Election diary. October 1

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October of the election year is called in the USA “month of surprises”. The course of the elections where the candidate of Barack Obama is still the leader (49%-44%) can change a number of factors.

Television debate
In the United States, the first television American debate will be held very soon (they will last all a month). Unlike Russia, the presence of both candidates for them is mandatory. The American media analyzes whether the debate will be able to influence on October 3 to the outcome of the elections. So far, Barack Obama is the leader in polls. The New York Times recalls that television debates were able to change the election move twice. The first case was in 1960, when John Kennedy from the Democrats and Richard Nixon from the Republicans participated in the race. Then the first television debate in the history of the United States added 4% of the exhausted Nixon confident Kennedy. The second case was in 2000, when George Bush from Republicans and Albert Mountains from the Democrats fought for the presidential chair. Mountains with a reputation as a bright speaker made several inaccuracies, which deprived him of 6% , and as a result of victory.

Foreign policy incident
The murder of the American ambassador in Libya due to the film “Innocent Muslims” gave candidate Mitt Romney a great reason to criticize President Obama. It is impossible to predict other incidents that can occur.

Economy
On October 5, the government will provide a report where the unemployment rate and other economic data will be indicated. Now the unemployment rate is 8.3% . If this figure changes significantly, for example, it will become higher, it will be another trump card in Mitt Romny's hands.

Journalistic investigations
Although everything that is possible has already been said about Romni and Obama, new investigations that will be in the hands of a particular candidate. For example, a few days before the elections in 2000, the media suddenly published a story about how, in 1976, the then presidential candidate George Bush traveled drunk at the wheel.

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