Translated material
Political PR instead of an economic program
“I read your book. Big.
You put your strength into it.
And quotes adorn her,
How flowers decorate the grave. ”
“I read your book. Big. You put your strength into it. And quotes decorate her, as the flowers decorate the grave. ” Garik Igor Guberman last week, the government finally held a discussion of the economic development program of Russia until 2010, prepared by the Center for Strategic Development under the leadership of Hermann Gref. As in the good old days, the event was “in a constructive spirit”: there were few discussions as such. According to Gref himself, now the Minister of Economic Development and Trade, almost no one expressed objections to the text. The program, which was cut in comparison with the original version of half (from 500 to 250 pages), was sent for further discussion and approval to the ministry and departments, after which they promise to return to it. The editors of “OG” addressed the experts with the question: “How much does the“ trimmed ”option change the original essence of the program and what to expect the country's population in case of its implementation?” Mikhail Delyagin (director of the Institute of Problems of Globalization): - Several of the most odious places from the original text of the program were excluded for discussion. Let's say everything related to banking reform, administrative measures to limit the movement of capital. The most stringent statements were removed like the fact that the government is not going to guarantee a living wage to anyone. That is, the policy itself, which excludes the possibility of such a guarantee, left, but annoying and too frank statements removed. And in this form, this is already a joint activity of the Center for Gref and the Government. Now the program will be advertised together at all corners. Although there are no significant things, for example, antitrust policy, judicial reform, decriminalize the bankruptcy process ... Then, obviously, the program will be coordinated with the IMF and the world bank, show the large seven on Okinawa and ask for the debt to the Parisian club. If the social section of the program will be seriously fulfilled, then the country will expect a social default. Public expenditures as a percentage of GDP for 10 years are planned to be reduced in absolute value by 30 percent. The main part of the reductions will go at the expense of the “Socialist”, which in the early editions of the program was written completely frankly. The consequences for the majority of the population will be the most sad. Irina Khakamada (Vice Speaker of the State Duma): - We saw the draft program that was presented by Gref before passing through the government. I recently spoke with Alexei Kudrin, and the deputy prime minister said that in principle there are very few changes. If so, then I support this program, because for the first time the main core in it is social policy. Moreover, the main philosophy of social policy is proclaimed the philosophy of common sense, not naked populism. All previous programs promised people a lot, but as a result, nothing was implemented. Here, on the one hand, an attempt was made to make social policy at the expense of the state more targeted, and on the other hand, to develop social insurance systems. This applies primarily to healthcare and pension provision. For pensioners, for example, a key is the idea of individualizing accounts and switching systems. All this makes the program more rigid, but more realistic. Victor Ivanter (director of the Institute of Scientific and Technical Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences): - German Gref called the program a new social contract between the government and the people. But so far there is only one signature on this social contract, namely, Mr. Gref. In order to get a second signature, the public must be familiar with in detail with those proposals that are included in the social contract. And it seems to me that there is no need to rush. It is necessary to enable the public to accept or reject this contract or make its proposals to it. The real problem of the new program is not in the text, but in the steps that the government is going to make. I am an optimist and believe that the government will act in accordance with economic reality, and not with texts. Gleb Pavlovsky (director of the Effective Policy Fund): - The idea that Gref's program is purely economic, in my opinion, false. The program solves not some narrow economic tasks, but the problem of changing the nature of the state of society, which is used to self-reproducing poverty and social parasitism. The super -task of the government’s economic program is the solution of social problems, so to speak, the restoration of the connection of the authorities and society, which is called in the program a social contract. Moreover, you need to understand that this is a contract not between Gref and the world economy, but between Putin and Russian citizens. And this contract has already been signed. As for purely economic aspects, in my opinion, there can be no cheap way out of the state of many years of parasitization of the country on the corpse of the Soviet economy. If the Russian economy itself does not want to turn into a corpse on which others will parasitize, it must restore itself. Society here cannot wait for much. It has the right only to demand from the power of the clarity of the tasks and the adequacy of the applied tools. The process of adopting the program is delayed until the fall. At the same time, experts fear that departmental amendments, which will be introduced into it by numerous ministries, will eventually completely emasculate its liberal-reformation orientation. However, many experts believe that the current power of the current economic strategy is not needed at all. We need a long-playing PR action that can demonstrate to the world and their own “subjects” that the authorities care about the economic development of the country. Political PR continues. Do not treat him too seriously ...
