Was there an atom?

Did North Korea really behed by an uninvited guest on October 9 at the door of the Nuclear Club? American experts in various special services claim that not. It is not without reason that Bill Herzu - the Rupor of high -ranking scouts and officials in the administration gave it to the prolongation from the editorial of Washington Times.

It is verified that Hertz is very rarely “merges” to “Times” of misinformation, especially about events of this scale. And if it merges, it is always a detail of the geopolitical game. By quoting anonymous sources in the administration that have admission to the documentation of the special services, Herz claims: the small power of the recorded explosion - about 500 tons of TNT (that is, about 0.5 kilotons) indicates that a significant malfunction occurred - the “chain reaction” did not work out, or that the beads are elementarily shields.

Specialists in the analysis of seismograms suggested that North Korea produced a conventional explosion of a large number of ordinary high -quality explosives. “We registered something that reaches to the mark of 4 points on the Richter scale, but so far we can’t say that it was a nuclear explosion - information and data must be double -checked,” Hertz said in the administration. According to him, the North Koreans "did not have enough thousand tons of TNT to reach the scale of the nuclear explosion." Usually, at the first tests of nuclear weapons, a bomb with a capacity of at least 10 kilotons is used, and the explosion power in North Korea was 20 times lower. Little for the Plutonium bomb ... "more hissing than cotton," emphasized, jokingly, the anonymous source of Hertz.

By the way, various seismic stations in the world evaluate the power of the explosion in different ways. So, for example, according to the French, he reached the kiloton, but was also not nuclear. Only Russian military experts said that the tests were really nuclear with a capacity of 5 kilotons. Civil experts in Russia, like American, doubt.

Suspicions that the DPRK blew, expressed the White House spokeswoman Tony Snow, who believes that Pyongyang’s statements need to be checked and this check would take several days. At the same time, he called for "taking immediate measures in response to these non -provoked DPRK actions." He stated that the United States will seek an emergency consultation on the North Korean nuclear program from the UN Security Council. The Americans introduced a draft resolution to the UN Security Council, which provides for a forced inspection of all goods heading to the DPRK or exported from there for weapons of mass destruction (OU) or materials for its manufacture. The United States also offers to freeze all assets related to North Korean programs in the field of OU and missiles. Washington offers the UN members to ban the entrance to their ports to all DPRK ships, not provide airports of North Korean aircraft, boycott the DPRK products and prohibit the entry of the highest officials of the DPRK.

And here, a day after the tests, the DPRK representative at the UN stated that his country is ready to refuse the development of a nuclear program if the United States resumes direct negotiations with North Korea. Experts in the West cannot come to a consensus about this strange blackmail. The question "What is the true reason for such Games Pyongyan?" It will be guaranteed to be the hottest issue in these coming days. What did they want to achieve the DPRK power with a similar "pseudo -core" explosion? And to whom did these actions bring benefits in the geopolitical plan?

There are many versions and directly opposite conclusions. After all, nuclear tests in the DPRK - real or fake - simply destroy the entire geopolitical structure in the world that has developed in recent years.

Maybe it would be Pyongyang revenge for the fact that the South Korean diplomat Pan Hi Muna was zealously promoted to the post of Secretary Generally? Then this is a stupid move - after all, the test of nuclear weapons, of course, influenced his election on the last rating vote. According to some experts, in this regard, from the moment of the entry of Pan Hi Muna to the post (January 1, 2007), the DPRK will divide the first place in the "List of Outcasts" with Iran. On the other hand, the new UN Secretary General is known as an ardent adherent of compromise policy. And seeing the experience of Tehran’s games in the nuclear issue with the UN, Pyongyang could afford to rush 500 tons of TNT into the wind so that Pan Guna was made by the Secretary General unconditionally.

