Pre -election Clinton

In recent months, the media are increasingly saying that Hillary Clinton is going to participate in the 2016 presidential race. Although there was no official statement from Clinton yet, it, for its part, regularly makes it clear that such an intention can arise. In 2008, Clinton was nominated as one of the candidates from the Democrats, but then voluntarily abandoned the race in favor of Barack Obama. She later said that she was no longer going to seek a presidential post. At the same time, according to the results of work as a US Secretary of State, she, according to public opinion polls, turned out to be the most popular politician among the Democrats. Also in 2013, the Volunteer Project Ready for Hillyry was opened in support of her potential candidate for the 2016 presidential election.

Thus, at the moment, the statements of Clinton herself, as well as the events, which one or another affecting it, are interpreted precisely from the point of view of its potential participation in the election campaign. So, for example, the recent public statement by Monica Levinsky in the form of exclusive material in Vanity Fair by some commentators was interpreted if not as a planned preparatory step in the Clinton campaign, then at least as an event that increases its chances of the election.

Such a version , in particular, appeared on the pages of a conservative Washington Post. “Monica Levinsky,” writes Ruth Marcus, “probably unintentional, played in favor of Clinton.” It is clear that this is a purely image issue, but such details often affect the sympathies of voters and are often used by opponents for rhetorical and manipulator purposes. "The story with Levinsky has never appeared in 2008; the topic was still too raw and emotionally saturated, and Clinton did not make it a tool in the election campaign, which would be unaesthetic. But now it is clear that this story would not be taboo in 2016, Senator Paul (Republican, Kentuki) already raised whether the democrats as a whole and Hillari Klintona well and Hillari Klinton In particular, to give up rapists like Bill Clinton. "

In this context, a Levinsky replica appeared, which emphasizes two key points: firstly, Bill Clinton, with all its shortcomings, did not use any violence; Secondly, it is time to forget this story. The author believes that taking into account the scale of the audience of this statement made, which is important, even before Clinton officially became a candidate, his main role is that this story now, in principle, cannot be used as a rhetorical weapon against Hillary Clinton.

Clinton's own performances are also used as a material for building preliminary auxiliary structures, which can be relying in discussions about the presidential race in its active phase. Her speech at a conference in Boston (Massachusetts) at the end of April 2014, dedicated to leadership among women, understands the article by Philip Rukker , also in the Washington Post. The direct audience of this performance in the composition of more than 3,000 people was represented mainly by women who are in leading positions or seeking to make a career in the field of management. Clinton’s speech, formally dedicated to the theme of the forum and did not contain any statements about its own management plans, was perceived by many as an indirect evidence of the decision to participate in the election campaign.

The author, analyzing this speech, reveals in it motivation to justify this solution in the eyes of the audience. “ Here is one of the grounds for participating in the campaign in 2016:“ There are too many women trying to build their lives and family in our country not only with a glass ceiling on the way to their goals and capabilities. They feel that the floor under their feet is staggering and even breaking. And this is not just their problem. This is our problem. ” And one more thing: "Our long way to a more perfect unity is a struggle for expanding civil rights and capabilities for an increasing number of people ... promoting these rights, opportunities and tools for participation for women in our country, as well as around the world - this is a great and not yet solved task of XXI in." And here is one more thing: "Let's take the issues of inequality in our society seriously. Now is the right time to do them closely. "

The rocket also notes that this speech is partly the answer to the already emerging statements of opponents-republicans that Clinton, who is 66 years old, is already too old for the presidency (John McCain at the time of the elections in 2008 was 71 years old), and that the obstacle to her participation in the elections may be the birth of a grandson (in 2012, when Mitt Romni participated in the elections, no one I was worried that he had 16 grandchildren at that time). You can also note the purposeful appeal of Clinton to women as an important part of voters. Here we can recall how, in 2012, during the primaries, one of the Republican candidates Rick Santorum, the main opponent of Mitt Romny, lost (in favor of Romny) one of the decisive primaries in Ohio. Then commentators wrote that to a large extent this is due to the discontent of women with his hard rhetoric relative to abortion.

Another topic under discussion in connection with Clinton is her potential opponent from the Republicans represented by Jeba Bush (the brother of the latter at the moment of the Republican President of the United States). In other words, the moment that the leaders of the presidential race with a high degree of probability will become representatives of families who have already been noted at the presidential post. The material of Lincoln Mitchell is devoted to this topic in Huffington Post. Mitchell notes that at the moment the provision of candidates in the relevant party camps is different, but the configuration as a whole is the same. In the case of the Democrats, despite the fact that Clinton has not yet declared her candidacy, there were virtually no equal figures. More precisely, those who could become her competitors, like Senator Elizabeth Warren, have already explicitly refused to participate in the race in her favor. In the case of the Republicans, the variety of authoritative candidates is larger (including Rand Paul and Paul Ryan), but, according to recent surveys, Jeb Bush came out, which puts him in a direct confrontation with Clinton.

At the same time, both are considered experienced and honest (as far as possible in the system of the system) by high -class politicians, and are also familiar with the work of the White House, have good ties by belonging to the families of former presidents and loud names that allow them to quickly raise funds for a costly election campaign. “The growing probability that another Clinton vs. Bush campaign is coming,” writes Mitchell, “reflects the big problems of our democracy. In most other countries, if the spouse (a) of one former president acted as an opponent of the son or brother of another president, then, first of all, the symptoms of structural problems in the country, as well as probable, is probably evidenced by evidence But these elections will not make such an impression on the public, because, well, Hillary Clinton adore many democrats, and Bush can win the love of many Republicans, if they see a person who can become a Clinton’s counterweight.