Translated material
75 to 35
Social networks - about the fall of oil prices and the ruble exchange rate against the background of the Saudi -Iranian confrontation
Oil prices that rose against the backdrop of an exacerbation of relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran, on Wednesday, fell sharply again.
Meanwhile, oil is already $ 35, a woman-yagoda again!
- MUD ROSISI (@fake_midrf) January 6, 2016 Oil does not care about all these psychological levels: Pic.twitter.com/moveftxzaz
- MUD ROSISI (@fake_midrf) January 6, 2016Of course, the ruble falls behind oil:
Comments are traditionally divided into gloating and disturbing.
Tili-Tili trawy-ded dollar 74 Money again about ... yawned Tara-pam-pum
- Yakobson (@yakov_okhonko) January 6, 2016Oil is below 35. It would be necessary to drink for this.
Obamushka has already bought oil. And even poured it. https://t.co/rfdkps9cul
- l200kievua (@l200kievua) January 6, 2016
@adessaa I will make a leapland on February 29 Oil 10 dollars and 300 rubles per dollar :)
- xoxol (@mazepa_xoxol) January 6, 2016 @Fake_midrf what a horror! The world economy collapsed $ 45 ago! All in ruins!
- terijoki (@terijoki_ru) January 6, 2016This is a hint of Putin's famous statement - this is to this:
Quotes of "great" economists 😁 Putin: "All production will collapse while maintaining the price of oil $ 80." ▶ https://t.co/oy1elqyl51
- NEWS slopes (@shkvarkiua) January 6, 2016 Putin: If oil falls below $ 80 per barrel, the world economy collapses. Oh, $ 35.53! pic.twitter.com/faiuz5TQMC
- Vadim Korovin (@pjatak) January 6, 2016If only jokers are discussing the thesis about the collapse of the global economy, then it seems late to joke about the state of Russian economy. Although the hunters are still located:
Oil is falling! The ruble will continue to get cheaper, which means that there will be more rubles in the budget! Oh, we will heal soon! pic.twitter.com/if0cjimeoe
- Vatnik (@vatnicheck) January 6, 2016But at least not less anxious comments:
In the pessimistic (shock) scenarios of the Central Bank of the Urals, Urals (and Russia sells Urals, not Brent) calculated $ 35, and in the market already below $ 32.
- St. Petersburg Poleno (@sanctionSonion) January 6, 2016 We live something, we think, plans to build. Oil 34. What will happen next year.
- Gaspasha (@sugarr_rr) January 6, 2016 Oil 34. This hike was the last in our lives. With such oil, we gnaw on the next New Year, we will listen to Putin and sleep
- Joseph Stalin (@stalingulag) January 6, 2016 In the Bunker of the Ministry of Economic Development, everyone in a panic is trying to poison last year's salads. Anton Germanovich had already scored a herring under a fur coat
- Economics of the Russian Federation (@PutinSeconomy) January 6, 2016In the fall of oil prices, they see a long -term trend:
Surprisingly, oil even on such an “open and obvious threat” as an exacerbation between Sauds and Iran does not react !! Generally deeds! Now I looked - for the evening <Tuesday> quotes Brent 36.35. These are craces for the ruble and for our entire budget, and if it is wider - for the entire Russian economy.
As they say, "life was a success, it is a pity that so fast."
No news from the Middle East does not affect the market in any way, which means that the political component now has a weak influence on traders. There are plenty of other factors pressing on the price. The same Yuan, for example, which the Chinese neatly lay down. Operating reserves in storage are more than redundant, up to the point that the storage deficit has now formed, and more and more tankers owners switch to turn their tanker into a floating oil warehouse - this is more profitable than transporting it.
It is difficult to say what moods are in the Kremlin bunker today, and which army of the wreath can wait there, like the last hope - while the whole strategy focused on a miracle and pike from an extract, does not give the result.
The Russian authorities are good advice, of course, roads.
It is urgent to conduct a prayer service to prevent the fall in oil prices
- RB of the brain (@belamova) January 6, 2016Alas, no guarantees here.
Sit and wait when oil bounces this and is the 🍴 real plan of your government and high-paid treasury all top managers
- Igor (@slyflaner) January 6, 2016Perhaps the conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia - if he switched to a “hot” phase, would contribute to raising prices. Many people write about this without abysses.
