Short -term consequences

Navalny was taken and detained for the fact that he was Navalny. Boris Nemtsov was arrested for another reason: he stood silently and with his whole appearance showed that he was Boris Nemtsov. As for Ilya Yashin, he was not voyable not because he was Navalny or Boris Nemtsov there. Ilya Yashin was grabbed from the crowd, accurately identifying in him Ilya Yashin.

They were also judged in different ways, and now we know how the law acts in relation to certain citizens.

If in court it is proved that the detainee is called Navalny, then they give him 7 days. Nikolai Lyaskin and Nadezhda Mityushkin are equated to Yashin and Nemtsov, and everyone is closed for 10 days. Andrei Semenov, for the fact that he was Andrei Semenov and came to Manezhnaya Square, armed with a car tire , punish more strictly. It is sentenced to 13 days of administrative arrest.

These are the legal results of the swamp process, and all the sentences, starting with those that Judge Nikishin was handed out by citizens accidentally picked up from the crowd, and ending yesterday , you can’t comment on and not evaluate in any way. It is impossible to think about why Sergey Krivov was soldered for 4 years in colonies, and on which scales the Zamoskvoretskaya Themis weighed all these 3 years and 7 months, 2 years and 5 months, etc., which were measured by other political deposits.

We can seriously talk about politics.

Of course, the punitive sentences of the Bolotnaya prisoners were made long before Sochi, and that amnesty and the famous pardon, which Putin unexpectedly announced shortly before the winter games, were a forced concession to world public opinion. The sudden break in reading the verdict Sergei Krivov and others can be just as simply explained. Of course, if they were convicted immediately, it is unlikely that anyone would boycott the closing of the Olympics. However, this is an unpleasant event, the punitive verdict on the eve of the solemn farewell to the Olympic hare, could slightly spoil the joyful atmosphere of the sports festival. Therefore, the indicated Nikishin interrupted her story in the most interesting place .

And then in Ukraine, as they say , a local national leader was said in history, and this served as the main reason for the irreconcilable attitude of the Russian “Berkuts” to peacefully gathered citizens - near the Zamoskvoretsky court and on Manezhnaya . More precisely, riot police were ordered to winger everyone in a row, and the judges - to say Russians, having established their names and surnames during the adversarial process. Without unnecessary conversations, but in accordance with some unknown, but bewitching magic of numbers. 7 days, 10, 13 ...

Without a doubt, the victorious Ukrainian revolution is Putin's largest foreign policy failure since 2004, and it is useful to recall how then Vladimir Vladimirovich reacted to his next geopolitical catastrophe. The jubilant gopot on Seliger at least recall, as a counterweight to any youth movements, capable of going somewhere together, bypassing the trunk paths. However, in comparison with the present, those happy times were characterized by a relative stagnation in the country, and there were enough preventive measures to extinguish any protests.

Since the time of the famous scattering, the situation in the country has changed markedly. Russia's protester stood up (where did I hear this expression?) From the knees. "Ours" disappeared. The National Leader is fraught with. That is why the new Ukrainian miracle is perceived by power in the Kremlin not as a humiliating excess that must be overcome, but as a full -fledged threat. So the methodology of struggle with the new "orange plague" has to be composed literally on the knee. In a feverish hurry.

It was clear that after Sochi Putin would begin to tighten the nuts, but at first slowly, and the Kremlin’s plans were reflected in the relatively soft sentences of the Zamoskvoretsky court, in which no Maidan was provided. Still, the prosecutors demanded five and six, and the judge softened the deadlines to everyone and did not even send Sasha Dukhanin-Numova to the camp. The saw of Ukraine without Yanukovych sowed not only anger in the Kremlin, but also a panic, and these complex feelings are now reflected in both the foreign policy actions of Russia and within the country.

How to act in the international arena, responding to the replacement of power in Kyiv and the rather firm position of the West that supported the Maidan, in Moscow has not yet been decided. Probably, the most brutal scenarios are considered among others. But while Putin is silent and makes his human rights speeches Lavrov, we can assume that the strategy has not yet been developed. While they are shitting on trifles. Mobilizing the journalistic workshop, led by Solovyov and Kiselev, who successfully incites anti -Ukrainian hysteria in the country. Attracting the people's chosen ones who successfully incite separatist sentiments in the Crimea .

In the same chaotic manner, the authorities act at home. It is terrible to do not switch the nut, but also break the thread, provoking mass protests, is also scary. Yanukovych was playing with nuts ... So far, just in case, they plant. Although not for long, but all in a row, giving a special preference to people from the black list. It is clear that just in case, it is necessary to plant.

Are you Navalny? 7 days. Nemtsov? 10. Well, yes, for nothing, for nothing, by lawlessness, but when compared with the Stalinist times, where for nothing, like in a joke, they gave seven years, then the struggle with the enemies of the people has not yet begun. God will give and will not begin, and this state will gradually resolve this state by itself, entangled in its law enforcement practice.