Translated material
Changing Chinese milestones
I am afraid of becoming a target for ridicule, but these days world history, or at least the history of Russia, certainly one of the resonators of global socio-political processes, is changing its course again. I'm talking about the massive mutual Chinese-Uighur massacre in East Turkestan, which is officially called the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region of the Xinjiang Province of the People's Republic of China (ugh...).
When the domestic authorities, obsequiously swearing and repeating “Xiao,” transferred the Russian islands to China, I was not the only one who perceived this as homage (a ritual of recognition by a vassal of dependence on the overlord). The problem is not whether this was fair (from the position of supreme cosmic justice) or whether it was consistent with the constitutional principle of territorial integrity. After all, international law is silent on the moment when routine clarification of borders turns into the transfer of sacred and inviolable native land. But in the East in general, and in the Far East in particular, a unilateral concession always means loss of face and recognition of oneself as subordinate. Therefore, China, Japan, both Koreas, and Vietnam have been negotiating for decades over the disputed islands, without conceding a single square micron of land and politely ignoring the entire stream of [indisputable] historical and cartographic arguments of the other side. To top off the recognition of dependence, the Russian authorities allowed the Chinese, during exercises within the SCO, to practice storming a model of a Russian city under the pretext of liberating it from “international terrorists.” I believe that since the time of the Horde expeditions to the rebellious cities of Ulus Jochi, Moscow rulers never allowed the eastern armies to practice the conquest of Russian lands. But those were the epic times of the “Horde Kadyrov” - Grand Duke Ivan Kalita.
In these fateful days, three scenarios that looked real just a week ago were given a long life.
The first (“Brzezinski’s dream”) - the USA and China create a world directory (tandemocracy), honestly dividing the ball (the demarcation of imperiums occurs in today's Russia - somewhere along the geometric mean).
The second (“the dream of the security forces”) - the Russian Federation and China form a second geopolitical pole, balancing the first - the Anglo-American one.
The third (“Sorokin/Bushkov’s dream”) - a disintegrating Russia falls under the control of China.
Russian radical oppositionists (by a strange coincidence - both liberals and national patriots) in recent years have seen one catastrophic scenario before them - the direct or indirect occupation of the Far East and Transbaikalia (and perhaps Siberia) by China. Because the country is doomed - after a powerful crisis, which must inevitably culminate Putin’s policy, peace-loving external and people-loving internal.
However, mutual Chinese-Uyghur (more precisely, Han-Uyghur) pogroms in Urumqi (the capital of Uyghuria) and demonstrations in Kashgar clearly indicate that the last great empire of the earth has entered a phase of breakdown.
From now on, the People's Republic of China will only defend itself from the waves of centrifugal separatism. The first funeral bell rang above her. Here we can recall the riots in Almaty and Karaganda in December 1986 (now in the center of Almaty there is a monument to heroic students - it was erected by former Politburo member Nazarbayev). After Zheltoksan, it became absolutely clear to visionary people: ethnonationalism has become the cryptoideology of non-Russian republics, they perceive themselves as separate nations, and no “renewed socialism” will displace this from their consciousness. Events in Uyghuria clearly show that the authorities of modern China, like the authorities of the late USSR, have not found a universal ideological integrator for the country, and ethnic groups are ready to tear each other apart under any pretext. And this is not a poor and mystical Tibet isolated from the world, but a completely developed and populated Xinjiang.
Beijing has a Great Han idea. But she is only for her own people. And it is already clear that neither the tremendous continuous economic growth of the last three decades, nor the ultra-stable political system (over which so many envious drools have been made), nor the five-thousand-year-old culture will help persuade either the Tibetans or the Uyghurs to remain part of the Celestial Empire. Territorial integrity is ensured only by lethal fire from troops and police.
Let us remember this day, July 5, 2009, when China's thousand-year territorial expansion and its imperial tradition ended forever. From now on, only slow, careful attempts to change the quality of state foundations are possible in order to give other, non-national-imperial principles for preserving the country - experiments with federalism, attempts to unite China by strict law, if there is no democracy...
There will be no absorption of Central Asia by China. For one and a half billion Hans could not stomach their Muslims.
There will be no second pole of the universe (with Russia of the Sechins as an appendage). Beijing now has no time for global “games of civilization” - there are other minorities, there is a huge gap between the prosperous Pacific coast and the poverty of the interior, there is a rigid sub-civilizational border between the Confucian north and the Taoist south.
There will be no division of the world (and Russia) between America and China. Communist-market China, unlike the era of Mao, was unable to give its subjects a universal idea, much less can it give it to other countries of its potential empire.
The core has been taken out of the SCO, and Russian cities will never again be a testing ground for “anti-terrorist operations” by Chinese troops.
In a word, from now on all patriots (without quotes) of Russia can look into the future with optimism - our country will never again become the Ulus of Jochi.