Around Russia

The Belarusian Front

July 31, 2020 Igor Yakovenko

34 thousand came to the rally in Minsk in support of the presidential candidate Svetlana Tikhanovskaya. Tikhanovskaya, who became a single opposition candidate, previously stated that she was involved in the presidential election instead of the husband, blogger and political and political prisoner Sergei Tikhanovsky, exclusively in order to organize honest and transparent elections of the president, to release the Political Zyla and organize a referendum on the return of the 1994 Constitution. That is, Svetlana Tikhanovskaya intends in the event of her victory to become a classic president of the transition period for a period of six months.

In a speech before the many thousands of the audience of its supporters, Tikhanovskaya confirmed these intentions. Her speech was not a performance of a burned politician, but by the words of a person who is confidentially dividing with his close sensations. “I do not need power, but my husband behind bars. I had to hide the children. I'm tired of enduring, I'm tired of silent, I'm tired of being afraid. And you? " - She turned to the audience.

There is no electoral sociology in Belarus, so no one knows what a pre -election rating is Lukashenko’s, and which is Tikhanovskaya.

At the end of May, the popular Belarusian publications Onliner and TUT.BY, as well as local Telegram channels held several online surveys on the eve of the elections. In two such surveys, Alexander Lukashenko scored only 3%. In the other, a little more - in the region of 6%. In social networks for Lukashenko, the nickname "Sasha 3%" was fixed. Lukashenko was offended and ordered his Academy of Sciences to issue licenses for any research in which there are questions about politics, and he prohibited “unlicensed” polls.

After that, the analytical center of the Ecoom - an analogue of the Russian VTsIOM, only a worsened, even more caricature copy of it - published the results of the “research”, which included 72.3% of support from Lukashenko, and only 7.5% in Tikhalovskaya. The fact that no one believes in this data does not matter to Lukashenko. Just because there are two structures at his disposal, which, he believes, guarantee him a victory with a result of 72.3% or higher, regardless of the real will of citizens.

The first structure is the Belarusian CEC and its head Lydia Ermoshin, which has been in this department since 1992, and since 1996 it has been its head. Unlike her Russian colleague, Ella Pamfilova Lidia Mikhailovna, almost the whole political biography, owe to the President of Lukashenkoe for 24 years of immense service repeatedly proved his devotion to him.

It was she who immediately, without hesitation, signed the protocols of the illegal referendum of 1996, after Lukashenko appointed it to the head of the Cic instead of Victor Gonchar, who refused to do this and paid for his fundamental position. It was she who announced the next “elegant” Victory Lukashenko in the next presidential election, starting since 2001. There is not the slightest doubt that Lidia Mikhailovna will readily declare the victory of Alexander Grigoryevich with a result of 99.9%, even if 0.1% of the vote is presented in reality for him. And in this she will not be hindered by the election commission, the vast majority consisting of Lukashenkov’s “trade unions”, “Komsomol”, representatives of “labor collectives” and other soviet atavisms, which the “Disard” regime carefully preserved precisely for such cases.

While Svetlana Tikhanovskaya travels to Belarusian cities, where numerous support rallies meet her, Lukashenko meets people in uniform. The army, the KGB and the police - this is the second source of his victory in which Lukashenko does not doubt for a second.

True, here a Belarusian dictator can wait for a surprise. Lukashenko’s level of shame is so high, and the massive support of the Tikhanovskaya’s support is so great that after the announcement of the next “elegant” victory of the leader, the protests will have to be dispersed by force, and the security forces will be given an order to shoot. And it is very highly likely that most men in uniform will not follow this order.

“Dear military, look into our eyes, we are the same as you” - with such words Svetlana Tikhanovskaya turned to the security forces, urging not to use violence against the protesters. When a woman speaks such words on behalf of many thousands of people, they are able to convince more than the frenzy lucashenko that the platoon of Putin's militants came to overthrow him.

Photo: 1, 3. 30.07.2020. Belarus. Minsk. A pre -election rally in support of the presidential candidate of Belarus Tikhalovskaya in Minsk. Natalia Fedosenko/TASS
2. 30.07.2020. Belarus. Minsk. The wife of the ex-candidate of Belarus, Valery Tsepkalonika Veronika Terkopsalo, presidential candidate Svetlana Tikhanovskaya and representative of the headquarters Viktor Babariko, Maria Kolesnikova (from left to right) during the election rally in support of Tikhanovskaya in the Park of Friendship of Peoples. Natalia Fedosenko/TASS
4-6. Belarus. Minsk. Candidates for the President of Belarus: Sergey Chereu, Anna Kanopatskaya, Andrey Dmitriev. The presidential election in Belarus will be held on August 9. Natalia Fedosenko/TASS
7. 07/14/2020. Belarus. Minsk. Acceleration of the action in support of the opposition to Viktor Babariko and Valery Tsepkalo, which the Central Election Commission of Belarus refused to register as presidential candidates in Minsk. Tatyana Zenkovich/EPA/TASS