
Now it already sounds like a spell, in Russian, saying a mantra.
“The court will release,” Yavlinsky predicts, and it’s scary to even imagine the fate of the judge who refuses to comply with the order from the Kremlin, where Grigory Alekseevich will work as president. And Prokhorov simply has mercy on the prisoner: this will be his "first, humanistic decision", as soon as Mikhail Dmitrievich will be declared a guarantor. So that Prokhorov, when even Zyuganov, after the long -awaited victory in March, promises to free the most famous political prisoner in Russia, only at first he will “reconsider the“ results ”of the criminal privatization of the 90s - and immediately release. So that Zyuganov, if Putin himself, after the rally in Bolotnaya, agreed to "consider the petition" of the prisoner when he, of course, would write him.
You guessed: we are talking about Khodorkovsky.
This has already become, again, in Russian, a trend. Small, sane candidates and Vladimir Vladimirovich, who joined them, promise to release Mikhail Borisovich or at least reflect on a given topic. The silently silents are still gaining a voice, and the one who claimed that the Khodorkovsky hand in the blood seems to be ready to overcome his nightmares. And where is Khodorkovsky - there is Lebedev, and God forbid, Pichugin, and some others. The prisoners of the "Yukos", about which, against the background of dynamic events of recent times, were slightly forgotten, from the camps and prisons return to great politics. More precisely, the pre -election programs of candidates for the presidential post replenish with their names.
Moreover, against the backdrop of current events, it already looks like something granted. Churov resigned, and Khodorkovsky to the will. It sounds logical. Such complementary theses, although, it would seem, what does Churov have to do with it? Well, you can replace Churov in Putin, which will correspond to the spirit of time more, but it will not sound so realistic. Although very attractive.
It remains only to understand how realistic the main plot is: the liberation of Khodorkovsky. It is clear that even Zyuganov, if he succeeds in a difficult struggle to go out on the second round and win, will hold back his word. However, with the most honest counting of votes, as Alexei Leonidovich Kudrin, Putin should win. He will apparently decide the fate of Khodorkovsky.
And this is a plot with many unknown. If we assume that with the uninhabited and very hardworking Churov, Putin’s honest victory will turn into a million rallies of protest, then there are few chances of freeing the MBX. For Vladimir Vladimirovich will rather begin to sharply conflict with the people with the help of his security forces than to "demonstrate weakness" and include compromises natural for a normal politician. However, events can take such a character that the security forces themselves will ask him to at least slightly reduce the degree of tension in society and he, overlapped on all sides, will be forced to listen to them. Or, conversely, he will get angry even more, commanding him to stop the hysteria: he succeeds such phrases well, and he loves to pronounce them. Do not feed bread.
Another option, a little more likely: moderate excitement in the framework of the December, about 100 thousand protesters in the capital's squares, and then Putin will have the opportunity to play ahead of the lead. The catch, however, is that he expects “pardon” from Khodorkovsky and Lebedev, and they are unlikely to want to please Putin. This is already a long -standing conflict: the law allows the president to free the convict without his formal humiliation, but the president does not want. At first, he says, kiss me, villain, pen, and then I will think. Actually, Putin repeated about these words that Medvedev was the first to say in December. Here a certain performance may even play out when, for example, Peskov will declare that his cartridge agrees to have mercy on Khodorkovsky, but the trouble: he himself does not want. Like a kind of play, it may well be played in May or a little later.
Finally, there is another option, which is easy to forget about how easily we began to forget about who we have the president after September 24th. Let me remind you: for another four months, the head of state in Russia will respond to Dmitry Anatolyevich Medvedev. And if the Kremlin wants to truly play ahead of schedule and try to soften the effect of honest elections in March, then the only right decision suggests itself. The outgoing guarantor can commit his first and last presidential act: to free Khodorkovsky - without any pardon, annexation and indemnities. Naturally, after consulting with the senior comrade, who, perhaps, having read other people's programs and peering sadly into his future, he will give a go -ahead.
And they finally get off, Khodorkovsky with Lebedev, joining the majority. To those who have to live long in the era of Putin, in a semi -free, half -dead, protesting, irritated, powerless country. I mean joining the majority - in a good sense that they promise Yavlinsky, Prokhorov and Zyuganov, partly Putin. Promises, like dreams, sometimes come true.