
The deterioration of the demographic situation in the coming years will become the engine of the Russian economy. As the Finmarket agency reports, this is stated in the report of the Ministry of Economic Development. Experts of the ministry believe that the competition of employers for employees, the number of whom will decrease steadily, can become a growth driver for years to come. The dynamics of employment will determine the tendency to reduce the population at working age. The economically active population will be reduced by 1 million people in three years - to 72.9 million, even if young people, women with young children and pensioners work, the report said.
Due to the strict conditions in the labor market, companies will not have a choice - competition for employees will grow up and will have to constantly increase salaries, as well as invest in increasing labor productivity, the report said. The increase in real salaries will increase from 3.7 percent in 2013 to 5.5-5.9 percent in 2014-2015. This growth will also support the growth of state employee salaries, which are provided for in the plans of the government and Putin’s election program. In 2014-2015, the salaries of state employees will increase by 7-8 percent per year. For three years, the real salary of state employees will grow by 18.2 percent, the mayor predicts.
During the election campaign, Putin promised to take measures aimed at improving the demographic situation. In those regions where there are negative demographic trends, Putin offers to pay families to the families of special and subsequent children until they reach the age of three. “Specifically, this will mean an increase in about 7,000 rubles a month,” Putin writes. Over the next 4 years, Putin promises to eliminate the queues in kindergarten. The scholarship, according to Putin, should increase by 5 thousand rubles a month.
Putin is sure that if "it is possible to implement the strategy of the population, then by 2050 the country's population will increase to 154 million people." In a nasty, inertial version - the country by the same time will decrease to 107 million.