
If President Putin does not change his approach to Ukraine, then Europe and America should fundamentally change their attitude towards Russia. If the Russian Federation is the main culprit of the death of a passenger liner, then it will be cut off from the West. If Moscow does not take steps on de -escalating the situation in Ukraine, then strict sanctions await it. So say Cameron, Fallon, Obama, Hollande, Merkel, Kerry.
If.
Let us pay tribute to the Western leaders: they hold to the last. The reserves of patience are exhausted, there is no particular reason to hope that Putin will change his approach and take some steps there, but the rhetoric does not change. Requests, persuasion, at first mild threats. This is a tradition, consecrated at least for decades of life in a single-polar world: it is indefinitely tangled, restraining yourself with all his might, with some Miloshevich. And here it is not Miloshevich and not Saddam, but a nuclear power that can destroy all living things on earth. Starting from itself.
In addition, no matter how wild it sounds now, they are sorry to lose Russia. So much strength was spent on her, so many money and hopes have been invested. In the end, under Andropov, when Soviet patients covered by Paranoia shot down the South Korean Boeing, the situation was even darker than now. And then the Empire of Evil, having stumbled over the ground, suddenly turned into a kind giant on clay legs and spoke to human language: publicity, democratization, restructuring ...
Then the iron curtain collapsed at all, and the process of integration of yesterday’s enemy into all kinds of international organizations such as PACE began, and the business rushed to gold -bearing Moscow, and the Seven became an “eight”, and even the WTO was replenished with a new member. It is sad to think that we must return to the past.
Actually, on these dreary thoughts and own blackmail technologies and the Kremlin’s foreign policy is based.
No, we will not be afraid of sanctions and behave like people, exchanging our conspiracy to rejection of your sanctions. Everything is exactly the opposite, gentlemen. You are the Magnitsky law for us, and we will not let us in America to annoy both you and orphans. You support the opposition who are for honest elections, and we transplant them. You are against the annexation of Crimea, and we will also go to the east of Ukraine. You insist that we remove the separatists from Donbass, and in response to the sanctions, maybe we will introduce troops to Kyiv. It is impossible to relate to Russia, as a guilty schoolgirl, Peskov once spoke out , and this dumbbly schoolgirl has already terrified the entire class.
Putin has a different problem. The winner in Chechnya, Georgia and the Crimea, a politician with an offset rating in Russia, a person who still got away with his hands, including Rowan sugar and a rokyrovka in tandem - he seemed to believe his own exclusivity and invulnerability. He began to build his besieged fortress, which no one wants to besiege, he began almost from the first months of his stay at the presidential post, and today the process is nearing completion. Like, you wish, gentlemen, the Western partners, to confirm my cherished thought that Russia is in the ring of enemies - go ahead, confirm! Just keep in mind that Russia, lined with sectoral sanctions, driven into a corner, will become even more dangerous than now. Exacerbating the situation to the limit, he believes that he will psychologically outplay his opponents, demonstrating the very gap from the reality, which Frau Chancelline spoke about in the spring.
He is a pragmatist, and he is a madman, accustomed to victories, - this mixture determines his political style. Therefore, even today, after the terrorists in the Donbass ranked the Malaysian Boeing to their trophies, he is still ready to support them. Putting all the blame for Ukraine and the West, who supposedly do not want to negotiate with the separatists. He knows that he is lying, and knows that Western leaders know about it, but the game is the more exciting. One against all! He has not yet made such bets, and then the unexpected human trait - excitement - is visible behind the external coldness and inhumanity of the national leader. Say, we have nothing to do with it, Poroshenko knocked down the plane, and at least Girkin, it still does not obey us, but even if we - we have nuclear missiles.
Probably, the excitement will destroy it.
The fact is that the real West, with all its difference from the mythical "Russian world", fully correspond to one well -known proverb - about the people who harnesses for a long time, but quickly travels. This is a purely Western political tradition, and here we can recall not only Milosevich or there is Gaddafi. The story recalls that the West, not wanting to fight, is ready to talk with some charismatic leader of the nation for years, and give in to him, and return from Munich with the obscene world, but if he is hardly baked, then Mr. on the goats takes the whip in his hands - and it will not stop him anymore.
In the era of ordinary world wars, this ends with the bombing of Germany. In the era of the nuclear, it will hardly come to the war, although everything can be, but the task of isolation and neutralization of our lucky and lucky man is apparently already set, and these days he is given the last chance. “The moment of truth has come for Putin,” as John Kerry put it.
The death of 300 passengers of the airliner and, most importantly, the reaction of Moscow and its bandits, all these “stale corpses” and well -auditable mocking notes in discussions with the West, and the apparent willingness to maintain a civil war in Europe is a trait, behind which persuasions are replaced by punishment. In essence, he has already achieved his goal, our benefactor and collector of the lands of Novoros, frightened humanity to death, but it is too large and too well armed with a variety of technologies for coercion to the world, in order to continue to risk life and peace on Earth. Yesterday Putin was warned very clearly, and it would be better to listen to these words.