Translated material
Modi plans
Narendra Modi is swore to the post of Prime Minister of India in India, the new Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who has an extremely contradictory reputation, the leader of the Indian People’s Party-Bharatia Dzhanat Party, is in the oath.
Narendra Modi promises to pursue a policy of expanding contacts with Pakistan. An important symbolic point in this regard was an invitation to the inauguration of Modi Pakistani Prime Minister Navaz Sharic. Islamabad, in turn, said that he was ready to accept Modi if he wants to visit Pakistan. However, according to Michael Kugelman, an expert on South Asia, the American Center for International Studies named after Woodrow Wilson , a peace -loving rhetoric of Delhi can quickly be replaced by a tough policy of Pakistan if new unrest in Kashmir begins:
"I am sure that Modi will not be as restrained as the outgoing Indian government. It can be expected that India will concentrate its troops along the Pakistani border, which, in turn, will provoke Islamabad to response."
Michael Kugelman recalls the relative soft reaction of the Indian government to the attack on Mumbai in 2008, when more than 160 people died. The Indian authorities then accused the Pakistani group "Lashkar-Taiba" of organizing this attack.
For many years, accusations of inability and unwillingness to stop the bloody anti -Muslim pogroms in the state of Gudzharat in 2002, where he was the chief minister, has been heard for many years. Modi himself rejects these accusations. In Gujarat, he enjoyed and enjoys very popular due to economic growth in the state even in those days when the rest of India experienced great difficulties.
Shuja Navaz, the director of the South Asian Center of the Atlantic Council in Washington , believes that economic diplomacy can become a bridgehead for improving Indo-Pakistani relations:
"One of the fastest ways to revive the Indian economy is its integration into the regional economy. Pakistan in this sense is a key player, as it is between India, Afghanistan and Central Asia. India needs Central Asian energy and new markets to stimulate growth."
Michael Kugelman predicts the strengthening of the military, economic and political cooperation of India with Afghanistan during the reign of the Modi government. Delhi invests billions of dollars in Afghanistan, and ensured the training of hundreds of Afghan officers. Kabul asks to increase the supply of military equipment (tanks, combat aircraft), but so far the Indian government has acted very carefully, fearing exacerbation with Pakistan. But such a policy may well change. India has already signed an agreement according to which it will pay Russia for the supply of small arms for the Afghan army. Under the government of Modi, transactions may also be concluded for the supply of more modern types of weapons. Thus, Omar Samad, a senior researcher in Central Asia at the New America Foundation and the former ambassador to France and Canada , the election of Modi is profitable for Afghanistan:
"India will have a new concept of solving regional problems. This means that the main attention will be paid to security issues with the simultaneous development of business and trade. From this point of view, Afghanistan is in a winning position."
US President Barack Obama after the end of the elections in India held a telephone conversation with Modi and invited to visit Washington. However, Modi, it seems, is in no hurry to visit the United States. After the riots in the Gujarat, the United States broke ties with Modi and refused him in the entrance visa in 2005. Modi publicly did not show any resentment about this, saying recently: "Problems with individuals should not and cannot influence international relations." However, many drew attention to the fact that Modi, who thanked a number of world leaders for their support through the Twitter social network, did not respond to US Secretary of State John Kerry.
American-Indian relations are far from ideal. After the US Ambassador to India, Nancy Powell, left its post, the new head of the American diplomatic mission in Delhi has not yet been appointed. Shuja Navaz believes that Delhi does not want rapprochement with Washington:
"India refuses the role of the US partner, their outpost in Asia. She tries to maintain her identity, independence and freedom of action. India wants to play her own role in relations with states located along the Indian Ocean and with the eastern neighbors."
Experts pay attention to the tone of Modi’s response to congratulations from Russian President Vladimir Putin. In his tweeting of May 19, he wrote that "he is looking forward to further strengthening relations with Russia in the coming years." Russia and India have long and quite successfully cooperate in the military-economic sphere. Michael Kugelman is sure that the further deterioration of relations between Delhi and Washington can push India closer to Moscow. The expert predicts the rapprochement of Delhi with Tehran.
