The government is deposited

The government is deposited. The formation of the cabinet Dmitry Medvedev, which has been protected by beyond measure, has already gained the glory of the most comical performance of the latest Russian history. President Vladimir Putin does not go to the G8 summit in Kemp-David to manage the formation of the office on the spot. Prime Minister Medvedev goes there because Putin decided as far as possible to rid him of participating in this event. Like Duumvir Medvedev, in fact, deposed Putin. It is expected that the head of state will approve the composition of the government on May 22, however, this date may not be final. The New Times tried to weigh the real capabilities of Medvedev to influence the composition of his own office

A week after his approval in the Duma as prime minister, Dmitry Medvedev presented the structure and composition of his office to President Vladimir Putin, accompanying this process with the words on the television camera: “We will not show the personal composition so as not to make excess interest.” The president did not object: apparently, the Duumvirs believe that it is not the case of taxpayers to be interested in those who will work in the government. Well, curious for a week I had to be content with kuluar rumors.

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Loneliness
They say that one of Medvedev’s main advantages that prompted Putin with a light heart to entrust the main chair of the country, is the lack of his own capable team. Or rather, pathological inability to create it. Having launched last year in the fall of the Open Government, an informal club of officials, entrepreneurs and experts who took up the development of a summons for the new prime minister, Medvedev tried to correct this annoying defect. It’s not to say that he succeeded: Dmitry Anatolyevich still does not enjoy the support of either leading private oligopolies, or the more largest state corporations and state-owned companies.
It is no better than Medvedev’s position in the environment of top-official, called by his public “raids” on individual heads of departments, and even more-the abbreviations of the state apparatus and the announced move of the departments into the so-called new Moscow. The leaders of the federal executive bodies have been boycotting of the Open Government for six months now. (Read about another view of the “Open Government” on page 28.)
As a result, Medvedev, as before, does not have its own consolidated team. It’s not to consider such a dozen former classmate-legalists who settled thanks to his patronage on status, but, as a rule, not key positions in the presidential administration, the Prosecutor General, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the Investigative Committee and the Judicial System. Among the “classmates”, only one federal minister is the head of the Ministry of Justice Alexander Konovalov , and even he seemed to have lost the favor of his cartridge. In addition, "classmates" scandalously compete with each other for "access to the body" and new purposes. And the big question is whether they are all at Putin-President, in whose jurisdiction they are now.
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When asked what share of the government’s shares could be controlled by Medvedev, if the government of a joint -stock company, most of the respondents of officials replied that no more than 30–35%