By the way, if we talk about Tehran, then tests in the DPRK, whatever they may be in the hand of the Iranian regime. After all, if North Korea will appear on a par with Iran, or even go the first as the owner of nuclear weapons in the "list of outcasts", Ayatollahs will be able to breathe calmer. Being not the most important enemy of the West is a kind of advantage. In addition, if the trials are real, Tehran hopes that Pyongyang will be able to share something with the "Brother of Half". However, if the DPRK, frightened by the new UN Secretary General, decided to follow the path, the excessed leader of Libyan Jamahiria Muammar Gaddafi, who sold their underdeveloped pseudo -asset program for recognition of the West, will not be lucky.

Lucky just Americans who get rid of the enemy on the threshold. After all, recently, many US experts associated and not related to South Korea and Japan have repeated that Pyongyang is an order of magnitude more dangerous than Tehran. North Korean sources even claimed that America was preparing a preventive nuclear blow, in particular, after the tests of seven missiles in July this year, including one Taepodong-2, capable of delivering a nuclear warhead to Alaska. Herz in his article quotes sources in special services, which claim that the DPRK is enough for the manufacture of six warheads. Technologies for their production and centrifuge for enriching Uranus were put by Pyongyan by Pakistani scientist Abdul Hadir Khan. Moreover, he handed over to the Libyans the drawings of the creation of warheads ... of Chinese origin. It is not known whether the North Koreans got the same drawings. But then it is not clear why American officials to merge information about a fake test through Hertz? Once again, to run into Pakistan, with whom the Americans recently have stretched relations both because of the searches of Ben Laden and because of the strengthening of relations between Islamabad and Beijing?

Speaking of China: the situation with the tests seems to have caused very much damage to the relationship between Beijing and Pyongyang. Indeed, by strange chance, the Chinese authorities learned about the trials ... 20 minutes before the explosion!

The official representative of the PRC of the PRC Liu Jiangio “ran” into the DPRK, saying that “a nuclear test in the DPRK will undoubtedly affect the relationship of China and North Korea. We proceed from the need to develop relations with the DPRK, but these relations should not only meet the interests of two parties, but also contribute to peace and stability in the region.” "Any measures taken should contribute, firstly, the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, secondly, to the world and stability in North-East Asia, thirdly, the resumption of the six-way process," Liu Jiancao said, commenting on the possibility of imposing sanctions against the DPRK. But before, China resolutely opposed any sanctions against the DPRK!

Maybe this has become one of the reasons for Pyongyang exactly a fake nuclear test? This is not clear. But here it should be noted that there is another country, which previously opposed the sanctions, but unlike the PRC now tries to adhere to the most calm position regarding Pyongyan. But the tests took 200 kilometers from its territory. We are talking about Russia, which the DPRK acquires nuclear weapons does not seem to worry. Apart from, of course, the boiler meters are purchased and everything that can protect against radiation in the Far Eastern areas of the country.

Russian politicians said that the test can be considered "a reaction to massive pressure, which in recent years has been exerting Bush administration on North Korea." “You can only regret that Pyongyang, nevertheless, went along the path of implementing his nuclear program,” said Konstantin Kosachev, head of the Duma Committee on International Affairs, mentioning that Russia and the DPRK have common boundaries. The vice-speaker of the Federation Council Alexander Torshin was even more soft. “I am far from the idea of ​​dramatizing the situation, however, it is undoubtedly alarming,” he said.

Maybe such a soft reaction was caused by the fact that Moscow, unlike Beijing, the traditional ally of Pyongyan, warned of tests in two hours. At the same time, it is not known whether they warned anyone before Russia. Some Western experts believe that this indicates a kind of bunch of Pyongyang-Tegeran-Moscow. After all, if Russia abruptly reacted to a nuclear explosion 200 km from its border, it would be put in a difficult position because of its Iranian nuclear ties.

It is difficult to condemn the DPRK when you yourself build a nuclear power plant in the Iranian Bushera. Maybe this version is invented, however, it best reflects the mess that produced in the political system of the world an explosion of 500 tons of TNT at the North Korean training ground.

It is impossible to predict today how the situation will develop later. Only one thing is clear: even if Pyongyang is just blinking, on October 9, 2006, the DPRK managed to shuffle the geopolitical deck so that the future alignment of the big game became not clear to anyone.