A dangerous trend for the Russian authorities is becoming more and more clearly visible. I recently mentioned an incident in Yekaterinburg, when for political reasons they tried to prevent people from meeting with actress Rimma Markova. The public did not listen to the administrators and law enforcement officers, did not disperse, insisted on their own, the meeting took place and, naturally, acquired the character of a political event against the ruling party and those who rule the country today.
On December 2, a communist election rally took place in Rostov-on-Don. You can watch the video at the link below. The rally was permitted. However, a crowd of police arrived and began to interfere, try to turn off the sound, etc. It ended with the entire group of these policemen being pressed against the wall of the building by the angry rally public, who began chanting “Shame!”, the hat of one of the officers was knocked off, etc. The police did not dare to take active action, went on the defensive and were clearly at a loss. This is good, since about a hundred people were pressing on them, and several hundred more protesters did not interfere, but seemed ready to intervene at any moment. It is clear that no matter how the matter ends, before the elections, the massacre of the authorities clearly would not have increased popularity and votes.
Judging by these episodes, the irritation of people (the most ordinary, not professional opponents of the regime) is growing sharply. You can also remember the relatively recent events at Manezhnaya, they are also in this series. I think that such stories will multiply, and attempts at mass disobedience will become more obvious and daring.
What line of action will the authorities choose? Will they take the path of smoothing and compromise? Will the police be ordered to act harshly in such situations, to beat and disperse the protesters? It is not a fact that the first option will succeed. On the contrary, it can push the protest element to rampant, since many Russians are already, as they say, boiling in their souls. And the second option is completely fraught with large-scale massacres, information about which will generate a very bad resonance in the run-up to the upcoming presidential elections.
What's the reason? It seems to me that if at least someone believed in the integrity of the elections, the Russians would not have needed any public protest. Well, they would hold rallies, swear into megaphones, but, as they say, there would be no point in “breaking chairs.” Having quarreled, they would calmly go and elect other people into power if they don’t like them. But everyone understands that elections will not change anything. The ruling group, together with the ruling party, maintains a stranglehold on power. In order to retain it, they will put administrative pressure and brazen manipulation, losing all shame. The people are increasingly coming to the inner feeling that change can only be achieved through powerful pressure from below, force, and disobedience. The ruling elite, in fact, itself gave rise to these refusals to obey. So it breaks out more and more often...
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