When Barack Obama was completing a performance at the Session of the UN General Assembly, it was impossible to believe that two days later he would be called a “weak -tied” and “loser”, and Putin would return the honorary title “all outplayed”. On September 28, everyone listened to the American president, but not everyone heard. And the prophecy of Isaiah comes true over them, which says: you will hear with a hearing - you will not understand, and with your eyes you will look - and you won’t see ...
However, Steve Jobs was also held for an obsessed eccentric, and now they are killed in lines for a fresh "iPhone". The living embodiment of the concept of Soft Power ("Soft Power") Barack Hussein Obama is the same philosopher and innovator as the creator of Apply. No wonder the book, which provided him with the election for the first term, was called The Audacy of Hope . The official name of the Russian translation is "Insolence of Hope." Although the ideal name for her is the third damned Russian question: "Are you so daring?"
What did Obama say from the UN rostrum if you translate his mountains to the rough prose of our plains? The war in the Middle East will not end until the ideas that generated it will finally be exhausted. The era when America, as a wizard in a blue helicopter, flew to destroy evil and plant good, went into the past with George Bush - the youngest. Sheepskin is not worth the dressing, but the game of candles. Let the drowning rescue themselves. Or drowning if they do not want to learn to swim. America should not be a "world gendarme." She is not a demiurge who decides what the world to be. She is only a shoulder on which the overwhelming can lean, and that shore - to which he floats. As for the storm itself, let the crazy king from Shakespeare’s tragedy or the other same storm fight with her. And even if in the arsenal of America there remains direct military interference, "Diplomacy of the gunboards" and the supply of high -precision weapons "to their guys", but it will no longer rush to this. Economic pressure and diplomacy - both cheaper and more effective.
This approach fully justified itself in Ukraine. Obama was constantly accused of indecision, demanded that Ukraine immediately provide modern weapons and even "introduce troops." And he stubbornly preferred the escalations of the conflict to restrain the aggressor with non -united instruments and ensured that the war was waged in the tough framework that equalized the chances of its participants. As a result, Ukraine in a short time created a combat -ready army that knew the joy of victories in battle, and received a priceless gift - the right to record these victories exclusively at her own expense, without sharing with anyone (the significance of this royal gift for the history of the young Ukrainian nation has only to evaluate).
Meanwhile, American lethal weapons have already begun to arrive at the APU warehouses. Yesterday, this measure would lead to an exacerbation of the conflict and new human victims. And today Putin arrives in Paris for negotiations in the Norman format first and delight Hollande and Merkel with his smiling and complaisance. Why? Because Obama met with him in New York and made an offer that Putin could not refuse ...
It is habitable that the carte blanche that Russia received in Syria is the result of the transaction. But few are interested in the conditions in which the transaction was concluded. This is all the more surprising that the “pre -sale preparation” for almost a month lasted in the top of the world news and was full of scandalous details. Let me remind you the main stages.
The news appears that Putin can act at the end of September at the UN General Assembly and hold a "series of bilateral meetings." The White House reacts instantly: "Not with us!"
An official announcement appears indicating the date of the performance. White House: "There is nothing to talk about. We are not interested." And this position remains unchanged until the very last moment.
And suddenly the news: the meeting will take place. No comments from the White House. The Russian media in a mocking manner of a mocking manner was vividly portrayed the crying Obama, imploring Putin about the meeting. Nobody noticed a catch. And the White House, withstanding the Moscow Art Theater, made a statement far beyond the scope of diplomatic etiquette. Russia is called "a regional power with the economy is a little smaller than Spanish," and the meeting itself is a mercy that the US president without much hunting provides an overly intrusive supplicant.
This mockery is “behind the facet of the foul” - a risky, but effective and innovative technique! Obama tested the degree of interest of the proud Putin in these negotiations. It turned out to be the maximum: if Putin is ready to put up even with such public humiliations, just to be at the same table with Obama, it means that you can afford a lot.
However, Putin's humiliation did not end there. The schedule of the performances was oversized so that he had to fly out of the airport with a bullet so as not to miss their turn. And there, Putin’s very crazy hitch was waiting for Putin’s stands - he was “confused” with the Moldavian Prime Minister Sagittarius ... The Ukrainian delegation spoiled the performance, breakfast - either clinging, then not clinging Obama ... You can imagine in what condition Putin was in when he was in the negotiation room.
