
According to observers, the main reasons for reducing the popularity of the President are a shaky state of affairs in the economy and the feeling that Washington does not know how to rectify the situation. Political scientists remind: when the economy is developing successfully, the owner of the White House usually gets - often not entirely fair - praise. In the case of slowing down the pace of economic growth of the president (also not quite fair), as a rule, is considered the main culprit. How can Obama's low rating affect the presidential election that will take place in November next year? This question is answered by political scientist Karlin Bownean , an employee of the American Enterprise Institute:
- Today's low popularity of Obama can be a temporary phenomenon, but if it is preserved, then in the elections his position will be very vulnerable. Those less, in the past elections for Obama, 90 percent of black voters voted. This is an extremely monolithic ethnic group. After all, before Obama became president, most African Americans voted for the Democrats.
- What other “secret weapons” do Obama have?
-Firstly, many people would like to re-elect the first president of the African-American for the second term. Secondly, Obama’s actions against terrorists and his foreign policy receive a rather high appreciation. And thirdly, his secret weapon is a weak candidate from the Republicans. So far, we do not know exactly who they put forward, but, like in the last election, this may not be a strong enough contender.
At the end of the summer of 1983, the Rayagan rating was 43 percent, and before the elections in October 1984 - already 58. Bill Clinton had 46 in August 1995, and in October 1996 it became 54 percent. Both leaders helped a noticeable acceleration of economic growth.
Meanwhile, the most popular candidate for president from the Republicans , in just three days of stay in the role of such, was the governor of Texas Rick Peri. According to the data published on August 16, the nationwide survey of the Icessen Service, 61-year-old Rick Perry, by a wide margin, leads among the republican electorate. He has 29% of the votes against 18% of the recently former Governor Massachusetts Mitta Romny.
Analysts explain the interest of voters in Perry by his successes in creating new jobs in Texas, as well as the image of a decisive, pragmatic manager, who, in the context of a shaky economic situation, can be especially attractive for both the average voter and conservative Republicans. However, the triumphal start of the Rick Perry campaign also caused the assumption that the categorical of judgments could be his Achilles fifth. Some were already surprised by Perry’s statements that for the Texas, disappointed with the government in Washington, one of the possible scenarios is the separation of their state from the United States, or that last year’s spill of oil in the Gulf of Mexico is not a miscalculation of BP corporation, but “God's punishment”.
At a meeting with voters in Ayov, on August 15, Rick Perry accused the head of the federal reserve system Ben Bernanke of the fact that the actions of the Central Bank are moving political considerations:
- If this guy will print more money from today until the day of the election, I don’t know how you are in Aiova, but we would have treated him quite cool in Texas. The use of a printing press in political games at this stage of American history, in my opinion, is almost equivalent to state treason.
This remark of the governor Texas was amazed even some of his one -party people. Tony Fratto, a former employee of the Ministry of Finance and spokesman for President Bush Jr., called her on Twitter "inappropriate and unworthy candidate of president."
Perry does not bypass criticism of the current president. Having reminded of his service in the Air Force in the 70s, Perry noted that his American military will be respected as the president-criminal, probably more than Barack Obama , who did not serve in the army. Obama himself in an interview with CNN did not slow down with an answer.
-In my opinion, for anyone who goes to the presidency, it is necessary for some time before he realizes the difference between this process from the nomination to the governors, to the upper or lower house of Congress. It is necessary to weigh your statements more thoroughly.
Analysts also note the vulnerability of Rick Perry for attacks from the right conservatives. The track record of Perry Governor includes student scholarships for children of illegal immigrants, the mandatory vaccination of sixth graders against sexually transmitted diseases, a wasteful project of the network of high-speed highway.