
Only state orders will help domestic light industry, both shoe and textile, after joining the WTO , domestic clothing and shoes will become completely uncompetitive in price.
According to the calculations of the Russian Union of clothing manufacturers, which is given by Izvestia , the reduction of import customs duties (from the current 10-20%to 5-7%) will lead to a decrease in the customs value of 1 kg of clothing by at least 14%. Accordingly, Russian manufacturers will be forced to immediately lower prices for goods by the same 14-15%.
The Ministry of Industry and Trade will try to compensate for the damage by loading the light industry at the expense of the army, security forces and other structures that actively use the uniform. Now the form is already sewn at Russian enterprises, but for four years foreign companies will receive admission to this market.
The fact that companies cannot live without state orders are also recognized by market participants. “Subsidies from the state will help us weakly. Overalls will remain,” says Alexander Andrunakievich, General Director of the Russian Union of Tanneries and Trainers.
According to the forecasts of several government departments, the total loss of light industry from joining the WTO in the next few years can amount to about $ 100 million.
In 2012, the volume of textile and sewing production should fall by 25%, the production of shoes and leather products - by 55%. Import of light industry products will grow by year from year to year. So, in 2012, growth will be 69%.
The forecasts of market participants are very pessimistic. According to the Russian Union of Kozhevniks and Trainers, the production of shoes can fall 10 times in 2012 and amount to 10 million pairs. In 2011, 100 million pairs were produced in Russia. 350 million pairs of shoes were imported.