying the imperious structure.
Inside the country, the authorities created political sugar. But lifting the cracks, the authorities creates a situation of a boiling teapot with a sealed lid.
The transformation of all institutions into a parody can inspire at the top the illusion of monitoring society. But in the absence of legal channels of the will, people have one opportunity to say what they think through the street.
And how the Kremlin selflessly makes Navalny Polubun from Alexei and increases its popularity!
And how President Putin managed to make a detonator from the “Pension Reform”, who could at any time spread his support - the Putin majority. The most important thing is without any need!
The instruments of the powers began to contradict their task. So, on the one hand, Russia cannot do without militarism, which has always been a compensation for economic development. On the other hand, Russia cannot afford militarization.
There was a devaluation of the mechanisms of omnipotence. Russia has always united itself not around national interest, but around the idea. And where is this idea today? Meanwhile, there cannot be strong power without a powerful idea. Erzatsu type "Crimeanshism" are not able to replace what is not.
The repressive mechanism was even more devalued. At the moment when the power structures began to dour the property and Colonel of the Ministry of Internal Affairs Zakharchenko (who cannot explain where 9 billion rubles came from) became the personification of the security forces, the law enforcement agencies ceased to guarantee the security of the state. But they are not capable of protecting power. Now they serve personal interest.
Russia can no longer ensure the imperial component - the basis of statehood. The end of the "Russian world" and the reluctance of Kazakhstan, Belarus and other allies to recognize the legitimate annexation of Crimea - this is the end of our Eurasian Galaxy.
The most interesting thing now is that now it will happen in a "dead point" with the ruling class. Western sanctions will inevitably lead to his split: those who will be forced to sit in Russia, and those who can integrate "into the West". Say, Rottenbergs and Timchenko will enjoy their stay in their homeland. But Aven with Friedman and Shuvalov, apparently, will be able to remain citizens of the world. Now we see how Usmanov and Abramovich are trying to find a new formula for life for themselves, selling in the UK. Let's see if they can find the model "and here - and there." But in any case, this schism is splitting the “vertical” base regardless of who will lead it.
When and how will we get out of the "dead point"? This will depend not only on external influence. This will depend primarily on the emergence of internal power in Russia, which will allow the country to get a "second wind." A breakthrough into the future always and everywhere provides an intellectual estate. The most opposition power towards power. But looking at the "List of Bartholomeev", who glorified the creative elite, who became a collective trusted person of Sobyanin, you understand: no, the intelligentsia has chosen a different function from us. However, young people remain, who can still pleasantly surprise us.
History says that societies cannot remain at the "dead point" for an infinitely long time. They either make a breakthrough either ...
Source of Kasparov. ru