
The most ungrateful profession in modern Russia is a political analyst. It doesn’t even matter, this analyst is an honest professional trying to find logic in the actions of the Russian authorities, or the Kremlin service, riveting comments under the dictation of a small official from the administration. Both of them will inevitably come to a situation when any attempts to explain what is happening by logical motives will come across a wall of madness.
Because the most difficult thing is to analyze white fever.
Here, for example, with Yakunin and all this comedy with the Council of People's Commissars. Some wrote, Putin adds his own, from the cooperative. Others, "right" - that a talented manager decided to focus on state activities. Some wrote that the authorities were forged by the presidential decree on the assignment of an embassy rank. Others reminded of the solid experience of Yakunin's diplomatic work. And Yakunin took and sent both Putin and the Council. They say that he was not arranged by the brand of a service car and a place for the office. And how to explain this?
Or with Donbass. Some said that Putin wants to shove the republics he had invented back to Ukraine in order to create a zone of his own influence there, and therefore imposed on Ukraine the Minsk agreements and the special status of the occupied areas. Others - that Putin saves the persecuted people of Donbass and protects his rights, and therefore has achieved a special status in the Minsk agreements for the fraternal region. And Putin took and announced in the "republics" elections violating agreements - although Merkel and Hollande asked him not to arrange a comedy and threatened with sanctions. And then what was the meaning of the Minsk agreements for Moscow?
Of course, in this situation you can come up with anything, Surkovsky guys try with might and main - but there is still no logic.
And so in everything. Stories with Yakunin and Donbass elections are only the brightest illustration of the Brownian movement of Russian political life. Of course, behind all this movement, if desired, you can see a serious plan, geopolitical scope, an insidious game. But for such a vision, you need to be not a Russian analyst, but Western.
A Western analyst simply cannot believe that such a huge ship as Russia is wiping through the political ocean exclusively by the will of the waves and the momentary desires of his wandered team. He is inclined to attribute to the Russian president and his environment his own intelligence and flexibility of thought. Western analyst does not read Glazyev. He believes Tolstoy. Moreover, unfortunately, not to Peter, but still Leo. The most important phrase of the Western analyst, which he refutes all your arguments, sounds sacrificially: "What are you saying! This is a huge country! There can be no smart people there!"
Russian analyst knows exactly what can. Therefore, he no longer lives in the world of brilliant geopolitical ideas and difficult personnel layouts. Russian analyst lives in the world of ciliates-tufelki. Where is the shoe, there he is there. I decided to go to the senators - he is behind her. Changed my mind - okay. I decided to pass through the shoe with a peacekeeper - excellent. I changed my mind - what to do. I wonder where tomorrow will float?
That is why the right Russian analytics is much easier than the rest. They will call shoes from the administration, they will explain everything whether he will give a comment or even write a report. Western analysts will read this report and conclude about global plans. So they will run around the reservoir until it dries with the shoes.
And everyone else remains to compose feuilletons.