Error tragedy

In the era of social networks and flash mobs, even the relative completeness of information about a particular event rarely becomes an obstacle to the speculation, and when this information is in short supply, the speculation occupies the entire field of discourse. Our discussions about what happened to the collapsed Malaysian Boeing, very quickly acquired the features of the cabinet philosophy with the demarcation of numerous trends and schools; Some of them are incompatible with each other from the very beginning, others since the fork in the reasoning. One small fact is able to overturn the most slender theory, but with facts we are bad and, apparently, will not be much better.

Correspondents accompanying the brigades that are sent to the place of investigation report on such a scale of distortion of the base of material evidence, which can make the establishment of the final truth impossible. Not only that all the remains of the dead are collected in advance as it hit and loaded into refrigerated wagons; The list of obtained remains, according to the Dutch side, does not coincide with the one that the separatists presented - it is likely that the part still remains in the field. This is predictable, but much worse, the wreckage of the aircraft moved and clearly sawed, greatly complicating the investigation of the circumstances of the disaster, although now many note traces of shrapnel on the fuselage, coinciding with the theory of the explosion of the rocket.

“Bee” or not “Buk” - until recently, it was one of the main questions, which now, apparently, has every reason to answer in the affirmative. US Secretary of State Kerry claims that in favor of Russia's involvement in the disaster there is a lot of evidence, although representatives of reconnaissance circles prefer more streamlined formulations,indicating that Moscow is guilty of creating conditions that led to the incident. And the problem is not only in the hypothetical elimination of the main material evidence, but also in witnesses and possible accused. The New York Times , which watched the sending of wagons with the bodies of victims to Kharkov, also became an eyewitness to evacuate a huge column of separatists with armored vehicles - again towards Russia. If you translate all this into the simple language of Sherlock Holmes, imagine that the alleged criminal (and he was undoubtedly here) had an unhindered and unlimited access to the place of already committed crime for a long time and to all alleged witnesses, while all this time such access was closed.

Involuntarily, a remark attributed to Talleyrand (or Fouche) comes to mind, about the abduction and execution of the Duke of Engien: “It was worse than a crime: it was a mistake.”

Whoever is guilty of what happened, one fact is obvious to supporters of all versions, except for the most crazy (who, however, have enough supporters): the passenger airliner was not intentionally shot down, but by mistake, only the armed forces of Ukraine could be accused here, and they did not have access to the place of fall, and they had the least possibilities. Here, inevitably, a remark attributed to Taleran (or Fouche) comes to the mind, about the abduction and execution of the Duke of Engien: “It was worse than a crime: it was a mistake.” Which, of course, does not cancel the fact of the crime, just for Talleyrand strategic competence was more important than moral and law. We remember about Talleyrand to this day as a model of professionalism, and neither Vitaly Churkin, who has become a laughing stock for the UN and the whole world, nor its supreme puppeteer are suitable for this role. There are situations and units to which it is extremely dangerous to let amateurs - primarily for the lovers themselves.

In this regard, the notorious “Buk” acquires the status of a symbol. Its control panel, the photo of which the Internet flew around, is most reminiscent of just the bridge of a modern aircraft with an abundance of sensors and indicators, buttons and levers; There is no doubt that training in the use of such an unit is a difficult matter. Although errors are always possible (Iranian passenger airliner, shot down by an American cruiser in 1988), is obvious, it is obvious that the gentlemen of good luck, in whose disposal this deadly curiosity was the extremely economical training course, compared with the one that the terrorists who brought down the World Trade Center in 2001 in 2001 in 2001 in 2001 New York.

The electorate in Russia almost blinded his eyes by St. George ribbons.

If you distract from the mournful performers and rise to the highest level of decision -making, it becomes painfully obviously that amateurism dominates there. In recent years, from the western side, Vladimir Putin has been poured a lot of compliments - they say, this is what a wonderful combinator he is: both Obama circled around his finger in Syria, and Crimea squeezed with minimal consequences. Fans of this talent forget that he took place directly at work, trying to manage the unit immeasurably more complicated than the “beech”, in the highest state elective position, having no practice, which member of the city Duma of the gang town may boast. And this path was predictably dotted with corpses even before sunflower fields near Donetsk: here are the Ruins of the Terrible, and the Kursk crew, and the audience in the theater on Dubrovka, and the children of Beslan, and many others that you can’t list the clips. Now that the mistake has come out with a huge international resonance, the myth of the great combinator begins to disperse. Alas, there are no guarantees that it was the last.

An amateur from a professional is distinguished by the fact that in the case of the first we always deal with a side of his classes. It seems to be a thought imposed in his teeth, but for Putin and his entourage in the foreground there was always a supervision of a notorious pipe: that is why he should not replace himself for a while by an autopilot named Dmitry Medvedev. And only when the wallet pleasantly pulled off his pocket, the time came for the “beech”, that is, sorry, for the state feed.

There is no dispute, during his stay at the board, the grandmaster learned to solve a two -way, as evidenced by the same Syria, but these are still not entire parties, and now for commentators it has become a common place, which, they say, he is dexterous, but there is no strategist. Hence the predictions that he did not have long to breathe air with snow peaks. The trouble is that usually such replacements during the flight are made either at the insistence of the electorate, or by the efforts of influential collapses of capital - the first in Russia almost blinded his eyes with St. George ribbons, the second eats from the Kremlin’s hand and if they rebelled, then in a whisper and kneeling, the fate of Khodorkovsky does not seduce anyone. There remains a small bunch of the same lovers entering the bedchamber, and their actions and intentions are opaque for us - go guess which button the amateur will click in the cab. The chances of the third triumph after Sochi and Crimea are extremely small, and the mistakes at this level sometimes give a chain reaction, and it is difficult to forget about it in the anniversary year of the Sarajev shots.