Andrey Levkin: Obama number two

Andrey Levkin

According to the heading, it may seem that now some other Obama won. Yes, this impression should arise. Of course, this is another Obama. Well, for example, the simplest - these elections were not won by the African American. That is, they were won not by the African American, but by such and such a politician-over 4 years the topic of color has gone at all.

In a word, in 4 years, much has changed there, but from the outside you are not very and you will notice. Apparently, there is already some kind of slightly different America. Of course, it is impossible to understand from the outside. At all. It was difficult for the entire election campaign to understand what, in fact, Romny could win on, in fact. And his program is not so that fundamentally blocking Obamovskaya, rather - clinging to it. And the behavior is not too charismatic, or narrow-hairdled, for large business, but how much it and how much the electorate. There were no specific positions that could provide him with victory. Nevertheless, polls showed rigid competition, the ratings came closer, tension grew, all that. In other words, the Americans have some of their feelings and considerations, from the side are unknown.

Here, of course, the American particular in the technical version is again - electors, Swing States, etc. On Bing 'E, there was even a large scheme, a branching tree according to Swing States: “If Obama wins in Ohio ...” Well, if he wins there, Romny must win all the rest of “oscillating”, and if he loses, then ... and, in general, the diverging tree of options. There is no political technology, purely arithmetic in the number of electors. In general, they did that Obama had 190 Victory options, and Romny had a dozen and a half. However, passions were present.

Everything was decided about 9 in the morning in Moscow - of course, referring not in mind the absolute numbers. At this time, the total interest was just in favor of Romny:
Barack Obama : 49.11% Votes: 46,459,235
Mitt Romney : 49.43% Votes: 46,768,613

But, meanwhile, Obama had already 290 according to the electors, and Romni had 200, and remained unfinished 48. Well, that's all, 270 need to win.

Victory in Ohio. Photo: WebPronews.com

In a word, he won Ohio, after which everything became clear. Moreover, I also won in the American version. There, by the time of the victory, he had 48.95% versus 49.37%, but he won by the number of County. There was even a somewhat paranoid story, such as a test: if Obama wins at Hamilton County, then Ogio and all the elections won. The fact is that this district was always republican and only Obama himself won there in 2008. Well, here not only mysticism, this district shifted the balance of Ogio in favor of Obama. He won it - 49.93% against 48.71%. Of course, this site was not key, I would not win there - I would have won otherwise. This is so, for drama.

The very situation when Obama is less naughty than Romny in absolute percentage was explained simply - in California they begin to count later, and she is Obamovskaya. But even after these data, Romny appeared on the air and congratulated Obama. He was suspended, except that when he thanked Paul Ryan, he put it too much, saying that Ryan is the best choice in his life that he, Romny, made. Here, of course, you can begin to engage in remote political science and think how, after 4 years, the Republicans, led by Ryan, will win the democrats, but America is really changing, and after four years it will be another country, not quite the one that the current Ryan as the Republican President could be useful. It is not about geopolitics, but exactly that they are changing, but from the outside do not understand how. That's something, such things can be seen as the softening of the rules of entry. And, or something, they have become calmer at all, it’s just not so noticeable. And as for the main positions of Obama, they can be remembered here and here . By the time of the election, nothing new happened there.

Of course, now the headquarters of Obama celebrates and amuses, this is the most democratic way in the Chicago McCormick - a huge hangar in which a variety of meroptia are held - either the comic book festival, then the NATO summit.

Barack Obama. Photo: Theobamadiary.com

As for quick consequences or analysis, at the Chicago WGN somehow they even immediately remembered how Obama asked Medvedev to transfer to Putin that when he goes for a second term, he would become more flexible. Well, it was in the studio at night, so they talked about everything there. About Russia there were in sincere difficulty, because, on the one hand, Obama obviously would not return her the status of superpower, and who could do it. And on the other hand, it is incomprehensible there in Russia - some nationalism has begun, what is there flexibility to?

The fastest consequence was euro growth. That is, the fall of the dollar. According to Obama traders, the dollar dealer-Braiders will not support the dollar. But this was more likely a market development of the signal, since the jump itself was only from 1.27 to 1.28, moreover, this was not a sharp jump after the declaration of Obama’s victory was not, so - a smooth growth of an hour before the results. And then at this level everything calmed down.

There are also elections in US Senate (33 Seats at Stake). So far, the Democrats have 49%, the Republicans have 44. 51%must be recruited, 5 have not yet been determined. Immediately the US House (435 Seats at Stake) - on the contrary, the democrats receive 140, the Republicans 192, 103 are still missing.