Why Yanukovych is a second term

The two -year anniversary of Viktor Yanukovych’s stay as the President of Ukraine was almost unnoticed. The only event that is drawn for a gift for a round date can only be considered a landing of the “orange” leader and Minister of the Interior under Tymoshenko Yuri Lutsenko. In Ukraine, where hundreds of millions of dollars are stealing at state tenders for the purchase of, for example, oil platforms, the severity of justice in the case of an undeserved pension of the driver Lutsenko causes only mockery. In other words, if Julia is a policy , then Yura is for fun. Yanukovych himself, having passed two years of the presidency, had already stated that he had the right to think about the second term. The signal is not so much for voters as for a family of associates. Like, everything is according to plan. The Ukrainians themselves still think little about the possibility of re -election of Yanukovych - but in vain. According to all the laws of the genre, to leave Fedorovich after the first period is stupid. Voluntarily throw such a post when there is an opportunity to stay-this is for some European democratic simpletons, and not for modern Ukraine. Otherwise, why then with severe efforts to build a power vertical, concentrate control over law enforcement agencies, and ensure a stable and humble majority in parliament? In the end, why then was the chief opponent Yulia Tymoshenko? In a word, to do everything that Yanukovych did during his presidency. It may seem to someone that Yanukovych already has everything in order to live a sweet and calm life a la first president Kravchuk. And the convenient residence of "Mezhigorye" in the protected zone of the Kiev region, nicknamed "Ukrainian Versailles." And arranged their own children. And the conquered peak of a political career. Why not leave? But no. Ukraine, of course, is not Russia, but the concern of the presidents are largely similar. In Ukraine, the president is also a hostage of the environment that brought him to the post. Conducted in order to provide its business interests. Moreover, in Ukraine it will be more complicated with this than in Russia. There are many influential groups with different interests and ambitions around the Yanukovych orbit, so the guarantor really does not have time for a sweet life . It is the desire to resolve the situation that the last loud personnel permits in the Azarov government are dictated. Yanukovych made a scream and moved the deputy prime minister Klyuyev to the post of co-secretary of the National Security Council. As befits in such cases, the former Secretary of the Council of People's Commissars Raisa Bogatyrev, a gynecologist by education and the devoted supporter of Yanukovych were put in the government in the government. Such a maneuver is needed to weaken the group of influence of Rosukrnergo, led by Dmitry Firtash. Firtash’s people are also enough that Valery Khoroskovsky, who is associated with this wing, moved to the Azarov government from the post of head of the Security Service of Ukraine. To have more neutral or your people in important posts is the main goal of Yanukovych in his current personnel rotations. Hence the difficult negotiations with the former associate of Yushchenko, businessman and economist Peter Poroshenko. The latter turned out to be very far -sighted player, and, having evaluated the prospects of the Ukrainian economy, is in no hurry to accept the presidential proposal to head the Ministry of Finance. On the other hand, the Donetsk group of Akhmetov -Kokolenikov does not want to miss the spheres of influence. It was Donetsk for a long time that were the main in this game and the main sponsors of the Party of Regions. Finally, Yanukovych’s closest environment is gaining momentum. That is, his family, but already without quotation marks, because the president’s sons are in mind, - begins to slowly play his own party. An example of this is the appointment of the main Chekist of the country Igor Kalinin, who previously headed the personal protection of the Ukrainian leader. A person devoted personally to Yanukovych and his family. The sons Alexander and Victor are so far only in business, but Ukrainian realities are such that business is always intertwined with politics, and large businessmen are divided into those who go into politics themselves, and those who sponsor it. And yet, for whom the president is busy for the past two years, to be offended by Yanukovych in any case. All of them managed to defend their interests and significantly increase the capital. Firtash returned the Rosucranergo gas weareed by the government of Tymoshenko and took almost all of the chipravl to his hands. Akhmetov with his companies acquired a series of Olnergo throughout the country and significantly expanded his influence in the energy sector. Over the past two years, Ukrainians did not feel special improvement in their daily life. As a result - Yanukovych’s rating continues to decline along the inclined. According to polls, Yanukovych is still leading among potential presidential candidates with support for only 12% of Ukrainians. Just a year ago, he had almost 30%. Nevertheless, the Kyiv hills understand that the parliamentary elections that are coming this fall will pass quickly, and we must think about the 2015 election. On the sidelines, it is said that already now the associates of Yanukovych are calculating the strategy of his victory in the struggle for the next period. They already have a useful experience in 1999, when Ukrainians chose between Kuchma and communist Simonenko. Therefore, as the main opponent, Yanukovych, in this situation, prophesies the leader of the Freedom party, Oleg Tyagnibok, whose extremely nationalist views would be even more unpleasant for most Ukrainian voters than the second term of Yanukovych. Another possible candidate for a high post - Sergei Tigipko recently announced the entry of his party “Strong Ukraine” to the “Party of Regions”, depriving himself of electoral prospects. Although in the 2010 elections, he took third place and looked like a good alternative to Yanukovych -Timoshenko’s confrontation. So Yanukovych should not have any problems with re -election in 2015. Strong rivals can be planted or bought out, and the weak will lose themselves. Therefore, now Yanukovych can fully devote himself to his main task-to raising clan-framework problems. After all, there will be a lot of them.