Translated material
: Fortune -telling in St. Petersburg
Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Kozaku is forgiven to the governors of St. Petersburg. Kozak Anti -Crisis manager, who is thrown into unsolvable problems. Peter is a project of a scale. True, Peter is not on the verge of collapse, but the federal government has plenty of “St. Petersburg”. So there is a choice.
Petersburg was found by a new governor. The governor was found by the sources of the Kommersant newspaper, who believed that the current Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Kozak would become the governor. The motivation is simple - the Kozak at a recent selector meeting responded extremely strictly about the activities of the city authorities, according to some estimates, he will lead St. Petersburg United Russia to the elections - therefore, he will be the governor.
The appointment of Dmitry Kozak, if it takes place, will become a symbolic failure of the Kremlin personnel policy. And not only the times of the presidency of Medvedev. When the mass resignations of the governors took place and, to put it mildly, the most successful candidates were appointed to vacant places. Putin’s personnel policy was different from the Medvedev desire to put personally loyal people on the maximum number of posts, but in general they are the same order.
The Kozak has been engaged in a kind of anti -crisis control for the past few years. Problems with Moldova begin - they are solved by the Kozak. The understanding came that the bureaucratic apparatus would be too long - the Kozak is preparing administrative reform. Crisis in the field of housing and communal services? Housing and communal services will do a goat. Does the North Caucasus be threatened with new partisan wars? Send a kozaka there. An indispensable person in solving the problems that others would hardly have to be solved.
On all (almost all) global projects of Dmitry Kozak, not just difficulties were waiting for, but unresolved or poorly perceptible problems. Logically, it should be "but decided." There will be no this phrase - in all these directions, Dmitry Kozak failed. As a manager, he, apparently, is not bad - he recorded a hopeless patient (whether it is the Caucasus or municipal reform) and even slightly improved his condition. But he was not able to solve the problem and bring the reform to the end.
Symbolically, Kozak is the “last argument of Putin” when there is no one else to send.
However, Petersburg is not like even after Matvienko to a collapsing system. The city is functioning in the very least, even despite the miscalculations of the current administration. It seems that so far there was no need for a goat.
The second consideration against the purpose of the Kozak is as follows. To lead the list of united Russia (which, against the backdrop of the low popularity of Matvienko in the city, will be quite justified) and scold the regional authorities (even with the election sight). To become a governor is somewhat different. Now a whole set of functions is hanging on Kozak - in particular, the preparation of the Olympics in Sochi. What mega-dent is still not pacing the Caucasus and, most likely, will be resolved. However, without a strong deputy prime minister, the project risks losing status, even if there is a huge budget and a special state corporation.
Rumors about the appointment of Kozak are ordinary rumors accompanying any large personnel permutation. Almost all major federal officials and members of the Luzhkov team of different years were consistently “appointed” in the place of Yuri Luzhkov. Sergei Sobyanin also appeared on that list, but along with a dozen more likely candidates. The same story is repeated with Peter - candidates arrive, rumors are multiplying, nervousness of officials, especially St. Petersburg. The latter enhances the generation of rumors.
The number of potential candidates for St. Petersburg is quite large. By logic, the governor will be a native of St. Petersburg with experience in federal authorities. There are quite a lot of the same after the Petersburg invasion in Moscow in the first half of the 2000s.
Before the coming of Kozak, the successor to the post of governor of the Northern capital, the deputy head of the presidential administration, Alexander Beglov, seemed to be the most likely candidate for the post of successors. Beglov was already at the head of St. Petersburg, however, in the status of acting
The problem of “who to put on St. Petersburg” will most likely be decided completely after the resignation of Valentina Matvienko. This is also the specifics of the personnel policy in Russia - until the document is the latest signature under the document, it can still be outplayed. So theoretically Dmitry Kozak has a chance to become a governor. In a certain appraisal situation.