Andrey Levkin: Potent blows to nowhere

Andrey Levkin Scheme: Liga.net

The most domestic explanation of what is happening in the Donbass is the version of the private war of Yanukovych. Well, you can calculate why he would like this, from here the chain of relationships will stretch up to the supply of tanks from Russia and all that. But in the current situation, this, quite a consensus version does not work.

For example, there is not enough external voice acting: so that someone finally declared what is meant. Well, yes, the same Yanukovych is still a politician, in his environment, also citizens who do not experience traction for publicity. Well, maybe it may be: no statements, funds are invested (there are many of them), technology is purchased, mercenaries are recruited, etc. But it’s not even clear how and from whom they can buy equipment: what do private individuals with foreign citizenship are already selling it in the Russian Federation? Or is Yanukovych still interpreted as a legitimate president of Ukraine? Or all this is not at all like that it would be logical, because why is this private Yanukovych to such an extent need Russia? And if without it, then why Russia is this situation, especially - so long? Well, they tried it, it didn’t work right away - they bounced it. No, everything continues.

In general, this week it already seemed that history was slowly coming to naught. Well, if the eldest of the younger Yanukovychi, Alexander, answers in an interview (" Very, very strange war"):
“- By the way, and the Crimea, he is: ours-vash, Russian-Ukrainian?
- Ukraine should be one, and I have no other opinion.
- That is, the Crimea is Ukrainian?
- He, like the Donbass, is Ukrainian .
That some revision of values ​​is clearly evident. But - judging by the weekend - no, nothing is not going. So clarity was not added, but vice versa. And how to understand what will happen next, when it is not clear what exactly and why is it at all? Well, not because of the "DPR" and "LPR", in fact. But at the same time, the ATO already clearly got the inhabitants of the region, so they may well fight from the separatists themselves. And not at all as victims of the Stockholm syndrome, but because they have long got out on the other hand.

All actual activity is put into this picture.

You can apply news messages to the points on the diagram. Of course, they will not give any idea of ​​reality. For example, what exactly is happening in the territories that are shaded by red, and what is in the territories that are already outside the zone of the influence of separatists?

And as for the news, then on the weekend they were familiar. For example, “ the border with Lugansk region from the Russian Federation crossed the columns of heavy equipment under Russian flags. The first column crossed the border at about 4:00, the second - at about 11:00.” No one plays conspiracy, tanks are under Russian flags, there is a technique of the latest modification among them, including the T -90. Izvarino, part - to Lugansk, ”said the Lugansk activist Dmitry Snegirev. Later, video clearance of tanks under Russian flags in Lugansk appeared on the Web .” In fact, in the quoted note and two videos from Facebook ATO. Yes, apparently, Lugansk is probably right now.

It is curious that the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine has already become calmer - in the sense, they do not talk about the invasion. The speaker of the department B. Senik somehow even melancholy said that he did not consider crossing the border with Ukraine by Russian tanks by invasion of its territory. And he added that the technique that broke through to Ukraine is " another confirmation that terrorists act with technical support from the Russian Federation ."

But even here it is difficult to understand that three tanks are changing in the city, which they bought and poured them and what they mean. Yes, in fact, the only option is Yanukovych stupidly whispering. Why in such an absurd form? Yes, because it is Yanukovych.

At the same time, it turned out that Ukraine also leads aggression against Russia. In Brazil, Putin (on football) met Merkel and - according to Peskov - expressed " extreme concern of offensive actions by the Ukrainian Armed Forces ." Explanation: " The President of the Russian Federation emphasized the unacceptability of" cases when the result of these actions is the entry of shells into the territory of Russia, which in turn led to a tragic case in the Rostov region. "Putin emphasized the need to stop such a practice," Peskov added.

The Foreign Ministry of Ukraine, of course, denied. And, most likely was right. Because, firstly, Russia is also to fire Russia now and, secondly, here is the very case that Putin was referring to: “ In Donetsk (RF, Rostov Region, Donetsk there ) In the morning of July 13, a local resident died in the courtyard of a frequent house on the Baltic street. According to the media, several shells fell into the city. One of them fell into a garden, two more - in private - in private - in private. The houses that are located nearby are not significant destruction, glass was knocked out in the injured buildings.
A local resident received mortal injuries as a result of a mines in the courtyard of a private house . "

Well, “ according to media reports ,” the news agency reports. And also incomprehensible: shell, mine? And how far are the mines at all, where do they need to be stuck from, so that they flee the state border and be able to get into the garden and the house? But this is not important, in any case-for the vice-speaker of the Council of People's Commissars of Bushmin (from the Rostov region), who said that " the most effective way to stop the shelling from Ukraine is the response of the high-precision weapons ."

