Reason instead of the heart

The most dramatic presidential campaign in the history of modern Poland did not bring a sensation, although it patted the nerves to the favorite of the election to Bronislav Komorovsky.

Now the Liberal Party “Civil Platform”, to which the new president and Prime Minister Donald Tusk belong, will be able to act without looking back at the opposition. This opens up additional opportunities for liberals, but also makes them vulnerable in the next parliamentary elections.

Fedor Lukyanov

Lukyanov’s biography is an example of how devotion to the beloved business becomes the key to success. He began his activities in the editorial board of the Moscow Radio. Then he worked in the newspaper "Today", after he held the post of deputy. editor -in -chief of the newspaper "News Time". In 2002, Lukyanov headed the journal Russia in Global Policy. A year later, he became a member of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy. Lukyanov has a rare hobby - the political caricature of the Soviet period.

Firstly, there is no one to transfer responsibility to. Secondly, in Poland, as in most countries with sustainable democracy, voters do not like a monopoly and try-consciously or unconsciously-to ensure the balance of power with their votes.

Yaroslav Kachinsky achieved great success. Everyone noted the campaign competently conducted by the Kacinsky, in which he, previously considered a not very skilled public politician, demonstrated flexibility and repeated his opponent more than once.

In addition, the death of the twin brother in the plane crash, on the one hand, caused a wave of sympathy, and on the other, it slightly limited the actions of opponents who had to show increased tact.

But the victory of the party is natural. Although Polish society is split, common sense nevertheless outweighed emotions and instincts. The peak of traditionalist, conservative sentiments in Poland fell in the mid-2000s. By this moment, Warsaw actually achieved all the goals, the achievement of which was the content of its entire state policy after the fall of the socialist system: the country carried out reforms, joined NATO and the European Union.

There was a vacuum in Poland, since there were no more clear tasks, and such a charismatic nation as Poles, of course, could not be satisfied with the calm existence within the framework of comfortable clubs.

The two -year reign of the Kachinsky brothers (2005–2007) was marked by constant frictions with the European Union, in which Poland claimed a greater influence, exacerbation of relations with neighbors - not only by Russia, but also in Germany, and most importantly, endless internal proceedings under the slogan of cleansing from the non -washed heels of the communist past. In general, the whole policy was turned back to glorious national history and to historical enemies.

In some ways, the Kachinsky brothers succeeded, for example, to make Poland's voice audible in Europe, but society quickly began to get tired of the atmosphere of constant conflicts. Since 2007, when liberals won the parliamentary elections, politics began to return to more modern ideas. If Lech Kachinsky had not died near Smolensk, then in the regular presidential elections, outlined in October, he would participate himself and, in general opinion, would certainly lose them.

Komorovsky’s victory means that the government will decisively carry out the economic reforms necessary to stimulate growth and development, and will also be able to continue the pragmatic foreign policy that Donald Tusk began to grope from the moment of coming to power.

There will be no more constant obstacle in the person of the opposition president, but perhaps Komorovsky will have to declare a more socio-conservative approach to maintain a balance and prevent the electorate of other parties.

For Russian-Polish relations, the victory of the candidate of the “Civil Platform” is certainly preferable. With stupid and Komorovsky, Russian leaders have developed business relations. As for Kachinsky, despite the gestures of reconciliations made to Moscow during the election campaign, there is no doubt that he did not change his basic approach to Russia. The suspicion of the Kremlin corresponds to the deep beliefs of not only the leaders of “law and justice”, but also most of the electorate of this party.

Of course, you should not expect a revolutionary breakthrough in the relationship between Moscow and Warsaw. Centuries of tragic history, replete with various forms of confrontation between the two countries, are not canceled overnight by the will of even positively -minded politicians. But a decrease in the level of conflict in relations can significantly change the balance of power in Europe.

The general situation in the European Union has changed over the past year. The Lisbon Treaty was aimed at turning the European Union into a single player in the international arena, but the result turned out to be the opposite.

The general foreign policy did not appear, and the countries that have ambitions (to which Poland, of course, belongs to), began to look for independent (outside the EU institutions) ways to realize their national interests in relations with external partners.

This is beneficial to Russia, which has always preferred to deal with important countries at a bilateral level, and not through Brussels. Previously, Moscow was often criticized for this, but now, it seems, this approach is becoming generally accepted.

Political contacts not only with Germany, France, Italy, but, for example, with Hungary and Slovakia are developing very actively, which brings mutual economic dividends.

Donald Tusk, apparently, would not mind moving in a similar direction, especially considering that Poland and Russia are connected not only by gas pipelines, but also by very intense commercial relations. If Moscow begins to build contacts with Warsaw, this is able to greatly affect the entire atmosphere of Russian-European relations and force other countries that are tuned to opponing the Kremlin, primarily Baltic, to soften their position.

Moreover, Lithuania President Dalya Grybauskaite, unlike his predecessor Valdas Adamkus, is more tuned to business than ideology, and in Latvia in the next parliamentary elections, good chances have the strength benevolently in Moscow.

The result of the elections in Poland creates good prerequisites, but does not give guarantees, since the stupid will have to actively maneuver in order to avoid accusations of betraying national interests and a pro -Russian bias.

In recent months, the Russian authorities have demonstrated, to the surprise of many, the ability to pursue a smart and accurate policy for the discharge of tension with Warsaw. But in order to consolidate success, these efforts must be continued, without responding to inevitable kickbacks back. If you maintain the intended course, the return in the future will pay off restraint and self -restraint today.

The author’s opinion may not coincide with the position of the editors of gzt.ru