: Kadyrov is tired

Ramzan Kadyrov promises to resign. Once, but not specifying when. In fact, it seems that Kadyrov is not going to give any power to anyone. And Moscow has no other candidates capable of "holding Chechnya." In general, there are no intelligible recipes for national policy in the North Caucasus.

Ramzan Kadyrov will resign. However, it is not known when and under what circumstances. As the head of Chechnya himself said in Kislovodsk (there was a forum of the peoples of the south of Russia, so there were many federal journalists), he would like to “carefully leave politics” after the process of restoring the Chechen economy will be completed.

He explained this by longing for his own family. “This is a great happiness and responsibility to be the head of the region. I have already reached the age when I would like to leave. I have a large family, and I want to pay more attention to them, ”said the Chechen leader. However, the head of Chechnya reassured journalists in that there are many worthy people in the republic who could lead it.

In Kadyrov’s statement, crafty is seen - without clarifying the deadlines (and Kadyrov. In particular, he emphasized that he did not refuse the next head of the region) Kadyrov’s departure is an extremely hypothetical event. And for the next period of the Chechen leader in the restless still, a lot can change a lot.

The format of interaction with Moscow on Kadyrov is unlikely to change. “Who else could be the president of Russia? Who else worthy of this place? Of course, Putin! And, of course, in the first round! We have only one national leader - Vladimir Putin, ”Kadyrov was unequivocal, traditionally already swearing Putin to be faithful. Accordingly, the reverse gratitude is expected. At least, the federal center has not yet been going to abandon all sorts of programs to restore Chechnya and support its economy.

There is a certain claim to the informal status of the “leader” for this statement for Kadyrov himself. After all, if Putin can be considered the leader of the nation, then Kadyrov may well claim the role of the leader of the Chechen people. In this sense, his potential departure from the post of head of the republic is unlikely to significantly reduce (at least, he himself may well rely on this) his informal influence. Unless the head of Chechnya will fall the victim of a conspiracy in his environment.

Other alternative centers of power - not counting the gangs of militants - in the republic are practically eliminated and political power, as far as one can judge, today only a member of the Kadyrovsky “team” can apply. And then she was sent an extremely strange and even enemy signal. As if declared a "successive race".

Only this kind of processes in personalist regimes are fraught with all kinds of troubles for the participants in the "race".

The Central Asian authoritarian rulers in the post -Soviet space, for example, are very fond of talking about their care and see who will begin to show activity. Typically, the most active applicants for the still occupied throne have a hard time: they certainly fall out of the favorite.

And Ramzan Kadyrov has some grounds for distrust even to his environment. Media previously appeared in the media about attempts to attempt on the Chechen leader.

And it is not a fact that, armed with formal power, one of the associates will not push Kadyrov from the role of the “father of the Chechen people”.

Symbolically, Kadyrov’s departure would become a landmark event in the context that many simply doubted that the young 35-year-old chapter of Chechnya would give someone their post. And to imagine that in the next 10 years there will be a Russian president who dares to dismiss Kadyrov is absolutely unrealistic. Kadyrov is, as it were, stability and peace (or, at least, their visibility) in Chechnya. And the wars in the republic have already buried many politicians in Moscow - few people want to take risks.

And the system of election of governors (Kadyrov himself said on the eve that he doesn’t care - to be elected or appointed), which he promises to introduce into the Kremlin, and threatens to make it forever re -elected, following the example of the same Central Asian rulers. It’s already not far from a monarchical rule in the republic - but this is such a distant temporary horizon that no forecast power will be enough.

It is clear, however, that in the coming years, Kadyrov will try to stay as a non-alternative leader of the republic, and Moscow is unlikely to seriously change something in the management of a difficult Caucasian region.

At least, the toothless and even meaningless article by Vladimir Putin on the national question, which came out the day before, did not definitely contain any recipes for the “new Caucasian policy”. Special federal body? Well, well. And the proposals of Dmitry Medvedev so far were reduced to the tour of the Bolshoi Theater in the North Caucasus republics-that is the creative.

As for the “Kadyrov’s resignation” itself, this is how the impression of such a “thin” Caucasian humor and tugs over journalists. "Oh, how tired I am!" - And revival began. In the end, it is one thing to “get tired of power”, and it’s quite another to give power.