Well, yes, he did not find out anything about this, but he knows: " The only way is to deal with this, like civilized countries, the USA, the European Union. It is necessary to use spot weapons, including as Israel to destroy those who launched this landmine ." Well, he also explained that " the Israeli authorities, in the case of such shelling of their territory, calculate where the rocket is launched from, and pointarily destroy the launching installation ."

In general, he even made a call of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation here: if they don’t know how to do that, the jamb and the Russian Federation are not even a civilized country. Well, yes, at least not the entry of troops proposed. But this, a very abstract opinion, turned out to be in demand, Kommersant : “ The source of the newspaper close to the Kremlin, said that Moscow’s patience was not endlessly, while he emphasized that“ it is not about any large-scale action, but exclusively about the targeted single strikes from the positions from where the Russian territory is conducted on the Russian territory . ”

Already a source close to the Kremlin, yes. Well, maybe it works in Gum. Of course, it is also interesting that Mina flew exactly before the meeting of Putin and Merkel in Brazil. Providing him with an argument and, it seems, is the only one.

Mina, it seems, Merkel was not too impressed, "she was unlikely to share the extreme concern from the Ukrainian Armed Forces . Once again, Putin called her influence on terrorists in Ukraine to stop the conflict. There are no other details, only D. Peskov said that " the leaders of the countries agreed that the situation in the Donbass is sharply deteriorating and recognized the need to intensify peaceful processes ." Including that it is necessary to urgently resume the work of the contact group in Ukraine " is possible, in a video conference format ." Well, it remains to persuade the sepertists and ensure their sanity.

But it’s serious all this: Brazil, a meeting before the World Cup final, Merkel plays their own there, and she communicates before that with Putin about Ukraine. Moreover, the requirements of Merkel are predictable, and Putin also goes to the meeting (he is actually adopted in Brazil), in fact already recognizing the presence of his influence on terrorists in advance. Moreover, along the way, he does not say a word either about the suffering compatriots, nor about the folk choice ("DPR", "LPR"), or even about the legitimacy of Yanukovych, but only that Ukraine itself began offensive actions towards the Rostov region. Well, how? In general, already purely human interest: did Merkel be interested in him - why is Russia all in general? Well, the press was absent, but Peskov will not tell.

Against this background, Ukrainians even look some kind of reassured . "5 Channel", citing the National Security and Defense Council, reports that Russian troops entered three kilometers deep into the Ukrainian territory in the Lugansk region. "Channel 5" is actually Poroshenkovsky, so there is verification here. And what? No one talks about the invasion that has begun, only so: " The National Security and Defense Council suspect that the Russians thus tried to create a corridor in order to carry out equipment and mercenaries to the territory of Ukraine ."

Well, in life it is not clear here: why? What will change some technique and a certain number of mercenaries? Well, yes, this is already a question for those who send all this, that remains a mystery. And the mercenary has a contract, something to him.

As for specific, such as field news, here they are :
" The forces of the ATO freed a number of villages from the militants on the outskirts of Lugansk and are preparing for the decisive assault on the city.
For July 13, the villages of Beloye, Aleksandrovsk, Sutogan and luxurious were liberated from the militants. The leadership of the LPR terrorists admits that it has completely lost the strategic initiative in Lugansk and Lisichansk.
Some militants are trying to flee from the region to the territory of Russia through the Molodogvardeisk. Eyewitnesses also recorded the movement of military equipment of militants to leave Lugansk towards Krasnodon.
We will remind, earlier eyewitnesses reported that in Lugansk, Lviv paratroopers, based at the Lugansk International Airport, broke through the blockade and went on a counterattack for terrorists . "

But even there, nothing is clear (this is already for the future). Well, they will clean up, and what will it end? "DPR" and "LPR", separatism and everything else. In general, even the theme of decentralization, which was exhibited as a new general regulator for Ukraine, was somewhere. Moreover, the very topic of the separate status of the regions remained, especially after the ATO. And it is completely incomprehensible how the Lugansk and Donetsk regions are now treated in Kyiv. In general, there are already doubts that there are good and the topic of decentralization, and, in fact, Poroshenko does not mention it in recent days.

See also:the Ukrainian media predicted the Russian invasion of July 15,the SK announced the intentional shelling of the Rostov Donetsk , the militia announced the 30 killed in battles near LuganskPutin and Merkel about the need to resume the monitoring effectiveness in Ukraine Maria Blokhina Point blows on the unknown provocateur Kiev announced the insolubleness for the shelling of the Russian Donetsk