Narendra Modi promises to pursue a policy of expanding contacts with Pakistan. An important symbolic point in this regard was an invitation to the inauguration of Modi Pakistani Prime Minister Navaz Sharic. Islamabad, in turn, said that he was ready to accept Modi if he wants to visit Pakistan. However, according to Michael Kugelman, an expert on South Asia, the American Center for International Studies named after Woodrow Wilson , a peace -loving rhetoric of Delhi can quickly be replaced by a tough policy of Pakistan if new unrest in Kashmir begins:
At the Indian Consulate in the Afghan city of Herat, a few days ago was an attack
"I am sure that Modi will not be as restrained as the outgoing Indian government. It can be expected that India will concentrate its troops along the Pakistani border, which, in turn, will provoke Islamabad to response."
Michael Kugelman recalls the relative soft reaction of the Indian government to the attack on Mumbai in 2008, when more than 160 people died. The Indian authorities then accused the Pakistani group "Lashkar-Taiba" of organizing this attack.
"I am sure that Modi will not be as restrained as the outgoing Indian government. It can be expected that India will concentrate its troops along the Pakistani border, which, in turn, will provoke Islamabad to response."
For many years, accusations of inability and unwillingness to stop the bloody anti -Muslim pogroms in the state of Gudzharat in 2002, where he was the chief minister, has been heard for many years. Modi himself rejects these accusations. In Gujarat, he enjoyed and enjoys very popular due to economic growth in the state even in those days when the rest of India experienced great difficulties.
Shuja Navaz, the director of the South Asian Center of the Atlantic Council in Washington , believes that economic diplomacy can become a bridgehead for improving Indo-Pakistani relations:
"One of the fastest ways to revive the Indian economy is its integration into the regional economy. Pakistan in this sense is a key player, as it is between India, Afghanistan and Central Asia. India needs Central Asian energy and new markets to stimulate growth."
Modi supporters at a rally in the state of Gujarat
Michael Kugelman predicts the strengthening of the military, economic and political cooperation of India with Afghanistan during the reign of the Modi government. Delhi invests billions of dollars in Afghanistan, and ensured the training of hundreds of Afghan officers. Kabul asks to increase the supply of military equipment (tanks, combat aircraft), but so far the Indian government has acted very carefully, fearing exacerbation with Pakistan. But such a policy may well change. India has already signed an agreement according to which it will pay Russia for the supply of small arms for the Afghan army. Under the government of Modi, transactions may also be concluded for the supply of more modern types of weapons. Thus, Omar Samad, a senior researcher in Central Asia at the New America Foundation and the former ambassador to France and Canada , the election of Modi is profitable for Afghanistan:
"India will have a new concept of solving regional problems. This means that the main attention will be paid to security issues with the simultaneous development of business and trade. From this point of view, Afghanistan is in a winning position."
US President Barack Obama after the end of the elections in India held a telephone conversation with Modi and invited to visit Washington. However, Modi, it seems, is in no hurry to visit the United States. After the riots in the Gujarat, the United States broke ties with Modi and refused him in the entrance visa in 2005. Modi publicly did not show any resentment about this, saying recently: "Problems with individuals should not and cannot influence international relations." However, many drew attention to the fact that Modi, who thanked a number of world leaders for their support through the Twitter social network, did not respond to US Secretary of State John Kerry.
American-Indian relations are far from ideal. After the US Ambassador to India, Nancy Powell, left its post, the new head of the American diplomatic mission in Delhi has not yet been appointed. Shuja Navaz believes that Delhi does not want rapprochement with Washington:
"India refuses the role of the US partner, their outpost in Asia. She tries to maintain her identity, independence and freedom of action. India wants to play her own role in relations with states located along the Indian Ocean and with the eastern neighbors."
Experts pay attention to the tone of Modi’s response to congratulations from Russian President Vladimir Putin. In his tweeting of May 19, he wrote that "he is looking forward to further strengthening relations with Russia in the coming years." Russia and India have long and quite successfully cooperate in the military-economic sphere. Michael Kugelman is sure that the further deterioration of relations between Delhi and Washington can push India closer to Moscow. The expert predicts the rapprochement of Delhi with Tehran.