Andrey Levkin: Poroshenko, his program

On the weekend was the inauguration of Petro Poroshenko, the fifth president of Ukraine. The peculiarity of the moment is that he immediately had to make a very specific program. That is, he really introduced her. It is clear that the main point is what to do with the east of the country.

The entire speech of Poroshenko is here . It is long, which is logical because there are enough problems. The “League” format it on 10 basic theses for simplicity of perception. This is here . Yes, of course, there is no particular economy there, since according to the current version of the Constitution, this is simply not the sphere of president’s responsibility. And the main theses are:

About a peaceful plan for Donbass.
About terrorists and the role of Yanukovych.
About dry gunpowder and re -equipment of the army.
About Crimea and meeting with Putin.
On federalization and decentralization.
About the elections of the Rada and the balance of power.
About the association with the EU and the visa -free regime.
On the fight against corruption.
About the language.
About work on errors and unity of power.

The basic problem is now Donbass, so further - about the relevant points.

"On a peaceful plan for Donbass"

Poroshenko does not want war and he has a plan. Yes, here Poroshenko switched to Russian: “Our dear brothers and sisters, fellow citizens. Many of you have already managed to feel the charms of the reign of terrorists. They, in addition to looting and mockery of civilians, brought the region’s crisis to the brink of a complete disaster. But we will not leave you in trouble ... whatever I have in trouble ... As the president, I will come to you in the very near future, with the project of decentralization of the authorities, with a guarantee of the free use of the Russian language in your region, with the firm intention of not dividing Ukrainians in the right and wrong, with a respectful attitude to the specifics of the regions, to the right of local communities on their nuances in matters of historical memory, the pantheon of heroes, religious traditions. "

Poroshenko called who exactly was behind the DPR and the LPR: "... the Yanukovych clan betrayed the Donbass and robbed him to a greater extent than the country. In the Donetsk region, he ruled by 17 years. And now he is finances of terrorists. And it is he who brings full responsibility for the political, socio-economic situation in which the region was today."

Accordingly, the plan. "I urgently urge everyone who illegally picked up the weapon, put it up. In response, I guarantee it, I guarantee
Firstly, the exemption from criminal liability of those on whose hands there are no blood of Ukrainian warriors and civilians, and those who are not involved in the financing of terrorism.
Secondly, a controlled corridor for Russian mercenaries who will want to return home.
Thirdly, peaceful dialogue. It is clear that not with arrows, Abwehers, demons and other evil spirits. We are talking about dialogue with civilians. Even with those who adhere to other views on the future of the country. "

If specifically, he is ready to announce the early elections of local authorities in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions: "Today we need a legitimate dialog partner. We will not speak with bandits. We are ready to announce the early local elections in the Donbass to form partners in dialogue."

Well, here is a nuance: he wants to hold an election so that a partner will appear. But the partner is already needed in order to hold the elections. Who could it be? That, in fact, the main Point of the whole story for today.

The second nuance is that Poroshenko is unlikely to come to the Donetsk region in the next two weeks. At least this is an assessment of the governor of the Donetsk region of Taruta: "In order for Poroshenko to come, it is necessary to guarantee him security. So far, it is difficult to do this. It is necessary to first close the border." Taruta knows that he says - he himself was forced to leave Donetsk and is now in Kyiv. The governor of the region in exile, in fact. So he is not a partner here and even hardly an intermediary.

"On federalization and decentralization"

Quote: “No usurpation of power. European democracy is the best way of state rule invented by humanity for me. It is European experience that tells us that a significant part of the authority should now be delegated from the center to local authorities. The reform on decentralization will begin by changes to the Constitution. New powers will receive newly elected local councils. But Ukraine has been and will be a unitary state. Breds about the federation of the federation about the federation of the federation. It has no soil in Ukraine. "

The main point is exactly what exactly will be proposed for the model. Of course, the key role of the East in this story is obvious. But then here relations with Russia - this is precisely Russia for almost six months insisting on changing the Constitution of Ukraine so that federalism is spelled out there. Despite the fact that relations with Russia are now the least theoretical, and the clause on federalization is, as it were, even ultimatum.

