Governor rating: Four more will go after Luzhkov. The mayor of Moscow himself is not going to resign

Russian experts compiled another rating of political survival of governors. Five chapters of the regions fell into the risk zone at once. In addition to Yuri Luzhkov, whose fate can be decided on Monday, among the possible retirees were the Governor of the Moscow Region Boris Gromov, the Omsk head Leonid Polezhaev, Tver Governor Dmitry Zelenin and the head of the Tomsk region Viktor Korus.

The mayor of Moscow, Yuri Luzhkov, who went to work on Monday after a week of vacation, has already told Interfax that he was not going to resign of his own free will. At the same time, almost all commentators and sources close to power assure that the resignation of the capital's mayor is inevitable.

In the ranking drawn up by the International Institute of Political Expertise and the St. Petersburg Politics Foundation, survival assessments are placed on a five -point scale. This time only Yuri Luzhkov received the "unit", the Kommersant newspaper reports. As noted in the study, a scandal with Luzhkov received a large -scale general Federal resonance and gave rise to the expectations of a change of power in the city in the near future. Luzhkov speaks of the unstable position of Luzhkov and his third vacation in two months .

- Western analysts: the Kremlin is weakened, there is a larger battle behind the scenes
- In the Moscow City Duma, rumors refute that the posts of the mayor of Moscow and the Prime Minister will share
- Sources: if Luzhkov remains, then no more than two months

In the previous ranking published in February, Luzhkov received a "deuce". The fact that the forecasts of such ratings, as a rule, come true, is evidenced by the fact that the head of the Chelyabinsk region, the head of the Chelyabinsk region , Petr Sumin and the Bashkir President of Murtaza Rakhimov, were really resigned. George Boos , who led the Kaliningrad region, the head of the Yamalo -Nenets Autonomous Okrug Yuri Neelov and the leader of the Orenburg region, Alexei Chernyshev, were also dismissed.

Boris Gromov, Leonid Polezhaev and Viktor Kors in the new rating received two points. According to the authors of the rating, the Moscow region led by Gromov became one of the record holders in the number of scandals related to the arrests of mayors, the abolition of elections, and the institution of criminal cases of officials. According to Gazeta.Ru , the difficult financial condition of the region exacerbates the matter.

The Tver Governor Dmitry Zelenin Political scientists put the Troika. All four governors, who, according to analysts, are under threat of dismissal, ends the powers in 2012.

The governors of St. Petersburg and the Leningrad Region Valentina Matvienko and Valery Serdyukov, the head of the Altai Territory and the Bryansk region Alexander Karlin and Nikolai Denin received three points in the ranking. Some of the recently appointed heads of regions, Ilya Mikhalchuk in Arkhangelsk and Dmitry Mezentsev in Irkutsk, also got into the Troechniki.

According to experts, numerous resignations of the heads of regions reflect the policy of President Medvedev, who repeatedly called for updating the governor. In addition, the Kremlin needs to hold most of the personnel decisions before the start of the federal elections and give the new appointments to take the regions control levers, the authors of the survival rating of governors say.

According to the director of the St. Petersburg Policy, Mikhail Vinogradov, the peak of the replacements of the governors will have to end this and the beginning of this year. Until the summer of 2011, the term of powers of the four governors - Mikhail me in Ivanovo, Oleg Chirkunov in Perm, Ramzan Kadyrov in Chechnya and Evgeny Savchenko in Belgorod will expire. However, according to political scientists, they are unlikely to threaten their resignation, since in the ranking they are all “good” and “excellent students”.

Sources: if Luzhkov remains, then no more than two months

As the media previously wrote, on Monday the fate of the capital's mayor Yuri Luzhkov, who returned to Moscow after a week of vacation, should decide. Although the chairman of the Moscow City Duma, Vladimir Platonov, said to the Vedomosti newspaper that there would be no resignation of the mayor, on Monday Luzhkov would begin work, and on Tuesday a working meeting of the Moscow government will be held, the media are sure that Luzhkov will be known on September 27.

At the same time, the authors of the Governor's survival rating believe that Luzhkov has a resource to resist the Kremlin’s intention to remove it - the consolidation of the local elite around him, a media and financial resource, and high popularity work on the mayor.

According to the press secretary of the mayor Sergei Tsoi, Luzhkov on September 27 will participate in various events from early morning until late in the evening. As it became known to Interfax , Luzhkov came to work at the city hall on Monday earlier than eight hours. Leaving the service car, he went to his office.

On Monday, the mayor is planned for working meetings and meetings. Only the traditional meeting of the mayor with deputies was canceled in advance, since Luzhkov will open the UNESCO World Conference on the Education and Education of Children's Children. The conference will last until September 29th. It is planned to accept the Moscow plan of action in the field of raising and education of children.

The official of the Moscow Government, whose surname is not called, told Vedomosti that the atmosphere at the city hall is nervous, but it is clear to everyone that Luzhkov’s resignation is inevitable. According to two sources close to the leadership of the City Hall, Publicly Luzhkov may declare the authority to take off his authority at a government meeting or in the program on the TTC "Facial to the City".

Another source close to the leadership of the city hall stated that the issue of Luzhkov’s resignation was unlikely to be resolved before Medvedev’s returning from China , and the mayor’s change will occur on October 6-7.

Some experts predict another development of events: for example, the mayor can save the situation by making a conciliatory statement and thus understanding that the Kremlin won the information war. But even in this case, it is unlikely to be discussed for a long time - after one or two months, Luzhkov will still be removed.

As part of the analysts suggests, the posts of the mayor of the capital and the chairman of the city government can be divided. The first position is forgiven the head of the Russian government apparatus, Sergei Sobyanin, managing Presidential Affairs Vladimir Kozhin, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Zhukov. The second post can be occupied by the Nizhny Novgorod governor Valery Shantsev, as well as one of the current deputies of Luzhkov - Yuri Roslyak or Sergey Baidakov.

According to RBC Daily , the Moscow City Hall will not object to the new mayor if the capital’s officials are given the opportunity to retain the city economy management, and a person from the Luzhkov team will be appointed to the post of chairman of the Moscow government. So that the separation of posts does not look like a concession to Luzhkov, it is proposed to share positions in St. Petersburg, a source in the city hall noted.