The negotiation position of the Russian side was indicated from the rostrum of the UN General Assembly: Russia offered its services in the fight against the Islamic State as part of the modern analogue of the Anti -Hitler Coalition in exchange for mitigating the US position in Ukraine. It was assumed that the degree of this softening will be the subject of bargaining. What Obama did during the negotiations described Mark Twain in the "Adventures of Tom Sawyer and Huckleberry Finn."
The fact that Syria is a trap for Russia became clear after the first day of the bombing
No, Mr. Putin, to paint the fence (bombing "IG") is not a guide, but a pleasure! And for pleasure you have to pay. How many glass balls can you offer me? Do you have a dead cat in the reserve? And do not forget: you are interested in this deal, not me. You, not me, need to prove that the flight through the Atlantic was worth a candle. You need to urgently present at least something ...
After the first bombing and negotiations in Paris, we can accurately describe the final parameters of the transaction. No one will join in any coalition with Russia. But she will be given the opportunity for independent games at the Syrian theater of military operations. For this "painting of the fence" Russia undertakes to terminate the sabotage of the Minsk agreements and leave "its bitch sons" alone with Kiev.
The fact that Syria is a trap for Russia became clear after the first day of bombing. The Russian military does not have their own intelligence, and Syrian colleagues willingly slip them instead of the "IG" by Assad's political opponents. When bombing the settlements of the victim among the civilians are inevitable. But this is not Chechnya, where Putin could not deny himself anything. Here every tears of the child is in sight.
As a result, on the third day, the “Antiputine Coalition” was formed mainly from the countries of the region, which made up “immediately stop painting the fence.” And from Washington, one-worse statements rained down than another: the Pentagon said that he would shoot down Russian planes for mistakes in choosing goals, and the White House spokesman threatened Russia with international isolation not for Ukraine, but for Syria.
Russia could not intimidate Europe with refugees. The idea to raise oil prices by destroying oil and oil transportation facilities located in Syria is absurd, because the volumes there are negligible and can be easily compensated by the correction of the supply routes with the main exporting countries. And these countries tend to increase production. Especially our new military ally - Iran. However, Russia is already on the verge of embargo. One awkward movement and oil prices will generally cease to interest it.
What else remains? A military base on the shores of the Mediterranean Sea? Why is she Russia? And how long will the Assad mode last, without which there will be no base?
It seems that everything ...
In the dry residue we get a classic Manhattan deal in exchange for glass beads - Ukraine in exchange for a dubious reason to play the role of “steep macho” on the air of Russian television. Moreover, Russia will be forced to fulfill all its obligations against the “Syrian hook” before the New Year, the main of which is to restore the border ...
In this place I would like to recall: there are people (there are terribly many of them), whose lives are given to repeat the mantras about the "indecisive Obama" and about "Putin, who outplayed everyone." For them, the Minister of Agriculture, appointed in the fruitful year, is a good minister, and Poroshenko is “oligarch”, simply because he has a profitable business and a lot of money. In the world of myths, facts are not needed. Paints fade from them and head hurts.
On the other hand, even recognizing the political talent of Barack Obama, someone can accuse him of cynicism in relation to the people of Syria. This is not to say that his style does not give the Steve-Jobs cold. This is so. But what can be offered in return?! Another "storm in the desert", after which the region cannot recover for ten years?
The only way to get rid of aggressiveness forever is to find it out. Let Iran once and for all find out their relations with the Arabs-Sunnis and Israel, even if Assad, like Gaddafi, overthrow their own people, and not American special forces, and the Kurds will prove to everyone that they have the right to their own national state. Violence remains a midwife of history. And nothing can be done about it.
And what remains of America? Pull the ringes of the ring. Take chemical castets and nuclear baseball bats from boxers. At a critical moment, to substitute the shoulder of the “boxer” who proved his stamina and commitment to those values that Obama called in his speech “universal” and “self -evident”. Feed and warm the exile. All.
Vladimir Golyshev - Publicist and playwright
Opinions expressed under the heading "Law" may not reflect the point of view of the Radio Liberty editorial