"Russia is thrown out of" seven "," twenty ", the world bank, the EBRD, the world trade in weapons, aircraft. Automobile and aircraft industry - destroyed. The construction of missile engines and missiles for the removal of satellites to orbit . There were: gas, oil, Titan. The Banking System of Russia will cease to exist in general. The world borrowed market is ahead of the Russian securities market, the closure and ruin of many enterprises, unemployment, ”the investment consultant, former expert of the Russian Ministry of Economy , Matvey Malyi, warns in his blog . He recommends that readers save his savings as soon as possible.
Molya told Radio Liberty about how sanctions will affect the well -being and spiritual health of Russians.
- Everyone talks about how sanctions will affect Putin’s officials, state corporations, but few people think about what will happen to the budget of a simple Russian layman, not involved in politics. What is your forecast?
-Firstly, any Russian layman is completely involved in politics. As a citizen of his country, he is obliged to control his power and be responsible for his choice. Therefore, only foreigners are not involved in this situation in Russia. Second: I think that both the sanctions and the boy’s reaction will lead to the emergence of a large -scale economic crisis in Russia. And this is very good.
- Do you consider sanctions justified and fair?
- I believe that initially the sanctions were very weak, and from this point of view is dissatisfied. But the last sanctions are already serious, and they will work. To dress quilted jackets in quilted jackets is a noble goal.
-John McCain said that European sanctions cannot be truly serious, since Europe depends on the supply of Russian gas and oil.
- He is right, of course. Europe objectively depends on the supply of Russian gas and oil, but Europe also depends, and very much, on the civilized behavior of Russia. So: Europe is less dependent on gas and oil supplies than on the civilized behavior of Russia. And we must take a chance of gas and oil supplies in order to force Russia to become a civilized country once and for all - or China's raw materials appendage. Soon Russia will have to choose whether it is in Europe or in Asia. Does Europe end in Sakhalin or is Asia bordering Ukraine? We will find out soon.
- What exactly threatens the Russian layman? You predict a sharp drop in real estate prices in Russia ...
Both sanctions and the Russian reaction will lead to the emergence of a large -scale economic crisis in Russia. And it's very good
- The Russian layman is not threatened at first of all. The Russian layman is threatened by the fact that he is incorrectly explained from the TV screens why he lives. A person lives on Earth to improve his life and the life of others. Therefore, human civilization is distinguished by progress, both technological and moral. Look at the crocodile: a crocodile and three hundred million years ago was completely the same, it did not change. If on TV you are taught to be an aggressive crocodile, and not a person, then this threatens your life much more than a drop in real estate prices. Crocodiles have no real estate at all.
The question of real estate arises only when we are dealing with a person who has his own rights. The question of real estate is secondary, but important. And people will see that their real estate prices fell, that the war brutally robbed them, stole their savings and hopes. Citizens of Russia, a baker and an engineer, a lawyer and a pensioner, should know who pays for a banquet when the columns of Russian military equipment cross the border of Ukraine.
- Skeptics say that such panic forecasts will only play on the hands of realtors who play a decrease. What will you answer them?
- It is not entirely clear what you mean by the words "play a decrease." If a realtor thinks that the price of real estate in Russia will soon fall dramatically, he is right and does not play anything, he simply objectively assesses the situation, based on many obvious facts. If you threw the ball, play a decrease, as the ball will certainly fall. He is opposed to a person who is zeideologized and forms his opinion on the basis of the total lies, which he hears on TV. That is, this is a person who generally lost the ability to think.
- People who have not lost the ability to think are reflected, if not about emigration, then a residence permit in the European Union. For example, there is a Latvian version that makes it possible to get it by buying real estate in this country. Is this a reasonable solution, in your opinion, to sell real estate in Russia and purchase in Latvia?
- Of course, this is the right decision. I can also immediately say that it is possible to obtain citizenship of the islands of St. Kits and Nevis and live calmly in Europe, anywhere. It costs about 200 thousand dollars.
- And what to do to a person who does not have 200 thousand dollars who is tied to Russia cannot leave? There are, most of them. I ask not an idealistic answer, but an economic one.
People will see that their real estate prices have fallen, that the war brutally robbed them, stole their savings and hopes
- First of all, to sell real estate and become a tenant. This greatly reduces economic risks. Real estate in Russia is very overestimated compared to rental. Especially considering what will happen next year and in a year. This is the most correct solution. In no case do not buy real estate, but try to sell it. The second is to transfer yourself professionally from Russia to the world community. For example, a programmer does not care what country he lives in: he can work in any country while in any country. Such professions will protect a person from many political risks.
- There is another side of the problem: Russia now takes revenge and imposes sanctions against Ukraine, Moldova, Poland, blocking the export of agricultural products. How will Russian bans affect the economy of these countries? And can they be effective?
For 10 years, Russia received huge money from the export of raw materials, oil and gas. But at the same time, there are no roads in Russia, in Russia terrible poverty. Finland has no oil and has no poverty
- There is what the situation depends on 99 percent, and what it depends on 1 percent. And we are now discussing 1 percent of the situation. The economy of Ukraine and Moldova does not depend on Russia. It depends on how much the economy is built on the principle of "you better - I better", that is, on the principle of the exchange of good. If the economy is built on the principle of “you worse - worse for me”, that is, one deceives the other, then no matter how prosperous economy and no matter what excellent conditions are created, it will still destroy everything. If the economy is created on the principle of good, it will still create anything. In the past 10 years, Russia has received enormous money from the export of raw materials, oil and gas. But at the same time, there are no roads in Russia, in Russia terrible poverty. Finland has no oil and has no poverty. It would seem that wealth should be a function of the cost of the sold oil, but it turns out that this is a function of good.
