Translated material
How will we pay?
The most disgusting thing is lies. “Fascists”, “Bandera”, “pogroms”. “Our military is needed due to the threat to the lives of our military.” "Everything is in one breath." "All as one..."
So far everything is going according to the worst scenario. The rebellious regions do not separate, but declare Kyiv illegitimate, i.e. our faithful and brave friend Yanukovych will lay claim to all of Ukraine. Kyiv, naturally, does not recognize characters like Aksenov. This is not just the deployment of our troops in a foreign country - this is a real war. Load 200, crippled. The last time it ran until 1953.
Okay, the Ukrainians will figure out whether to fight or capitulate, with whom and how to negotiate. How will we pay?
I won’t talk about the economy in conditions of actual recession; I prefer to listen to experts.
Whether there will be international isolation is not obvious. With all the indignation of the world community over our military sports festival “Spring” (Aksenov, if anyone doesn’t remember), there are too many more important problems - Syria, Iran, North Korea. Yes, and oil and gas are needed. There are still things that the regime can ignore - problems with visas (but not for everyone), curtailment of cultural programs, educational and scientific exchanges, etc. Maybe they'll kick you out of G-8. That is, the Cold War, of course, is inevitable, but I think the West will refrain from drastic actions.
But the consequences within the country are inevitable and they will arise regardless of the course of the war.
Firstly, the domestic political line will become even tougher. The oppositionists are already enemies of the Fatherland, but now it will be completely “according to the laws of war.” Censorship will increase, it will become completely impossible to breathe. Spiritual bonds, in general, are traditional values and a symphony of authorities.
Secondly, everyone who has contacts with foreigners will come under attack. Wiretapping, mandatory reports on each meeting (some institutes already require this), and everything else that is so familiar to those who managed to work under Soviet rule. Exit visas may also be introduced. There are more than enough people in the organs for whom SMERSH is a symbol of valor and heroism - I felt this myself. So they will turn around.
Thirdly, this is the militarization of science and education. Actually, military science is the only science whose meaning of existence is clear to the authorities. This means that everyone else can stop worrying and do something useful for the country. Well, the inevitable militarization of the economy will further reduce competition.
Fourthly, emigration. According to recent surveys, 39 percent of young people, moreover, more educated than average, are thinking about emigrating. And it will be eighty. And most importantly, many will move from talk to action. And children will be more actively exported - not everyone will want to raise boys to protect our compatriots in some other fraternal country.
Fifthly, due to all of the above, our lag will only increase - a non-competitive authoritarian system with an archaic ideology and the deteriorating quality of human capital does not win the competition. And the country’s reaction to this will be either further movement towards dictatorship, or an explosion.
On March 1, 1881, Grinevitsky's bomb ended hopes for a Constitution and peaceful development. There was a revolution ahead. Today is also the first of March.