The victim of the castling?

Who dismissed the Minister of Finance

The victim of the castling? The clash of Alexei Kudrin with Dmitry Medvedev only to third -party observers could seem like a sensation: the conflict was brewing for a long time. Details found out The New Times

“They arranged a circus that not citizens of this country live in Russia, but a herd of rams. Maybe we are like that? " - So the teacher of one of the Tyumen universities, Irina Tarasova, in a conversation with The New Times, commented on the results of the United Russia congress, on which Tandem announced the castling. On September 26, the “circus” continued: at a meeting of the modernization commission, the departing president tried to “fry” Alexei Kudrin. It turned out badly: the interlocutor did not show the proper fear, the resignation statement immediately, in place, did not submit, smiled and promised to consult first with Vladimir Putin before making the decision. One of the most popular jokes on the Internet immediately became: “A new euphemism has appeared in the Russian language: instead of a rude“ go to xi ” - now the polite“ I will consult with the prime minister ”.

Why did you leave?

Immediately after the resignation, Kudrin called the almost accurate date when his conflict with Dmitry Medvedev entered the decisive stage - February 2011. It was then that the President approved the arms program, within the framework of which the state from 2011 to 2020 obliged to provide enterprises with state order defense rooms for 20 trillion rubles. According to The New Times, the government planned to allocate 13 trillion rubles for the program, the Minister of Defense Anatoly Serdyukov personally discussed the issue with Medvedev, and the amount grew to 27 trillion rubles. Kudrin had to make considerable efforts to reduce it to 20 trillion. But the Minister of Finance considered this amount excessive. Having declared to reporters the day after the congress of United Russia that he did not see himself in the future of the Medvedev government, he recalled disagreements about the military budget. According to Kudrin, the decision to allocate 20 trillion rubles per defense industry
Read costs by about 1.3% of GDP already in 2012. And in 2014, when compared with this year, this increase will be 3%, which cannot but affect the expenses in the field of education and healthcare. “That is, in three years we are transferred to military spending equal to the amount of financing of the entire education,” Kudrin said.

Andrei Illarionov, a former presidential adviser on economic issues, claims that he learned about Kudrin’s decision to leave the post of Minister of Finance in June. “As follows from the statement of Kudrin himself, he discussed this issue with Putin in February, but apparently received a refusal. Then, as I understand it, he was waiting for a convenient moment, ”said The New Times Illarionov. According to him, the decision of Kudrin was due to the fact that the conditions in which he was ready to work changed. Most experts also do not consider the resignation of Kudrin a reaction to the events of the congress, rather - the result of a long process of the so -called stabilization in Russia. Georgy Satarov, the head of the Indem Foundation, believes that the Ministry of Finance, led by Kudrin, like the whole country, has long been powerless to change the situation, "when the authorities recklessly spends money." The political stability, which is dear to Putin, every year requires more and greater expenses for the purchase of the loyalty of the population, and the election campaigns only exacerbate the situation. “Kudrin no longer wanted to solve the budget problem in conditions when they are not listening to it,” said Satarov The New Times. Rostislav Turovsky, vice-president of the Center for Political Technology, believes that Kudrin’s statements are “another public expression of internal disagreements that have developed in the power elite”. And the political scientist Mikhail Tula explains the so emotional reaction of Medvedev with the characteristics of the character of the president: “This is the result of painful pointlessness on his personality.”

Consequences

The reaction of economists to the resignation of Kudrin is unambiguous: the government, and with him the country, lost a real professional, a competent financier, which is almost impossible to replace. “All the conversations that Kudrin is an accountant who only monitors that there is a balance and does not think about other parties to state policy is an attempt by his opponents to bring arguments to his favor,” the scientific director of the Higher School of Economics Yevgeny Yasin told The New Times. According to him, one of the main problems of the current economic situation in Russia is inflation. Kudrin pursued a policy to reduce it, protecting the safety of the budget. “He believed that his merits would be appreciated-if not a people who do not care, just to receive some money from the state, then the leader with whom he worked. But Putin was forced to make a choice between Medvedev and Kudrin, ”says Yasin. - For us this is a loss. How they will do it next is incomprehensible. ” The former first deputy minister of finance, and now the chairman of the Board of Directors of the Bank of the Bank Oleg Vyugin notes that Kudrin ensured the sustainable interaction of Russia with international financial organizations - both in the G20 and the IMF. “Kudrin advocated tight control over the budget, so that it was clear at every moment, how it will be reduced if external conditions change,” says Vyugin. In his opinion, now this responsibility will fall on Putin. About the same - and professor of the Russian Economic School Konstantin Sonin. “Already in recent years, expenses have grown too much (social) and wrong (through all kinds of state corporations), and the further - the stronger this trend will be. It is difficult to imagine how it will resist the pressure of both internal and external lobby, ”wrote Sonin in his LiveJournal.

Political future?

Most experts do not exclude Kudrin’s return to politics. Rostislav Turovsky believes that Kudrin after resignation became a much more politicized figure than before. “Obviously, he plans to return to power - and no less position than he left,” the political scientist says. Mikhail Tula believes that Kudrin did not stop being a member of the Putin team: “I do not exclude that Putin did not intervene in the conflict, because he has long -term plans for Kudrin. Kudrin may take a position in the presidential administration. ” “A year later, the powers of the head of the Central Bank Sergey Ignatiev will end with a little,” Oleg Vyugin suggests his option. Only Andrei Illarionov is sure that Kudrin left politics: “The only adequate post that Kudrin could claim is the prime minister.” And even if Medvedev does not head the government, there is nothing to count on Kudrin: “Putin never gave this position to a strong, competent person with personal political potential. Such a person at this post is automatically able to become his competitor. ”

Facebook and Twitter - about the resignation of the Minister of Finance

Anton Makarov

Swiftly. Sorry! Will there really be no one at all with a position, his own position?

Svetlana Blokhina

Medvedev painted a circle with chalk and Kudrin did not see himself in his government.

Anton Bashin

They resigned one of the few who had at least something in their heads ...

Kirill Yakovenko

Medvedev himself did not understand what he had done. Sorry Kudrin, a good man was a good.

Andrey Yashonkov

Now they are bought by the aircraft carriers what they want.

Nikita Barkovskiy

Today, they already said in the news: "Yes, and the minister he is so -so." Quickly inform the population. And most importantly - truthfully!

Evgeny Borisovich artcles

Well done, Alexey !!! Only now our region will not receive money for its projects !! After all, Alexei is our fellow countryman-Arkhangelogorods !!!

Kudrin is a smart person, but that is why his act causes bewilderment ...

Bla_Bla_TWIT

I vote for Kudrin in the presidential election!

Zanuda_olefv

What will the “Kudrin scissors” turn into? Is there any hope for tax reduction? Will there be a dynamics of investment?

Sbrodova Ksenia

Soon jokes about Kudrin will be more popular than jokes about Jews.

Sirosh Sirosh

The story with Kudrin is very unpleasant and demonstrates that the times from Atlant straightened his shoulders ”Russian American Ain Rand are just around the corner.

Shtulman007

Prokhorov, Kudrin, who is next?