Something oil is not pleasing. I'm afraid only the hope of the Persian conflict with the Saudis. All other chances in the economy have long been linked ...
- Boris (@flamsbanen) January 6, 2016By the way, the current decrease in prices is associated with the struggle for the European market.
The Saudis in conspiracy with the Rothschilds decided to put Shiites on their knees. So I see.
- Revolutionary thoughts (@vvp2_0) January 6, 2016But can it seriously “blame” in the Middle East - up to a great war between the Sunni (Prosaudi) and Shiite (pro -Iranian) coalitions? Analysts-“guardians” are mainly discussing such scenarios. Ahead on the virtual solar dashing horse - Alexander Dugin:
Solidarity with Shiites, the battle with them against our common enemies of the Islamists - in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Bahrain everywhere in general - our Russian duty. The Russian-Shiite alliance is not just geopolitics, it is a deep kinship of a religious type. The Saudi pro -American regime must be destroyed. This is the Eurasian fatwa. Glory to the martyr Sheikh Nimer An-Nemir .
And the whole Syria is not enough.
Not everyone, however, share the enthusiasm of the professor.
The main task of Russia is not to get into the massacre between Shiites and Sunnis. And then there are a lot of people in the world, so that the Russian Vanya drags chestnuts from fire for them. We must dodge at Maxim from participation. Here is a mediator, that's right.
Bloggers, having read Dugin, staged a tournament of unprecedented wit. Topping me as an independent political scientist.
Saudi Arabia is a terrible, archaic dictatorship, actively using torture and death execution to maintain fundamentalist orders. Such institutionalized ISIS, only in white clothes. At the same time, a long -standing and reliable geopolitical partner of the United States <...>
What would the smart government make a large modern country claiming world leadership? Especially selling oil? That's right, it criticized the situation with democracy and human rights. Rather, for the situation with their complete absence. It would introduce against the sanctions, brought the situation to the UN meeting, broke the diplomatic municipality, etc.
But, since in Russia feudal kleptocracy led by special services, which claims to be a loud PR, then, the post of Dugin. Geopolitics performed by ghouls.
The Russian government pulled the country into the war with ISIS. Now this may be the beginning of a much larger war. And Russia can become its participant. It seems that the Kremlin was divorced again - and, surrenders to me, by its voluntary agreement ..
There were immediately disputes about who "collect" in the case of a (little) probable military conflict.
Saudi Arabia will lose to Iran in the event of a military conflict. CA is an oil superpower and a financial great power. But her army is relatively weak. And stability is kept only by brutal dictatorship and buying the loyalty of the population with high incomes. The increase in the conflict will shake the SA, but will not destroy Iran, whose power is based on a kind, but democracy. Non -Bural democracy, it is called. On the will of the people. And the army and society in Iran is an order of magnitude stronger.
But Alfred Koch is convinced of the opposite.
In general, it will be interesting to see how Saudi Arabia and Iran will fight. <...>
It will be a classic Middle Eastern war, only this time Saudi Arabia will act as Israel.
Based on this, I think, the result will be approximately the same: the Sunnites are poured by Shiites ...
This sign indicates in favor of his arguments.
Iran-Saudi Economic and Military Comparison, 2014. Pic.twitter.com/cngvfcjkgm
- The Inta%27L Spectator (@intlSpectator) January 4, 2016There is such a point of view:
As for my sympathy in this conflict, I will leave Dugin to choose which of them is nicer than the Eurasian heart - one who has a worse but the tail is more authentic, or, conversely, who has a longer horns and shorter the tail. These differences do not seem very important to me, more importantly, the very presence of horns and tail among the leaders of both sides of the conflict.
In the conflict of Saudi Arabia, where 47 people per day were publicly executed, including the famous Shiite preacher, and Iran, where public executions are also periodically arranged (and for terrible crimes such as accusations of homosexuality - with the famous Sunni preachers in Iran Steter, so they will be executed), personally I am on the side of Ilona Maska, I am on the side of Ilona Mask Ray Kurzvel and Pavel Durov, who, together with millions of other scientists, technologists and inventors, daily bring the world to the future, free from insanity and barbarism. In the war of neo -rationalist Islam with revolutionary Islam, I am rooting for technological singularity.
