45% of large investors surveyed by Bloomberg are confident in this; in countries neighboring China, 60% believe that a bubble is inflating there

The economic stimulus package adopted last year, as well as the autumn decision of the US Federal Reserve to launch the second stage of the quantitative easing program, have significantly improved the prospects for economic growth in the United States, the Financial Times quotes the IMF forecast.

If the IMF previously predicted that US GDP growth in 2011 would be 0.7%, this figure has now been increased to 3%. Still, the new stimulus sows the seeds of a longer-term crisis, the fund warns.

Updated IMF forecasts look more optimistic for all countries of the world. According to fund analysts, even the eurozone will not succumb to a new crisis. However, such a rapid recovery, which would return the world to pre-crisis economic growth rates somewhere between 2010 and 2012, will also keep commodity prices high and contribute to rising inflation in developing countries. “ There are great risks that the prices of most commodities will rise,” the IMF warned, publishing a forecast that the cost of most commodities will rise by an average of 11% this year.

Thus, the main message of the fund was a call for tightening fiscal policy in all countries. The IMF acknowledged that the US fiscal package could accelerate GDP growth, but emphasized that “ the recent stimulus package will add only a small share to GDP growth, but will come with a large fiscal price.” According to fund analysts, the US national debt will amount to 110% of national income by 2016, and the deficit this year will be twice the deficit in the eurozone.

In the medium term, the biggest risks come from European countries, the fund believes. “ Even though the countries of the European “ periphery” account for only a small share of the eurozone’s GDP, important financial links could lead to a slowdown in growth and demand that would undermine global GDP growth,” the IMF predicts.

At the same time, the fund continued to criticize developing countries , including China, for large trade surpluses, which are combined with the artificial weakening of national currencies. The IMF insists that currencies need to be strengthened to improve the health of the entire world economy.

The IMF raised its assessment of US economic growth, but threatened a crisis