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Key positions
It would be equally reckless to take in a “Medvedev team” of such unlike and to varying degrees of people close to him, as the responsibilities of the deputy prime ministers of the formed government Igor Shuvalov and Vladislav Surkov , their likely future colleagues Arkady Dvorkovich and Mikhail Abyzov , as well as Natalia Timakova , who is being sent to the post of spokesman for the premiere and deputy head of the government apparatus. To imagine the coherent Surkov and Timakov, you need to have a truly rich imagination. Surkov and Shuvalov, and even more so with Dvorkovich, who, according to rumors, claimed the post of head of the White House apparatus, who was rumored to be almost as hostile.
In the absence of the prime minister, a single team should not be surprised that the key positions will go to Putin creatures. Key in the understanding of officials are those where income is generated where money and budget preferences are distributed. It is already clear that the Ministry of Finance both steamed and the Anton Siluanov will steer - the technical successor of Alexei Kudrin personally chosen by Putin. According to The New Times, the president consulted for this purpose with Kudrin and he said something like: "I was sitting in this chair for 12 years, and let Anton sit as much." Although, unlike Kudrin, there will be no volumetric deputy prime minister.
In the same way, government officials familiar with the situation do not imagine how the prime minister could advance their people to the posts of the heads of the federal tax and federal customs services. Formally subordinate to the Ministry of Finance of the acting The head of the Federal Tax Service Mikhail Mishustin, the man of the Kudrin -Silunov team, recalls the informed inhabitant of the White House. The main customs officer Andrei Bellyaninov is the ally of Putin at the Dresden residency of the KGB of the USSR. The customs department is directly subordinated to the prime minister. On October 29 last year, then President Medvedev publicly collapsed at the FCS. “When I hear about customs,” he said at a meeting with young scientists in Skolkovo, “I would like to take a microphone and how to run into the wall.” “Unless in the wall,” the mentioned official is ironic. - In Medvedev, 162 cm height, and Belyaninov - under two meters. Definitely will not do it. ” If anyone replaces Mishustin and Belyaninov, then only Putin’s people, he is sure.
Economics and Socialist
It is significant that Elvira Nabiullina , who constantly supported Medvedev in his innovative initiatives, leaves the post of Minister of Economic Development and “buta” for their implementation with the Ministry of Finance. Now, according to rumors, she completely leaves the authorities, rejecting the proposal to become Deputy Prime Minister in the Socialist and wishing to focus on scientific work. By the way, the proposal of Nabiullina about Deputy Primerism closed the way to the government to her husband, the rector of HSE Yaroslav Kuzminov: at some stage, he seriously claimed the post of Minister of Education and Science.
According to ministerial colleagues Nabiullina, Putin did not like the concept of long -term development until 2020, published by the Ministry of Economic Development on February 11 of this year and containing a plan for the forced privatization of the public sector. Then, in February, the minister “clashed” with the powerful deputy prime minister Igor Sechin, speaking out against the transfer of Rosneft by the State-Russian Sea Trade port of the State-Russian Sea Port. Finally, on April 23, at the collegium of the Ministry of Economic Development, Nabiullina involved Putin himself, who, according to the official who was present there, "did not like it sharply."
The Ministry of Economic Development is an agency that coordinates (together with the Federal Antimonopoly Service) public procurement, as well as state investigations. So for Putin, the resignation of Nabiullina is not at all identical to the arrival of Dvorkovich in her place, especially in the rank of Deputy Prime Minister. Arkady Vladimirovich, the president clearly would not like to hand over any important (and budget -intensive) powers. From here, government insiders say, Putin's firm desire to give the Ministry of Economic Development to the curaticity of the current acting First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov , whose positions in the office with Medvedev’s advent are clearly intensified. And this despite the loud scandal that was flared up in April around the offshore accounts of the Shuvalov family, which allegedly transferred funds from some large oligarchs.
Well, the first candidate Putin for the post of Minister of Economic Development is called the director of the Department of Economics and Finance of the Government apparatus Andrei Belousov. To have his own man at the head of the Ministry of Economic Development for the President is all the more important in case Medvedev still manages to insist that the department is transferred to Dvorkovich’s jurisdiction as the deputy head of the office.
However, the majority of government officials to whom The New Times asked the question of the career prospects of Dvorkovich, they considered the appointment of his head of the social bloc more comfortable for Putin (with a counterweight in the person of the presenter, Minister Tatyana Golikova and her deputy Veronika Skvortsova). True, according to the latest information, Golikova will leave the government to work in the Kremlin structures, and its current ministry will be divided into two specialized departments. In this case, officials predict a fierce struggle for the posts of the leaders of “delicious” subordinate structures - the Pension Fund, the Social Insurance Fund and the Federal Agency for Health and Social Development. Exceptions are added by exotic persons put forward by the “open government” as candidates for the positions of social top managers: a famous investment bank, adviser to Medvedev Evgeny Yuryev and a popular mediator- Pavel Astakhov Commissioner.
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Sichin in private conversations claimed: "I will not be in the government." A number of officials familiar with him admit that he is waiting for a key post in the corporate sector