- You probably know about publications with reference to German intelligence that, surrounded by Putin, his discontent is growing by his policy. Will this end in all that Putin will be forced to dramatically change his policy against Ukraine, backward, turn all this propaganda campaign, and at the same time, the sanctions will die quietly? Such a scenario is real?
The problem of Russia is that all power and all resources in Russia belong to thieves. Thieves live on the principle: stole - drank - to jail ...
- I am not interested in discussing this scenario. This is nonsense, an attempt to apply the laws of physics to drawing paintings with watercolors. What is happening now in Russia was predictable. And all this can be described in the concept of a positive career. A positive career is when a person wants to improve himself and everything around him. There is a concept of a negative career when a person hates himself and wants to worsen everything for himself and for others. The problem of Russia is that all power and all resources in Russia belong to thieves. Thieves live on the principle: stole - drank - to prison ... In the same way, Putin and his friends. They are not looking for positive from life. They dreamed of a situation where they could say: "Yes, life is shit, it is not for nothing that I have so disgusting in my soul all the time." Only when they are afraid only when blood is pouring, then they like everything, did this inconsistency go. German scouts should know: the problem of the thief is not that the handbag is closed, but that the world is beautiful and kind and it is a stranger in this world. And when the thief gets into prison, when he sees peeling paint on iron rods, when he tries this balance, here, finally, he feels at home. There are thieves and punks in the Kremlin. This situation does not cause any contradictions. They are completely at ease. The ban on the entrance to Paris does not scare them: there the Balandes do not serve.
- But in the country of Putin live people who did not steal anything, did not kill anyone and do not want to be in this iron cage. What should they do?
- A person differs from the animal in that he does not just live to eat carrots. Here are my guinea pigs, they eat carrots and are satisfied, there are no carrots - they are unhappy. A person has rights and obligations and a high goal for himself. He was born to something, so he is a thinking one, and he must suffer. People who want goodness suffer from the fact that they are not able to express their talent as much as possible. That's how Van Gogh, he suffered, because his paintings were not good enough, as he thought. Other people suffer from the fact that they have dreary in their souls, and therefore they need to express their abomination, causing pain to others. Here they are doing this.
Soon Russia will have to choose whether it is in Europe or in Asia. Does Europe end in Sakhalin or is Asia bordering Ukraine? We will find out soon
And this is an insult to a person - to say that all that Russian citizens need, so that they have enough money for grub. They are still people! And the situation is such that they need to understand that the war has begun, and in this war you need to fight for their rights, for their honor, go out into the street, create associations, parties. Do not be afraid of repression, express your opinion honestly, boycott television. To do so that a person who performs on television with a frank lie can not walk along the street. There is Dmitry Kiselev, and the problem is not that he says a lie, but that he leads a team of thousands of people and is not afraid to leave the office and go to the toilet, is not afraid that someone will go after him and put his head into the toilet.
- And so it happened in Ukraine: people rebelled, people did not suffer gangster power, lowered their Kiseel's head into the toilet. But for some reason, I do not believe at all that this can happen in Russia.
- And wonderful! Let it not happen. The world is as it is, and let it not be in Russia, and let people live terribly in Russia! People live terribly in North Korea, although they, of course, need to be saved. People live terribly in Africa. What can you do? In the end, this is their business. Here are the Russians and will be a living example of a terrible life. In Mongolia, people drive horses and live in yurts. If there are sanctions, in Russia people will ride horses and live in yurts in 10 years. And what? Why are they better than the Mongols?
Matvey is small
Just Russians should know that this is their choice. Today, young soldiers of the Ukrainian 79th airmobile brigade are on the border with Russia, trying to prevent the crossing of the border with new columns of Russian armored vehicles. From the Russian territory they are meanly fired from guns and from "grades". They do not answer: there is no order to shell Russian territory. They suffer losses, but hold on. These are heroes.
Russians also know how, of course. Here was the film "Ninth company" and hundreds of other films about the war: "They fought for their homeland", "Liberation." Everything is true. My grandfather also died, protecting Moscow. So, I have no preference between Ukrainians and Russians. I myself am a Muscovite.
But I see a huge difference between meanness and the desire for freedom, a brazen lies and the desire to find and protect the truth, insolent aggression and protection of my country.
And I hope that Krymnashi will soon live on frozen potatoes, and that I wish Putin's scoundrels, I don’t want to say-after all, this is an interview.
Can you finish the slogan? He will not be about Ukraine - everything is clear here, Ukraine will win and will be in Europe. My slogan is like this: "Russia will certainly be free, prosperous and even (do not believe it!) A good country!" And much sooner than we think. But - without Crimea. Alien Russia will return with an apology. When there is good in Russia, the Russians will have everything they need.
Matvey Small - the author of the books "How to make Russia to a normal country", "How to be: how to succeed in life and in business", "Nobody needs money: everyone wants the fulfillment of desires", the creator of the site http://svobodar.org
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Muscovites about Western sanctions