
Whom the President of the Russian Federation is more afraid of - Yegor Kholmogorov or Barack Obama? Of course, a politically competent answer to this question is unequivocal: Putin is not afraid of anyone, Putin will give all one left, but we are not at a rally. We live in the era of the Cold War, which began after the annexation of Crimea, the situation is completely unpredictable, so I want clarity. And this is an important question: whom he is more afraid of - local scumbags or nuclear superpower.
The answer is not obvious.
Well, yes, the specific Kholmogorov is not afraid of anyone. Although he, with growing fury, now, day after day, requires the commissioning of Russian troops into the Donbass and further everywhere, stigmatizes Putin for betrayal, and the former nursery from the Kremlin’s service staff reveals the "Russophobic capitulant mud." These are all the costs of freedom of speech, prescribed, by the way, in the Constitution. However, there are collective Kholmogorov - Vox Populi, roughly speaking, and one cannot but reckon with it.
Here, difficulties begin, familiar to any more or less successful land collector. You can’t, you know, to attach Austria and suddenly forget about compatriots in the Sudes, exhausting under the oppression of the Prague junta. And if the chain reaction of land collection is launched, and the propaganda ships celebrate the liberation of Crimea for months, and the unthinkable majority of citizens play for the Russian world and Russian spring, then how to retreat in the Donbass?
Gathering Kholmogorov is no longer sofa troops. These troops are quite regular. Well -armed, exhausted in Russia from patriotism, hatred and idleness, and abroad to find the meaning of life in the murders and the enemy in the person of Poroshenko, Yatsenyuk and Bandera. They kill, die, call for help, and Igor Ivanovich Strelkov, the epic hero, already promises Putin the fate of Milosevich, if the president does not change his mind and does not come to reinforcements. But reinforcements have not yet been sent , and the fighters in bewilderment. The fighters who believed Putin so much, maybe they did not believe themselves, are upset by his inaction and reflect on the causes, and this is a heavy sight in itself: to observe how they think. Even for the time being on social networks.
And then the time comes to make a decision, and some Colonel Kvachkov goes on a large road of the National Liberation War against the “occupation foreign power”. At that time, the syndrome of the stolen victory rhymed with Chechnya, that is, returning from the Caucasus, individual commandos leaned to the idea of restraining order in Moscow. Today, the Kvachkov army is fighting in Ukraine, encouraged by various kinds of theorists of the trench warfare, from Kholmogorov to Rogozin, and their return home may not be accompanied by such effects as in Slavyansk. And a miserable babble of justification, such as a "stump", is now no longer rushing.
On the other hand, the Americans and the EU tighten the tone in discussions with the Kremlin, threatening already sectoral sanctions, and these are clearly not empty words. The upcoming blows on energy, defense and banks, which Ms. Nuland presented yesterday, can transfer Russia to the stage of full shag. There, where Putin and Kim Jong -un are brothers forever. Moreover, the West does not suit the current state of affairs when the Kremlin, according to the collective Kholmogorov, “merges the Donbass,” supporting the separatists only by weapons, partly with manpower and mighty agitprop means. Collective Obama insists that the Kremlin closes holes on the border with Ukraine, as well as those stores where militants buy tanks, grenade launchers, machine guns and ammunition.
In a tough manner, a dialogue with Moscow and in Kiev are conducted, and it is not only about Wikipedia , who enriched the new articles yesterday. Poroshenko announces the cessation of cooperation with the Russian Federation in the field of the military -industrial complex, Ukrainians are not lended to gas blackmail, all the stubbornly rumors about the breakdown of diplomatic relations with the Russian Federation, and Kiev is hardly bleating. There is an established point of view that if Russia moves the troops, the West will surrender Ukraine - that is, it will impose sanctions, but will not translate the conflict into a hot stage. Well, how will it not pass? A apocalyptic task with many unknowns looms, and this is a little trouble when we do not know the answer: you know less - you sleep stronger. The real trouble is for Putin, if today he does not know who he needs to be more afraid of - strangers or his own. Those who have nuclear weapons and sanctions from the abdomen by a fan, or these, which pester, grab the sleeve, itch over the ear and order to bomb Kyiv.
But you can’t please everyone.
At the same time, Obama is a well -mannered person, and with him, if you honestly evacuate troops from Ukraine, it is quite possible to agree on a future reboot. More precisely, about the gradual end of the Cold War. With those whom he called into battle, nothing can be agreed, they can only be awarded and inspired for future battles, campaigns and victories. The saddened Obama is terrible, but these are even worse, and, most importantly, the Americans will not introduce troops to Moscow to save Vladimir Vladimirovich from the Novorosov with under -barrel grenade launchers. So, literally before our eyes, the space of choice is narrowing, and only one thing remains: he is sluggishly feeding the militants and inform the West that Russia is not a side of the conflict. But this is not a way out, since in the end it falls under cross -fire from all sides - from the west, and from the southeast, and from that sofa from which his inconsolable and adamant Kholmogorov fired.