Когда Россия будет поддерживать не суннитов или шиитов, а Саратов, Рязань, Воронеж и другие наши города мы будем жить совсем в другой стране
- Joseph Stalin (@stalingulag) January 4, 2016But after all, oil prices depend on the Sunnito -Shiite conflict - others will say. And this is already connected with Russia.
Right now we are observing a huge tectonic shift in geopolitics. Iran and Saudi Arabia break diplomatic relations. Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Sudan have already announced an accession to the position of Saudi Arabia. Apparently the coalition of the Sunni forces is being formed, against the coalition of Shiite forces. Iran in such a situation will become even closer to Russia. Russia is a long -time partner and assistant to Iran. The conflict in the Middle East will be included in a different plane, perhaps now it will again be the Shiite-Sunni conflict. The alliance of the Shiite forces of Iran, the Syrian Alawites, the Shiites of Iraq and other countries, against the alliance of the Sunni states. Whose side will be Russia, no secret for anyone will be. On whose side, the States will be publicly or secret, it will also be clear to everyone. The conflict that began around Syria will raise the entire region. There are several questions here.
1. Which side will be the IG? Or will he play neutral? Or will he play the third force? Very interesting.
2. Is Russia really collecting a new alliance, like the "Warsaw Treaty countries", only in Asia? And will the world be two -polar? Is the new Cold War possible?
3. What will happen to the price of oil?
Yes, what will happen to the price of oil? While some write that the conflict can contribute to prices, others predict their further fall:
What could be better than the situation when the two countries that are able to fill in the "black gold" already saturated markets of the West compete for this opportunity?
Iran longs to regain the place of one of the largest hydrocarbon suppliers, and Saudi Arabia at all costs seeks to hold its oil hegemony, which developed when Iran lay the sanctions crushed by the burden.
It is noteworthy that the cost of production in these Arab countries does not exceed $ 7 per barrel. Therefore, as we see, the scope for dumping is colossal and Tehran or Er-Riyad will definitely use it.
Long live competition!
PS Ah yes, I forgot to say that Russia with its high production costs will not be able to afford this game to lower. Therefore, I would formulate this way: there is oil - there is Russia, there is no oil - no Russia. And Putin has absolutely nothing to do with it .
To which, of course, we can answer that they once lived and at 10 dollars per barrel. However, in those years, 86 percent popularity of the authorities was clearly not a question. The question ofMaxim Trudolyubov can be considered rhetorical -
Please explain why the Russians, understanding everything about money and crisis, refuse to assign responsibility for political / economic failures to those who really are responsible for them? Or do citizens pretend that they have achieved enlightenment and nothing material does not concern them? Or is it really enlightenment?
But in the comments, the answer options offer quite seriously.
Well, firstly, not all. Many understand and put on whom it is necessary, but quietly or in their circle. Because yes, they do not see a good reason to talk about it. Not so much fear even as: everything will not change exactly.
"78. The traditional Russian spiritual and moral values include the priority of spiritual over material"
You don't understand! After all, this oil is to blame, and its Americans collapsed, after all, it is known. And the sanctions against us were introduced, because they do not want our greatness. The crisis is man -made, all the Americans did it. Especially against us. But we, in spite of everything, are standing, right? Despite the fact that everything is against us. We will show them! And tolerate, if necessary. ; ((((((((
People reconciled, because in the nineties nothing could be changed. Bastards will come to power anyway, nothing can be changed, the majority thinks.
And finally -
Thank you for the exact and reasonable comments .. I will add for my part: the special beauty of the moment is that the Kremlin under Putin always took only popular steps. A high rating is his armor. Respondents' answers to FAPSI / FSO polls are a guide to action. Ideologists are proud of this, as a philosophical stone opened by them. Indeed, why no one thought of it! Do what is popular and always popular - to the end. And to predict the end, it is precisely because of the integrated into the system of popularity that it will not be possible
In the meantime, the court and the case -
The exchange rate of the dollar exceeded 75 rubles
- Liberté! (@nyx_na) January 6, 2016Dollar 75, oil 35. How long?