Translated material
Cancer and pike without swan
Apparently, the elections of the Governor of the Krasnoyarsk Territory will be held in August or September. The struggle for this post will converge the largest oligarchic groups with strategic interests in Central Siberia. The Interros group, which controls the key budget -forming enterprise of the region - Norilsk Nickel, the Norilsk Promrion and the Taimyr Autonomous Okrug. "Siberian aluminum" (part of the Russian aluminum holding), which owns another largest enterprise - OJSC "Krasnoyarsk Aluminum Plant" (KrAZ). RAO "UES of Russia", which plays on the side of Norilsk Nickel and leading a protracted tariff war with Rusal. NK Yukos, who advanced his top manager Boris Zolotarev to the post of Governor of the Evenki AO for the sake of control over the Northern Formation, local oil and power fields and electric power industry. "MDM group", which is competing with interpromombank and NK Rosneft for the management of Krasugol OJSC. Finally, the scattered local elite, partly friendly to the late governor, but mostly sharply hostile to him. All these groups have no time to promote new candidates. They will have to choose from the already announced applicants for the inheritance of Alexander Lebed, who died on April 28.
The elected campaign will be extremely complicated. First of all, because the edge of the electorate is very segmented, at least seven subteerritories with autonomous and homogeneous political sympathies are clearly distinguished in it. These are primarily two districts - Taimyr and Evenki, controlled by young and dynamic governors -Varangians; This is the city of Krasnoyarsk - the electoral patrimony of the criminal authority of Anatoly Bykov; This is a rural outback, where a swan is traditionally supported; And finally, these are Achinskaya, Kanskaya and Minusinsk city groups - here the electoral sympathies are strongly inclined to support the most popular and influential regional politician - the chairman of the Legislative Assembly of the region of Alexander Uss. Observers put forward at least two scenarios of the further development of events.
First. Moscow will give time the main players themselves to agree on the candidate of a single candidate. The Krasnoyarsk Territory for the Kremlin is even more important than Yakutia, around which so many copies were broken. The presidential environment is fully reported that the consensus should be achieved very quickly. Otherwise, in the region there will be something between Primorye and Yakutia, with all the ensuing political costs for the center and the region. In any case, it is unlikely that the Kremlin will decide to allow the dominance of power in the Krasnoyarsk corridors after the governor’s elections of only one group of players who put on the “correct horse”.
The head of the regional Legislative Assembly, Alexander the USS, an irreconcilable opponent of the late governor, could become such a compromise figure. A certified scientist-legalist, the former head of the legal department of the region, with great ties in local power structures, the SAS got along very well with the former governor Valery Zubov, but did not work with the swan. During last year's elections, the Legislative Assembly of the Territory Blok "Ours!" He took first place, leaving behind even the block of local criminal charismatic Anatoly Bykov. During the March visit of Vladimir Putin to Norilsk, the USS tried to convey to him a Swan systematized by local security forces. According to rumors, Putin did not accept the folder, recommending the head of the regional parliament to contact the Prosecutor General of the Russian Federation.
The SAS is leaving a figure closer to the Norilsk Nickel than to Sibal. For the group of Vladimir Potanin and the governor of the Bellyny Taimyr AO Alexander Khloponin (ex -get director of Norilsk Nickel) the best option is an agreement with the USS. Khloponin himself, although he is eager to run for the post of regional governor, is still not too famous in this giant, second largest Russian region.
Sibal does not have such strong positions in the region as the Interros and the Union RAO UES. Roman Abramovich and Oleg Deripaska can only try to lure the USS to their side, or to contrast him with one or two candidates who could delay the favorite of the voice. Thanks to this, at the final stage of the election campaign with the USS, it would be possible to conclude confidential agreements that guarantee the interests of Sibal. These people are theoretically able to become the Vice Speaker of the Duma from the Communist Party, Peter Romanov, ex-governor of the region, and now the head of the Duma committee on credit organizations and financial markets Valery Zubov and, finally, the mayor of Krasnoyarsk Peter Pimashkov.
Second. The Kremlin will consider the "Krasnoyarsk theme" too important to trust its oligarchs. In this case, the administration will be an “main resolving” administration, which will conduct negotiations with interested groups of both the one candidate and the division of key power positions in the region after the elections. This person is unlikely to become the present and. O. Governor Nikolai Ashlapov, "Man 'Sibala", who took the post of first vice-governor only two months ago. For example, they may be the head of the Ministry of Emergencies Sergey Shoigu, appointed by the head of the State Commission to investigate the causes of the Mi-8 helicopter disaster . Experts surveyed by faces.ru even express an exotic version of the possible participation of Shoigu in the regional governor's elections. Such a person, it is possible, will be the presidential envoy to the Siberian Railway Leonid Drachevsky. This one will not be a run to the Krasnoyarsk governors; However, the confidential mission of the “looking” for the elections, where the “candidate of Potanin” will be the favorite of that, would be logical, from the point of view of the Kremlin, to entrust the Siberian governor, known for his proximity to the competing business team of Roman Abramovich and Oleg Deripaska. Just "for balance."
The star and death of the commander - Brani.ru, 04/29/2002