Running and consciousness

A powerful cerebral assault in the newspaper, where I went on my business on the evening of October 5, 1993, had such a goal: to come up with a heading in the first lane. “They got up. They jumped,” the deputy editor -in -chief suggested. The verb, similar in meaning and more than appropriate in circumstances, turned around in the language, and it was difficult to resist. “Well, I meant the same thing,” the colleague responded irritably, “but this is impossible on the cover.” However, they soon agreed on what is possible and even necessary, although they still stopped on the first, censored word. Having correctly deciding that the reader is not a fool and synonyms know.

All these words today come to mind in a situation that is much more serious in comparison with the one that turned into a small civil war in the center of Moscow. The Turks shot down a Russian military aircraft, Putin told the Jordanian king about "accomplices of terrorism" and "a blow to the back", having ranked Ankara to ISIS sponsors, NATO held an emergency meeting in Brussels - and the world still approached a large war. Moreover, this step was so sweeping that it is already not clear whether it would be possible to slow down. The situation seems truly dangerous.

If you look for historical parallels, today the plot of the Crimean War of 1853-1856 is partly repeated, when, trying to UNASECTION of Turkey, Emperor Nicholas rallied almost all Western states against himself. However, there is a significant difference. In the century before last, nuclear weapons were not used, since it was not yet invented.

Another analogy arises, closer to these times: the Caribbean crisis. Türkiye also participated in it, at the last stage, when, in exchange for the dismantling of Soviet missiles in Cuba, the Americans agreed to withdraw their own under the highlight. But this case does not fully correspond to the current state of affairs. Then, in October 1962, the high conflicting parties were still unable to destroy the entire planet. But now, thanks to technical progress and incredible success in the field of rocket science, this problem is easily solved. A spitting, frankly, task.

True, for the Soviet national leader that crisis ended sadly. Two years later, Khrushchev was removed, accusing voluntarism, and among the officially not mentioned, but understandable reasons for the resignation was the Caribbean crisis. The leaders of the leader simply scared his ability to put peace on his ears, and the place of dear Nikita Sergeyevich was taken by a more peaceful and predictable comrade. What today we can only dream of.

The fact is that this complete crisis, provoked by the capture of Crimea, war in the Donbass and in Syria, is a man -made event. And in essence the inevitable. That is why troubles grow like a snowball.

The east of Ukraine Putin decided to occupy so that in the West they would be forgotten about Crimea. He climbed into Syria, hoping that the allies of the "anti -Hitler coalition" would not be too persistently verifying the execution of the Minsk agreements. He spoke about nuclear weapons, trying to frighten the potential ally and enemy. Flights of Russian bombers over the territories or next to the borders of England, Ireland, Sweden, Denmark, Latvia, Japan, Turkey became routine. But if the "old Europe" and Tokyo reacted in cold blood, lifting their fighters into the sky and leaving guests, then Ankara has repeatedly warned that there would be aircraft to knock down.

In October, the Turks destroyed the Russian drone on the border with Syria, and ours was enough to hush this incident. The death of the Su-24, and then the Mi-8 helicopter cannot be ignored, and Putin talks about the Union of Turkey with the terrorists and about "NATO in the ISIS service." And the terrorists, as you know , "we will look for everywhere ... we will find anywhere in the planet" and soak.

So, there are now layouts. Türkiye is a member of NATO, the alliance supports Erdogan, the target is huge, you won’t miss. The Crimean War gains an unprecedented scale. And although Peskov hastened to declare not only the “inevitability of the consequences” for Turkey, but also that Putin did not talk about the war and did not seem to be going to, this is not much comforting. For trust in relations between Russia and the West at zero and the reputation of the president, which has lost its connection with reality a year and a half ago, corresponding. The image of current geopolitics is a finger on the button and longing in the eyes.

Of course, this is only an image. “In any case, our pilots and our plane did not threaten the Turkish Republic in any way,” Putin suddenly dropped , turning to the Jordanian king, which could be considered a hint of guilt. Still, they invaded someone else's space. Still, he understands that he realized, jumped, reached, to ... Putin is convinced that he has the right to violate any boundaries and laws, since everyone is afraid of him, but with the Turks a bummer came out, and this is very bad news for him. Only for him or for us all? Perhaps only for him, and then, somehow realizing this news, he will finally be scared, which will become an extreme and saving incident for humanity.

The optimistic forecast is that the tragedy fraught with the apocalyptic consequences on the border of Syria with Turkey can serve as a good shake. Somehow he, or something, wakes up, stops, looks around. He will restore the lost connection. However, it is possible that the connection is lost irrevocably and he will continue his activity in that contradictory manner, which makes up his political style. In a steep macho mode, always responding with a blow on a blow, and in a rat mode, driven into a corner.