"They have an instinct of a lizard"

1. What is the purpose of the arrest of the head of the AFC “System” by Vladimir Yevtushenkov?

2. Why right now?

3. Who is the next?

1. I think that Vladimir Yevtushenkov, who is a sufficiently integrated person into power, believed that he could agree on some reasonable conditions. He, apparently, was unaccounted for the fact that in the current situation when President Putin is busy with completely different things that are different from the internal affairs of the country, the own interests of the power structures and persons who are perceived for one reason or another as a host or, in any case, as an influential person with the host, And such a person, undoubtedly, they perceive Sechin, and he absolutely does not think, in any case, I judge from his experience, that he, in my opinion, undermines the reputation of the law enforcement system and the country as a whole. Well, of course. He, in my opinion, is not very worried about him, he is concerned about his place.
Do you believe that Putin did not know that Yevtushenkov was going to put on his leg?
Undoubtedly, he knew. Undoubtedly, he was not only informed about this, but also asked him good. But we know Mr. Putin very well. He is an emotional person, or allowing himself to be emotional. He completely controls his environment, for which the main thing is to approach Putin at the right time and be able to slip Putin information that creates a certain mood. After that, they get good. This is a technology that works with all autocrats, and the older they become, the better it works.
2. Why - now? Yevtushenkov was offered a price for Bashneft, which did not satisfy him, or simply said: “Give it up!”?
I can't know that. I believe that Yevtushenkov appreciated his potential in power and came to the conclusion that he has the opportunity to defend his conditions, his interests. He was unaccounted for that his potential is tied to that part of the environment, which is now, apparently, compared to Sechin, is less influential.
Sanctions have been imposed against Igor Sechin and Rosneft: could this affect the decision to start strict actions in relation to the owner of the AFK System?
No, I think this is completely unrelated. The sanctions have just been imposed, but in fact, this whole story has been preparing for, at least from the beginning of this year. And, by the way, I want to draw attention to the fact that despite the fact that the nature of affairs (Yukos and “Bashneft”. —The New Times.) Is different, the schedule is the same. For me, the team was given in February (2003), and reached the implementation at the end of October. According to Yevtushenkov, promotion began in March, in mid -September they went to the implementation of the first person. The technology of actions of the investigating authorities, I think, is exactly the same. That is, it was actually developed by Yukos, and now it is simply realized by Yevtushenkov by one hundred percent. There, even employees of the investigation group intersect. It’s just that in my case the situation began with Putin’s fundamental decision about the need to eliminate the political threat - he perceived me as a political threat, and only then did Igor Ivanovich’s commercial interest (Seck), who began to realize him at the full power of his, as I believe, not quite legitimate connections. And in this case, it all started immediately with the commercial sunset of Igor Ivanovich. If he was able to take advantage of the situation then, then why cannot he form this situation now based on his interest? He formed it on the pattern of Yukos.
Rosneft, according to experts, have huge debts, the refinancing of which is difficult to sanctions.
No, they do not think so long, they have instinct, as it were, a lizard. Moving - to curse, AN, it didn’t work out - it was torn off the head, other lizards broke. He grabbed the next-swallowed, moving again ... The matter ("Bashneft") began even before Ukrainian events. How are sanctions related to arrest? Well, the case began, Yevtushenkov refused to give (company). If there were no sanctions, would he not refuse? Probably, I would still refuse. And the methods of Igor Ivanovich, how are they related to sanctions? When there was Yukos, there were no sanctions, he applied these methods, he liked them. I am far from the only person in relation to the company of which Igor Ivanovich used his capabilities in the law enforcement system. That is, it is absolutely clear here that in my case he used in order to simply tear off the piece, and in principle the case was carried out by Putin. But in this case, he (Sechin) is completely conducting the case. Evolves. As much as it can evolve.
Another hypothesis: the state through Rosneft is trying to concentrate the entire oil industry in one hand-to create something like the Ministry of Oil Industry, as was the case during the USSR?
This is true, Sechin has been trying to do it for a long time.
3. Then - who is the next?
I do not think that his plan has been rebuilt. He will see the opportunity - Hapnet. He will not see the opportunity, he will not hap.
Someone notes that Lukoil under the sanctions, which means weakened ...
Sanctions again. Do you definitely need to bind this topic to sanctions? And, by the way, Vagit (Alekperov is the co -owner and president of the LUKOIL oil company) to him (Sichin) would have given him a long time, but Vagit has foreign assets too serious, you can’t conduct these games with him so stupid.
There is also Surgutneftegaz, which has $ 32 billion on the accounts of the company in the company's reports for 2013!
And what? Well, if Surgutneftegaz is not yet under collision, it means that he already ... And we perfectly understand that Bogdanov (Vladimir Bogdanov - the general director of Surgutneftegaz since 1984) has long been fulfilled by various kinds of instructions, and we have seen this in fact in Yukos. This just means that this topic has long been decided for a long time.
Then the “Russneft” of Gutseriev and “Tatneft” remains.
Well, probably. You are now trying to find out who will attack the next one, but you will not succeed in this thing now. Because you are building your assumptions on some logical prerequisites, and there will be no logical prerequisites here, there will be just some case, a certain opportunity, and the next step will arise on the basis of this opportunity. This opportunity will not arise, there will be no next step.

Photo: Evgenia Albats