Garik Igor Guberman
Last week, the government finally held a discussion of the economic program for the development of Russia until 2010, prepared by the Center for Strategic Development under the leadership of Herman Gref. As in the good old days, the event was “in a constructive spirit”: there were few discussions as such. According to Gref himself, now the Minister of Economic Development and Trade, almost no one expressed objections to the text.
The program, which was cut in comparison with the original version of half (from 500 to 250 pages), was sent for further discussion and approval to the ministry and departments, after which they promise to return to it.
The editors of “OG” addressed the experts with the question: “How much does the“ trimmed ”option change the original essence of the program and what to expect the country's population in case of its implementation?”
Mikhail Delyagin
(Director of the Institute of Globalization Problems):
- Several of the most odious places from the original text of the program for discussion were excluded. Let's say everything related to banking reform, administrative measures to limit the movement of capital. The most stringent statements were removed like the fact that the government is not going to guarantee a living wage to anyone. That is, the policy itself, which excludes the possibility of such a guarantee, left, but annoying and too frank statements removed. And in this form, this is already a joint activity of the Center for Gref and the Government. Now the program will be advertised together at all corners. Although there are no significant things, for example, antitrust policy, judicial reform, decriminalize the bankruptcy process ... Then, obviously, the program will be coordinated with the IMF and the world bank, show the large seven on Okinawa and ask for the debt to the Parisian club.
If the social section of the program will be seriously fulfilled, then the country will expect a social default. Public expenditures as a percentage of GDP for 10 years are planned to be reduced in absolute value by 30 percent. The main part of the reductions will go at the expense of the “Socialist”, which in the early editions of the program was written completely frankly. The consequences for the majority of the population will be the most sad.
Irina Khakamada
(Vice Speaker of the State Duma):
- We saw the draft program that was presented by Gref before passing through the government. I recently spoke with Alexei Kudrin, and the deputy prime minister said that in principle there are very few changes. If so, then I support this program, because for the first time the main core in it is social policy. Moreover, the main philosophy of social policy is proclaimed the philosophy of common sense, not naked populism. All previous programs promised people a lot, but as a result, nothing was implemented. Here, on the one hand, an attempt was made to make social policy at the expense of the state more targeted, and on the other hand, to develop social insurance systems. This applies primarily to healthcare and pension provision. For pensioners, for example, a key is the idea of individualizing accounts and switching systems. All this makes the program more rigid, but more realistic.
Victor Ivaner
(Director of the Institute of Scientific and Technical Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences):
- Herman Gref called the program a new social contract between the government and the people. But so far there is only one signature on this social contract, namely, Mr. Gref. In order to get a second signature, the public must be familiar with in detail with those proposals that are included in the social contract. And it seems to me that there is no need to rush. It is necessary to enable the public to accept or reject this contract or make its proposals to it.
The real problem of the new program is not in the text, but in the steps that the government is going to make. I am an optimist and believe that the government will act in accordance with economic reality, and not with texts.
Gleb Pavlovsky
(Director of the Effective Policy Fund):
- The idea that the Gref program is purely economic, in my opinion, false. The program solves not some narrow economic tasks, but the problem of changing the nature of the state of society, which is used to self-reproducing poverty and social parasitism. The super -task of the government’s economic program is the solution of social problems, so to speak, the restoration of the connection of the authorities and society, which is called in the program a social contract. Moreover, you need to understand that this is a contract not between Gref and the world economy, but between Putin and Russian citizens. And this contract has already been signed.
As for purely economic aspects, in my opinion, there can be no cheap way out of the state of many years of parasitization of the country on the corpse of the Soviet economy. If the Russian economy itself does not want to turn into a corpse on which others will parasitize, it must restore itself. Society here cannot wait for much. It has the right only to demand from the power of the clarity of the tasks and the adequacy of the applied tools.
The process of adopting the program is delayed until the fall. At the same time, experts fear that departmental amendments, which will be introduced into it by numerous ministries, will eventually completely emasculate its liberal-reformation orientation. However, many experts believe that the current power of the current economic strategy is not needed at all. We need a long-playing PR action that can demonstrate to the world and their own “subjects” that the authorities care about the economic development of the country. Political PR continues. Do not treat him too seriously ...