The authorities are sure that Putin’s nomination of President from United Russia will increase the party’s chances in the elections. The party’s rating has been standing still for a week, despite all the efforts of tandemocrats. However, the rigid binding of the party to Putin is bad for Putin himself, because he ceases to be a “national leader”.
The Congress of United Russia, which was held the day before, was not a entire party event. It was clear in advance that the central event in his agenda would be the nomination of Vladimir Putin to the president of the country. Which was consistently and did the director Stanislav Govorukhin (as if from the intelligentsia), the head of Business Russia Boris Titov (like from the business and the right spectrum of the electorate), the steel of Nizhny Tagil (from the working class), a large mother and farmer in one person and so on.
The congress showed comprehensive support for the current prime minister. “Vladimir Vladimirovich will undoubtedly be the leader of the presidential race. I do not see other worthy candidates among potential candidates, ”said Sergey Zheleznyak, First Deputy Secretary of the Presidium of the General Council of the General Council, pro -government experts are convinced - now the party electorate will be mobilized and“ United Russia ”will be more easily won by the State Duma elections next Sunday.
Tandemocrats seem to be convinced of the same. “The more convincing the result, achieved on December 4, the more correctly and more solid the victory in the elections (president) in March next year will be. I am sure that our victory is not only useful, but also necessary for our country. The presidential candidate Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin proposed and supported and supported by United Russia is really the most popular, most experienced and most successful politician of modern Russia, ”Dmitry Medvedev said at the congress.
The current ratings of the United Russia are not as impressive as during the last campaign for the election of deputies of the State Duma. Even the VTsIOM loyal to power gives EP 43 percent and about 270 mandates in the Duma. Now United Russia has 313 mandates in parliament. At the same time, the rating has not been growing for several weeks in a row. In 2007, the support of Vladimir Putin, who headed the party’s list, immediately raised the party rating by 15 percent (at least sociological services were recorded).
We will be able to evaluate how much Putin will give Putin to the president only on December 4, since the law does not allow to publish ratings in the last week before the elections. However, all last weeks, both the president and the prime minister, together praised United Russia and in every possible way campaigned for it by representatives of different professions and social groups, and the rating stood on the spot.
This is the problem of the party. The resource of the "Putin majority" it seems to be almost completely chosen. The rating of Putin himself cringed a little with the beginning of the crisis. Supporters of the second tandemocrat Dmitry Medvedev are still an ephemeral entity, it is not clear even whether they existed at all. After Medvedev’s refusal of all presidential ambitions on September 24, it seems, should not have remained at all.
The authorities actually drove itself into the electoral trap, voluntaristic dividing the electorate into those who are behind Putin, and who are against it.
The authorities tried to overcome the gap in the usual way tested in 2007 - to create anxiety from the population and convince that the country's security depends on the preservation of power. First, the topic of the external enemy was used by Dmitry Medvedev, who harshly responded to NATO plans for the placement of missile defense systems in Europe.
At the Congress of EP, Vladimir Putin also performed in the spirit of past elections. “We know, unfortunately, that these days, on the eve of the elections to the State Duma, the president of Russia, representatives of some foreign states, collect those to whom they pay money, the so -called grantee, conduct instructions with them, set them up for the appropriate“ work ”in order to influence the course of the election campaign in our country,” the prime minister said. If you do not ulcerate the topic of poorly written speech (why the prime minister grieves about his awareness - decisively incomprehensible), then Putin’s associations inevitably arise before his supporters in 2007, when he painted a terrible picture about certain people who “playing foreign embassies”.
Whether the external enemy will help this time - it is definitely difficult to say. It seems that United Russia will maintain control in the State Duma following the results of the campaign, not least thanks to the current head of government. However, Putin's ligament with the party is an alarming for the career of Putin himself.
At the end of 2007, Medvedev was nominated by the presidential post by representatives of four parties at once (two of them, however, no longer exist in nature). Including United Russia, which received two -thirds of the mandates in the State Duma. Putin is only EP, which risks losing the constitutional majority in the State Duma. If Vladimir Putin really becomes a candidate from United Russia, then his third term may even become the last. He came to the presidential post, being a "Teflon" politician. Neither war, nor terrorist attacks, nor disasters influenced its rating. With the acquisition of additional encumbrance in the form of United Russia, the current prime minister and the future president risk losing his Teflon.