Dmitry Volchek: In Ukraine, this week announced the collapse of the parliamentary coalition, the Verkhovna Rada resigned the cabinet of ministers, and Yulia Tymoshenko, who led them, returned to the role of the leader of the opposition. And President Viktor Yanukovych this week promised in Moscow to radically change Ukrainian -Russian relations in Brussels - to continue Ukraine for European integration. A review of events in the report of Vladimir Ivakhnenko from Kyiv.
Vladimir Ivakhnenko: Viktor Yanukovych made his first foreign visit to Brussels last Monday. There, the president said that the partnership programs with NATO will continue, but Ukraine will be an extra -block state and its priority will remain entering the European Union. On the eve of the European Parliament adopted a resolution according to which Kyiv may apply for membership in the EU.
One of the main results of the Brussels visit of the new Ukrainian leader was an agreement on the conclusion of an agreement on the Association with the European Union until the end of this year. The predecessor of Yanukovych - Viktor Yushchenko, during the years of his presidency, failed to achieve the signing of this document. Says the leading expert of the Institute of Foreign Policy, Alexander Paliy:
Alexander Pali: The EU wants to maintain the status quo, that is, that Ukraine’s position is relatively independent and it does not go to the fairway of Russian politics, and Ukraine would not incorporate this Russian political format, which Russia is unsuccessfully trying to build in its neighboring countries. I think that the fear of Russia's influence is present in the latest decisions of Europeans in Ukraine.
Vladimir Ivakhnenko: inspired by success in the foreign policy arena, Yanukovych, returning from Brussels, began the attack on the parliamentary coalition and its government. Since the coalition formally proclaimed more than a year ago as part of the blocs of Tymoshenko, Litvin and “Our Ukraine - People’s Self -Defense” did not need two hundred twenty -six deputies - the simple majority, the pro -presidential party of regions demanded that the chairman of the parliament announce its collapse. And Vladimir Litvin complied on Tuesday the request of his new allies.
Vladimir Litvin: In accordance with the Constitution and the Rules of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, I announce the termination of the activities of the parliamentary coalition of national development, stability and order.
Vladimir Ivakhnenko: Now, if a new majority does not appear in the Verkhovna Rada within a month, President Yanukovych will receive the right to dissolve the parliament and appoint early elections.
The next step of Yanukovych's associates was the government’s resignation. Speaking on Wednesday with the Parliamentary Tribune, the candidate for the premiere, the “Regional” Nikolai Azarov described the period of the leadership of Tymoshenko by the Cabinet of Ministers.
Nikolai Azarov: The years of the premiership of Mrs. Tymoshenko will go down in the history of Ukraine as the years of unique failure in all areas of our lives. The heart hurts to call such numbers: public debt increased 5 times.
Vladimir Ivakhnenko: In response, Yulia Tymoshenko stated that she saved Ukraine from the crisis, promised to prevent the state of the state of strategic property with the Presidential Property team and assured that Yanukovych would report to the opposition daily.
In addition to the Party of Regions, the Litvin, Communists, and even seven parliamentarians from BET, supported the resolution of Dormental of the Cabinet of Tymoshenko.
Fifteen deputies from the “Our Ukraine - People’s Self -Defense” bloc voted for resignation, and this is much less than thirty -seven, necessary for the faction to the coalition with the “regionals”. However, without “our Ukrainians”, the majority is legally impossible to form a legally.
Taras Stetskiv: The most likely option for the development of events is not elections, but the formation of a legitimate -based coalition, for example, with the Party of Regions, the Bloc of Letwin, with the Party of Communists and with the defectors who voted for the resignation of the government. This option is most likely, and then the prime minister will be exactly from the Party of Regions. For the winning strength, for Yanukovych, the fastest version of the formation of power.
Vladimir Ivakhnenko: In order for the option voiced by one of the leaders of the “folk self -defense” Taras Stetskiv, he has become a reality, the “regionals” decided to change the rules for creating the majority. On Thursday, in the Verkhovna Rada, a bill was adopted in the first reading, according to which not only factions can be formed by the coalition, as the Constitution says, but also individual deputies. Tymoshenko’s associates in the public statement regarded this decision “as a path leading to the usurpation of the authorities and the coup”.
Nevertheless, according to the deputy chairman of the party of the Party of Regions Alexander Efremov, the coalition agreement may be signed next week:
Alexander Efremov: Today we have the necessary majority of people's deputies who have signed up under the creation of the majority in the Verkhovna Rada.
