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Explosions in Minsk and Moscow: Find 5 coincidences

April 18, 2011 Mikhail Berg

Although the Lukashenkovskoye KGB announced the detention of a suspect in the explosion, who had already admitted that he was Ramses the Second, neither trust in this information or the name of the customer, and most likely would not be.

Meanwhile, Valeria Novodvorskaya and Konstantin Borova even earlier voiced a version, according to which the explosion in the Minsk metro business of the hands of Old Man Lukashenko. A quote from the “Crime and Punishment” of Dostoevsky was successfully recalled: how did it - who killed? You killed, my friend, because there is no one else. It is clear that neither Borovoy nor Novodvorskaya have any actual evidence of their version. However, Batenka rhymes remarkably with the old man , and there are really many other amazing coincidences. Although there are differences.

Belarus is not Russia, there was never an empire, other peoples, in particular Caucasian (with their traditional institution of revenge), never won fire and sword, did not apply offenses, there is nowhere to wait for such a loud answer from Muslim fundamentalists or other separatists. Ideas that Lukashenko revenge from the side (al-Keda or West) for the fact that Belarusian mercenaries are fighting in Libya, or for the fact that the Old Man is opposed to Western civilizational standards are ridiculous. It is when comparing with the history of Belarusia that the history of Russia acquires the most bloody and irreconcilable features: in Russia, those to whom it caused insults - close, far, and under the heart, and in the underbelly, and along all borders.

Russia managed to offend everyone and almost everyone, even in Orthodox countries, causes healthy distrust. Even our brothers Serbs, many of whom have no doubt that Miloshevich was on a very short leash of Moscow and all this idea of ​​the Serbia war against all at once of the Republics of Yugoslavia was invented by the Kremlin in order to at least temporarily tear Serbia from the general movement towards the European Union. And Miloshevich fought exactly until the Kremlin considered that the spilled blood was enough so that Serbia did not rush after the others in the arms of democratic Europe. So, by the way, it turned out.

That is why the idea that the explosion in Minsk has a Russian trace does not seem fantastic to me. Finally spoil the reputation of the Old Man, after which any flirting with the European Union will become impossible, but the return of the prodigal son back to the Russian eldest brother is almost inevitable. With the reputation of a tyrant, exposing his own people, in order to achieve the consolidation of his authoritarian power, with the old man, except Russia, no one will be friends. But for Russia, it will become much more obedient-not silk, of course, the character is not the same, and the Old Man for three presidential terms is not childish, but our son will still be and will be. And since we now have other sons and relatives, it will come down.

To give arguments like “unprecedented inhumanity”, “criminal bloody and so on politics” - honestly, baby babble. The offender only thinks about what outweighs: the benefit in case of good luck or loss, if caught and revealed. We have already said about the benefits in the sense of Russian great power, but if they catch, there will be no special losses. The Old Man is still nowhere to go: until he frees political prisoners and will allow Belarusians to have at least a minimum of democratic freedoms, Europe will not forgive and give him money. And to soften the regime, especially on the eve of the inevitable financial and economic collapse, he is not with his hand. Own power is closer to the body.

However, if you look for the most likely candidate for the place of the customer of the explosion in the Minsk metro, then if you discard the cynical logic of the Russian political elite, you can mention the internal Belarusian customer - these are, of course, the father himself and his security forces, prompting the path and his unknown, unprincipled, to varying degrees of mentally normal and cruel opponents. If we talk about the latter, it is doubtful that they belong to the current democratic opposition. The democratic opposition (whoever explodes) loses the most from the attack. There is no doubt that the Old Man, even if the customer is not, uses the very fact of the explosion to strengthen his power. That is, he will trample their opponents with great enthusiasm, and now they can’t see freedom for a long time. At least this is what Putin did in Russia, which tightened the system of his own power from explosion to explosion. In this sense, Lukashenko turns out to be a very attentive reader of the book of Yuri Felstinsky "The FSB explodes Russia." It is likely that he not only read this book, but also believed it to the authors. And he wanted to save his power according to his existing Russian recipes: wasn’t Putin twisted nuts in response to explosions in Moscow, started the war in Chechnya and raised the rating from almost zero to heaven? And after the terrorist attack in the theater at Dubrovka, he spun what was left - he left the country without elections of mayors and governors, even earlier, blocking oxygen independent television.

It is possible that the Old Man decided to repeat Putin’s experience in Belarus, but, as always, not very successful. Putin had a hide behind a back - there are traditionally a lot of enemies from imperial Russia in the Caucasus, and after two Chechen wars, even more so. Lukashenko, if he is a customer, you can hide only childishly: not caught-not a thief. And how to catch him, if he himself catches the thief. This resembles Kurt Wonnegut’s famous Roman “Cut for a cat”, where the tyrant catches his opponent, but cannot catch, since the opponent is the tyrant himself, split to strengthen his own power.

But when listing possible customers of the explosion in the Minsk metro, one cannot but mention those whom we called unknown, rigid and unprincipled opponents of Lukashenko. If we subtract a democratic opposition from this too generalized image, then patriotic anarchists remain, who believe that the dad regime is so weakened that such a blow to the back will no longer withstand. Is it possible that in the peaceful blue -eyed Belarus to be their own “red brigades” or “black panthers”? Why not? The level of injustice of the Lukashenko regime goes off scale. In these circumstances, terror as a weapon is not just weak, but brought to the last line of weakness is quite likely. Without approving the terrorist attack against peaceful and innocent people, we, however, see that it is precisely such tactics that the forces come to the underground. So, whoever is the customer of the explosion in the Minsk metro, his culprit is Lukashenko. Whether he decided to repeat the trick of his older brother or simply brought the country to a real collapse, the Old Man is to blame, and he should be responsible for it. Most likely, not soon, while he is in power, he cannot be liable, but historically, like his older brother, he is doomed.

Photos of RIA Novosti