| The competition "Best Private Investor-2010", organized by the RTS stock exchange, unlike previous years of profitability, is not amazing. The results of the current leaders are much lower than the favorites of the competition in the previous two years. Everyone is accustomed to thousands of percent and that every next year the winner shows an incredible and, most importantly, stable result. The winner of the nomination “Best Investor-Nonprofessional-2003”, winner in the category “Best Trader-millionaire-2007”, co-owner of the Pskov stock company Andrei Beyritz specifically for “News Time” tried to figure out a difficult situation.
I suggest first to evaluate whether to correctly compare the achievements of previous years with the results of the current competition. Firstly, it is necessary to take into account the "weight category" of the participants, that is, the initial amount from which the entire profitability in percent is considered. This year, the minimum amount of 50 thousand rubles, in previous years - 30 thousand rubles. The initial amount may increase with the growth of warranty support (the trader trades with a standard number of contracts, but they are more expensive) or because of the trader’s accidental transaction in the amount more than the previously declared. This is important: after all, a change in the volume of initial funds even on a small amount greatly affects the total profitability in percent. We are now observing this situation among the leaders of the competition. Two traders-scalper iPatiy karenin And Rockybeat did not specifically increase their initial amount. For the first, this is a plus of 5.8 thousand rubles, and for the second - plus 22 thousand rubles. Naturally, this markedly affected their profitability in the absolute meaning, which clearly complicated the task for the iPatiy Karenin to stay in the top three, and Rockybeat most likely lost hope for a prize. Their competitors are more disciplined.
Secondly, when comparing the results of the best private investors of different years, it is necessary to take into account the overall volatility in the market. It is incorrect to compare the results of different years, more precisely in the last three months of the year. For example, 2003-the period of restoration of the stock market and the formation of the market of futures and options for Forts in general, 2008-crisis, atypical period of movement of the period. Now intraday volatility is less than in the same period of 2009.
Thirdly, tools for work. It is wrong to compare work in the RTSSTANDARD shares market with futures on the shares or futures for the RTS index with options. Do not forget that in different years, the participants of the competition had different tools-factories. Initially, everyone mainly traded in the actions of RAO UES, then futures on Gazprom’s shares, and only in 2005 did everyone's favorite futures on the RTS index appeared, which, however, did not immediately become a terminated contract.
And, finally, comparing the participants among themselves, you should understand what kind of work strategy they adhere to. Different profitability, various risks and temporary horizons. An investor with a minimum number of transactions may simply not have time to show profitability in a short period of work, but if you take a longer period (starting from the year), then its results can be much higher.
If we evaluate the profitability of participants from the top-list of the competition for a month and a half of trade with indicators of similar periods of past years, taking into account the above factors, then for me progress is evident. The number and level of participants and traders are becoming higher. So, the current favorite in return in rubles is Kassir, in my opinion, the best deitoran in the history of the competition. We observe more robots with good stable results in the first positions and serious accounts, among them Robot_climber and Robot_lorap. In absolute terms, the best result for today EVA in 2008 is a crisis year. It is also necessary to keep in mind that successful traders for a number of reasons do not participate in each competition. I am sure that, for example, Dettier is the winner of the past competition - and now shows an excellent result.
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