Vladimir Ivakhnenko: The absence of a coalition and the new government did not allow Yanukovych on Friday during his Moscow visit to resolve any serious issues, including the key-about a decrease in the prices of Russian gas for Ukraine, political scientist Vladimir Fesenko states:
Vladimir Fesenko: This is rather a visits, sees expressions of loyalty to Yanukovych in relation to Russia. But also probing positions, voicing positions on certain issues, both from Yanukovych and from Russia. Yanukovych will act as Kuchma in the 94-95 years. He will pursue a soft multi -vector policy.
Vladimir Ivakhnenko: The president’s visit to Russia was designed to put the beginning of radical changes in the relations of the two countries. As a result of negotiations, Yanukovych said that he would cancel the decree of his predecessor on the assignment of the title of Hero of Ukraine to the leader of the organization of Ukrainian nationalists Stepan Bandera, and promised to provide the Russian language with the status of the second state. Thus, many politicians and experts believe, Yanukovych crossed the possibility of creating a legitimate ruling coalition and questioned his goal to unite the West and East of Ukraine.
Dmitry Volchek: What can a turn in Russian-Ukrainian relations lead to? I proposed this question to the publicist Anatoly in the shooting man.
Anatoly Shot: how was not believed in the reboot of the relations of Russia and the United States, I could not believe in the restart of relations between Russia and Ukraine.
The question is not how Ukraine will relate to Russia, what will be its Russian policy. The question is how Russia will relate to Ukraine, what will be the Ukrainian policy of Russia. The fact is that, no matter how the Russian policy of Ukraine has changed, it will still not suit Russia. No matter how far President Yanukovych has gone from President Yushchenko’s politics, he will still not go so far that Russia said: this is what I need.
Under Yushchenko, Russian-Ukrainian relations were openly cold. Under Yanukovych, they will be implicitly cold. The whole difference ... Whatever he does for Russia, she will not be enough. Because: "We do not need Crimea - we need the whole of Ukraine." This is a long -standing statement of the former deputy chairman of the State Duma of Russia Yuryev. It once and for all designated what could arrange Russia. The complete dissolution of Ukraine in Russia. Yanukovych may want this with his whole Donetsk soul (and this is a special soul - it is no worse than Russian and no better than the Ukrainian one, it is Donetsk). He can give Russia Crimea and Donetsk himself, but he cannot give all over Ukraine, which means he will never deserve the unconditional approval and trust of Moscow. Moreover, Moscow will be unhappy with Yanukovych in something more than President Yushchenko. He did not promise her at least anything, but this one promised everything, and he would not give, in fact, nothing.
So Putin will have to solve a rather unpleasant problem. How to pretend that Yanukovych is more pleased with Ukraine than Ukraine Yushchenko? After all, the main thing will remain the most annoying: Ukrainization of the political life of Ukraine. He recently emphasized that he would not allow the Ukrainization of the political life of Russia. These words contained a wish to the Yanukovych team: Ukraine should finally stop serving as an example for our dissatisfied. But just this Donetsk boys will not be able to provide for all their specificity. This is where the stumbling block is for Putin. That is why he himself did not go to the inauguration of Yanukovych, and Medvedev did not let him in. We will light up there, and Ukrainization, you see, will remain, and it turns out that we blessed it. Indeed: the orange are expelled and cursed, and Ukrainization - this is already clear - has survived. True, Yanukovych began to show on television as Putin and Medvedev. Every day he instructs someone at the bail in his office. People spit, they talk about the imitation of Moscow. Not everyone has yet seen the meaning of innovation. And the meaning, here he is: I, Viktor Yanukovych, are now as big in Kyiv as you are there in Moscow. By the way, he was the director of the car depot in the Donbass. This is much cooler than collecting denunciations of Gaderah scums.
So, Putin, at first glance, has huge opportunities to put pressure on Ukraine, but they are not worth anything, because they do not promise the main thing - its return to Russia. All -power is turning vancuver's impotence. Russia remains hostage to its comic claims. It would seem: gain sobriety, realize that Ukraine is a cut off a break, it will become easier itself. But then we will stop being Russia, they say those of the Russians who are not afraid of the truth about themselves.
As for Ukraine, it is now not between the West and Russia, as many people think, but between the West and their own asiopism. It is a little less asiopism in it than in Russia, but much more than it is necessary to be accepted in Europe. This is what the fate of Ukraine decides. Not Russia and not the West. Either the bribe will win Ukraine, or Ukraine will win a bribe. What can be argued with complete confidence is that Yanukovych will not fight with a bribe than Putin. But this will not add relaxed feelings to them.