Russia and the East of Ukraine

On this occasion, it is more significant not inaugural speech, but an event in Normandy, where the consensus did not take place in the version of Poroshenko-Putin, but the type with the general efforts of the gathered. As a result, Poroshenko stated that with Putin “we have reached an agreement on three things: a Russian representative will come to Ukraine, with whom we will discuss the first steps on the peaceful settlement of the situation and the plan, which provides for a number of steps from Russia and Ukraine. In addition, we expect the decision of the Council of the Russian Federation on the use of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine. And we plan joint actions to close borders on sites where there is an armed conflict and the constant crossing of Ukrainian borders by saboteurs. "

According to Poroshenko, “the mood during the meeting was tense,” but a good signal is the beginning of negotiations. “We are waiting in the near future a statement on the recognition of elections from the Russian Federation ... We will look at the beginning of negotiations on Sunday.” According to Poroshenko, the parties have decided not to disclose other details. However, there was no confirmation from the Russian side and there were no three steps on the Russian side, except for one.

Namely, on Saturday, the 7th Putin instructed the FSB of Russia border service "to take all the necessary measures to strengthen the state border protection regime with Ukraine in order to exclude illegal crossings." This is a very subtle moment: earlier Putin claimed that Russia does not have any relation to this (well, to the fact that in Donetsk and Lugansk regions). But in Normandy it was different. According to the Foreign Minister Fabius, he and President Hollande insisted that the cessation of hostilities in Ukraine should be a priority purpose. "In turn, Putin admitted that it may have some influence on pro -Russian separatists, although he emphasized that it is limited." In addition, Putin said that "was against holding a referendum on the independence of the Lugansk and Donetsk regions from Kyiv, but such a plebiscite took place."

Well, yes, I really asked to postpone it. And when the referendums passed, their results were not promoted, as in the Crimea. So now the whole question is how great Putin’s influence on the FSB regarding the closure closure is. So far, Ukrainian media reported that "Saturday morning, a column of 10 armored personnel carriers, 10 KamAZs, that also a fuel refuel with a gun on the trailer, approached the Ukrainian border from Taganrog." However, the further fate of the column is not reported. Maybe they didn’t let it go.

Another nuance. The Ambassador of the Russian Federation to Ukraine Zurabov named the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko to resolve the situation in the east of the country with a declaration of intentions, but, according to the ambassador, it "sounds encouraging." According to him, it also becomes encouraging that Poroshenko turned to the inhabitants of Lugansk and Donetsk in Russian in his inauguration speech. "This is actually a recognition that he sees the peculiarity of the perception of what is happening, sees the peculiarity of the dialogue with the southeast of Ukraine and sees that there is some kind of own agenda that should still be formed on the eve of his visit to Donetsk."

Here, of course, the tendency to act exclusively with evaluative judgments for Russian diplomacy in recent years. But, nevertheless, this does Zurabov, who is more or less in the topic. And, say, the deputy minister of foreign affairs of Ryabkov, who was discussing that week on the actions of the "government of Poroshenko" - despite the fact that Poroshenko had not yet entered the post, and the government has not been subordinated to him.

Well, Zurabov spoke for a reason: it turned out that it was he returned to Ukraine. And on February 23, he was called to Moscow "in connection with the aggravation of the situation in Ukraine and the need for a comprehensive analysis of the current situation" on February 23. V. Matvienko presented his return with such pathos: "The fact that we returned Zurabov, we emphasized our readiness to restore our diplomatic relations in full format. This is a good will of Russia, it is a positive message and a positive signal. I think there should be an appropriate adequate reaction."

Is it that he is the same "Russian representative", about which Poroshenko spoke of.