Good night, country!

Andrey Shipilov: The situation hangs now, but hangs on a rope that can break at any time

Update: 28-10-2015 (01:52)

From the site "Kasparov.ru".

! Spelling and stylistics of the author are preserved

Now, when you are reading these lines, somewhere beyond the horizon, the battle of which Putin’s Russia and Russia in general depends on the horizon.

No, this is not about Syria at all. And not about Dambas. And not about Ukraine with the Crimea. The most important line of the front is now passing in the Urals.

There are no reports in the news and social networks about this battle, no one hears neither firing nor explosions, but nevertheless, the resources that are involved in this battle exceed Syria and Dambas that are taken together, and I probably will not be mistaken if I say that now, in this battle, all resources are abandoned in the Kremlin, and most likely, it has no reserve.

To the general public, the echoes of the battle reach only in the form of background echoes under the heading "Bankruptcy of Transaero". Although it would be more correct to name this topic "Bankruptcy of the Kremlin?" So far - with a question sign.

Sit down more comfortably, friends, I’ll now try to explain to you chronologically what exactly is happening.

But first, to understand the situation, I will have to briefly run in briefly through the events that already known to you (and possibly, uninteresting).

The first news was strange. The Russian government suddenly decided that the shareholders of the private airline Transaero should sell their shares in the State Airflot for ... 1 ruble. It is clear that it is not included in the authority of the government, and the decision turned out to be not only illegal and insignificant, but also absurdly not fulfilled. Even with autocracy, the king could not order the submitted to sell his property for nothing, if he did not want to. What can we say about the current times.

On the same day, the general director of Transaero was removed from office, and a representative of Aeroflot was appointed in his place. Middle Acts Transaero's Middle Enterity has become subordinate to the Aeroflot management. What legal procedures were furnished with such changes hidden by the darkness not only from the general public, but also from the company's employees. Only one thing is reliably known, the change of management occurred bypassing the charter of the company and the current legislation.

This could be called a raider seizure, but during raider seizures, raiders at least formally imitate the legality of their actions, well, at least fake the protocol of the meeting of shareholders ... And here - neither the protocol nor the meeting.

Once as the transaero general director of Aeroflot, the first thing began, no, no, not to save the company, but it is purposeful to ruin it and bring it to bankruptcy. When the Russian press wrote that Transaero is bankrupt, having debts of 180 billion rubles, she was cunning. “Debts” in this case are loans and obligations on current payments. Which any company that maintains activities has, and the more successful the company, the more loans and payments hang on it. Here, for example, you have a mortgage and you must pay five thousand road tax. Does this mean that you are bankrupt? No, of course, if you repay the mortgage in time and pay the tax on time, you are not bankrupt, but a quite successful citizen.

So, Transaero paid on loans and bills, on time and without delay. In any case, it was at the time of the change of leadership.

The first thing that made a new management of the company sent by Aeroflot imposed a veto to pay off loans and payments to counterparties. Not because there was nothing to pay, but because the veto was simply overlapping. Without any reason and explanation.

And then transaero flights began to be canceled. Everyone, I suppose, read: "Today, Transaero canceled 39 flights." Why can you cancel, you asked yourself? What's happened? There are not enough aircraft? There is nothing to pay for kerosene? The weather is ridiculous? No, and the weather is flight and there are planes, and the money for kerosene is allocated. Then why did the flights be canceled?

And in order to give them to Aeroflot. Are you naive, do you think that the Aeroflot of Transaero passengers took out for free? No matter how! For each such flight, Aeroflot issued a transaero account. And the amount of the account was noticeably higher than the real cost of the flight.

Well, you understand. I.O. The general director, sent by Aeroflot, transfers the flights to Aeroflot, so that Aeroflot will then issue a transaero account at an inflated price. Such a completely simple three -way, for which in some of the civilized countries you can sit for three life -long periods ...

Newspapers came out with loud headlines "Transaero" brought their own leadership. " They only kept silent that it was the same “new leadership” appointed by Aeroflot.

Transaero officers rushed to look for justice from the guarantor of the Constitution created a petition on Chance.org , and that scored more than 120 thousand signatures on the first day. The guarantor of the Constitution in response made a statement in which he threatened companies selling transaero batteries. Remember, Richelieu's note in the "Three Musketeers"? She read: "What the bearer did this was made by my order" ...

And then what happened what happened, the shareholders of Transaero refused to sell their shares to Aeroflot for 1 ruble. And the last ghostly clue, which would justify the transfer of management with the company in the hands of Aeroflot, disappeared. But Aeroflot continued to manage Transaero, contrary to the law, and common sense, and decency, and even contrary to their visibility. However, it did not matter, by that time Transaero's work was completely destroyed.

And then the government makes a decision - declares Transaero bankrupt. The government has neither authority nor rights to this. Only the court can declare bankrupt. And the government even has the right to initiate the bankruptcy procedure itself. This can be done either by the debtor himself or the creditor. The creditors were silent at that time. In the stunning of what was happening, they were numb. It seems to be reliable guarantees, in the form of transaero shares, which lay as a pledge in their safe, overnight turned into a pumpkin.

However, the legality of what was happening the government worried at last. Rather, it was worried, but, on the other hand. If at least some measures were taken with the defeat of the Yukos in order to maintain at least the external visibility of the rule of law, then the goal was different here-defiantly and as impudently as possible to violate the law.

It was a message to large business and elites. “You are nobody,” this message reported, “you are shit on a stick, you are our property, what we want to do with you, we will do. Neither law nor society will protect you, from now on the only law is in force in the country - the Wishlist of the first persons of the state.”

The message was heard. But the reaction to the message this time was not at all the same as expected in Moscow.

Something went wrong!

For the general public, these headlines were almost unnoticed: "Vyacheslav Filev bought a transaero control package," Vyacheslav Filev removed the general director appointed by Aeroflot. "

For a narrow, dedicated public, these headlines were like an explosion of a nuclear bomb. “He was fucked up!”, “He didn’t understand who he went against!”, “Is he a suicide?!”

Two events occurred immediately. The Federal Air Transport Agency instantly withdrew the expert’s certificate (of course, contrary to the existing rules and the law), and the general director appointed by Aeroflot made a statement that no one had removed it.

And all! How cut it off! The news flow on the topic of transaero instantly dried up. So occasionally some kind of peals are heard, like through a cotton pillow ...

And the recovers meanwhile - very serious. Now, in the open spaces of one sixth of the land, a large -scale war is unfolding. So far, somewhere there. Far from the layman and out of sight of the media. And the war is not around Transaero. Transaero is only an occasion and indicator of what is happening. This is a war between regional elites and the center. The elites heard the message sent to him and realized that "if not now, then never again."

As I told me one gentleman, according to which I actually retell this story, the reaction to the demarche of Philes in the center was almost hysterical: "Roll into the asphalt of this moron! Cut into pieces and send in parts to all regions so that it would be unknown to others!"

It was not possible to cut. The prober's probe returned without scalp and with a response a little one, which read: “Boys, if you do not want to get the Siberian-Dalnet Eastern Republic with a detailed front throughout the Urals-Get in! Geiser and Khoroshavina-we missed it! But you will not succeed, we organized-go away!”

And then it turned out that the center has no resources for suppressing a rebellion! No left!

The situation was hanging! She hangs now, but hangs on a rope that can break at any time. And the rope is stretched so much that it can demolish half the country.

Opponents are not standing still, they stomp, take some steps, and everyone is afraid to take a wrong step. But time works against the center. So for a long time the situation will not be drawn.

At the end there will be someone alone.

Good night, country!