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Innovation and fuel and fore
It is also possible that Dvorkovich’s post is prepared by the post of Deputy Prime Minister, who oversees innovation and issues of the formation of an investment climate. Then he will have to compete for this position with the adviser to Medvedev, large entrepreneur Mikhail Abyzov, creature of the former head of the Kremlin administration Alexander Voloshin. Abyzov was nominated not only on the hypothetical post of Deputy Prime Minister on the issues of the “open government”, but also on the delicious position of the Minister of Energy. Another Medvedev nominee - CEO of SUEK Vladimir Rashevsky. However, according to rumors, Putin did not even want to discuss all these candidates.
Most of the officials interviewed by The New Times believe that the Ministry of Energy will be headed by either a person from the environment of Igor Sechin, or a native of Gazprom or Rosatom State Corporation. The most likely candidate is Pavel Fedorov, who now holds the post of deputy minister. By the way, he received this appointment recently - March 22. Until 2010, Fedorov worked as the first vice president of Rosneft and, as they say, Creature Sechin. Another candidate is the Governor of Khanty -Mansi Autonomous Okrug Natalya Komarova.
As for Sechin himself, bureaucratic rumor has long brought up the “real” Igor Ivanovich with the chair of the head of the State Drug Control, and the current leader of this power department, the former chief Putin’s personnel officer Viktor Ivanov reserved the post of Minister of the Interior. However, Sechin himself in private conversations claimed: "I will not be in the government." A number of officials familiar with him admit that he is waiting for a key post in the corporate sector. The interlocutors call different options: the heads of Gazprom, the head of the Interrao, the chairman of the board of Vnesheconombank. In an extreme case, says one of the acquaintances of Sechin, he will have the opportunity to draw a personnel turbulence to the positions of the deputy head of the Kremlin administration or the presidential envoy in the Central Federal District. The latter position may soon become a vacant in the event of the appointment of the current envoy Oleg Govorun, the Minister of Regional Development, which is lobbying by Vladislav Surkov. Govorun can receive an important agency in his jurisdiction, which not only regulates inter-budget relations (that is, “cuts” transfers and subventions ”to the regions, but also oversees the activities of a temporarily frozen investment fund, the State Corporation“ Fund for Reforming the Housing and Communal Services ”and the Federal Fund for Housing Assistance.
New and old
A large industry event promises to be the possible resignation of the Minister of Transport Igor Levitin. Rumor wakes him up by the head of the aviation hub, who should include the capital's airports Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo and Vnukovo. “In order to lead such a project, one must still live before its implementation,” the minist of the Ministry of Transport doubts. The source says to the Ministry of Transport, Maxim Sokolov, head of the industry and infrastructure of the government apparatus, will be appointed. Before arriving in the Federal Government, Sokolov headed the Committee on Investments and Strategic Projects of the St. Petersburg City Hall. But whoever replaces Levitin, the shadow owners of the Ministry of Transport will remain the deputies of the minister - Oleg Belozerov and Andrey Nedosekov, close to Putin.
In place of the Minister of Culture, instead of Alexander Avdeev, Denis Molchanov , now the head of the Department of Culture of the Government of the Russian Federation, are forgiven. Favorite in the race for the chair of the Minister of Education and Science - Dmitry Livanov, rector of Misis, and deputy minister in the past. In university circles, this purpose is welcomed. “Livanov is an absolutely honest person,” the rector of the Russian Economic School Sergey Guriev described his colleague.
Of the other ministers, according to rumors, Sergey Lavrov (Foreign Ministry), Denis Manturov (Ministry of Industry and Trade) and Vitaliy Mutko (the Ministry of Sporturism) have the greatest chances of maintaining their posts. The last long time was considered a correct contender for resignation (since the failure of the Russian team at the Olympics in Vancouver in 2010), but recently the criticism of it has noticeably weakened. Apparently, this is not the time to arrange revolutions in the sports field: the summer Olympics in London on the nose, and there is a stone's throw to Sochi.
Premier share
But what about Dmitry Medvedev’s proteges - immigrants from the Open Government? Only some of them are nominated for high positions. Igor Schegoleva in the chair of the head of the Ministry of Communications can be replaced by Nikolai Nikiforov -the 30-year-old deputy chairman of the government of Tatarstan, who succeeded in creating an electronic government system in Kazan. Olga Dergunova, the ex-head of the Russian representative office "Microsoft", now the top manager of VTB, claims to be the post of head of the Federal Property Management Agency. Senator Mikhail Margelov may become the Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, director of the Center for Macroeconomic Research by Sberbank Ksenia Yudaeva , Deputy Minister of Finance.
To the question of The New Times, what share of the government of the government could control Medvedev, be the government by a joint -stock company, most of the officials respondents replied that no more than 30–35 %. In addition, they resemble, there can not be obviously any conceptual freedom of the government Medvedev. For his main task is to execute 11 “strategic” decrees signed by Putin on the first day after the inauguration. And there is not a word said about institutional reforms, but there are a lot of quantitative indicators.